[jeffchitown]

haha well I'm not a veteran on this site and just a newbie but I'd like to track my picks. So here we go!

George Washington- Over 135 ( I expect game to be 72 to 68 george washington)

Northern Illinois - PCK (Northern Illinois just matches up a lot better and should be able to pick Toledo apart)

[jeffchitown]

haha well I'm not a veteran on this site and just a newbie but I'd like to track my picks. So here we go!

George Washington- Over 135 ( I expect game to be 72 to 68 george washington)

Northern Illinois - PCK (Northern Illinois just matches up a lot better and should be able to pick Toledo apart)

Add one more pick for the day. The first two picks i'd go more medium level on units wise and this one much more small.

Duquense +1.5

Duquense bpi ranking - 147 vs 217
Duquense comparable past games to George mason
Duquense wins against st bon at home 95 to 88 (Jan 16)
George mason loses against st bon at home 77 to 58 (Jan 6)
Notable reasons to bet against my pick.
Since Jeremiah jones on Duquense was injured december 28th the duquense are 2-5 before his injury they were 10-2.
They've been getting 71 points on average since his injury before his injury, we will use 7 games as a sample size as well so its equal, they were getting 79 points a game. The 12 games he was apart of they were not give me games by any means. I do believe he has had notable impact on Duquense ability to win games in recent form.
Duquense are 1-4 this year so far in away games.

Notable Size matchup
Duquesne big man Darius lewis 6-11.: 4.8 rpg and 6.6 ppg compared to shevon thompson 6-11 : 10.5 rpg and 8.8 ppg. George Mason win this matchup of centers.

Stats between teams
Duquense


RPG 39.89 (50th in the country)
Turnover margin: -2.0 (ranked 298)
Turnovers forced: 12.05 (ranked 265)
Turnovers per game: 14.1 (ranked 271)
Free Throw %: 68.5 (ranked 210)
3 Point Defense: 40.4 (ranked 339)
3 Point per Game: 8.5 (ranked 59)
3 Point %: 34.4 (ranked 173)
Total Assists: 299 (ranked 48)



George Mason
RPG 41.11 (31st in the country)
Turnover Margin: -6.2 (ranked 342)
Turnovers forced: 7.21 (ranked 346 out of 346)
Turnovers per game: 13.4 (ranked 219)
Free Throw %: 64.9 (ranked 298)
3 Point Defense: 34 (ranked 170)
3 Point per game: 5.3 (ranked 315)
3 Point %: 29.4 (ranked 329)
Total Assists: 195 (ranked 320)


Final notes
Statistically duquense does beat out george mason. I'm worried about their away record still and jeremiah jones injury with how they have performed since. I do think though the team is starting to play better again and get in a groove without him. I think with how Duquense likes to shoot the 3 and george mason inability to defend the 3 pointer duquense comes in and lets it rain today.

[jeffchitown]

Since my duquense research was so fruitful and so far 100% correct if you look at the final notes. The 3's are raining people I decided to write one up for Northern Illinois. I wish I had done this much research early for all games lol. Here you go!
NIU vs Toledo BPI Ranking 115 to 118



Notable Recent Wins at home:
Central Michigan 75 to 70
Eastern Michigan 80 to 63
Ohio 80 to 69

Toledo notable away wins:
Bowling Green 81-74



Stats between teams
Northern Illinois
RPG 41.17 (ranked 30)
Turnover margin: 2.4 (ranked 50)
Turnovers forced: 15.44 (ranked 36)
Turnovers per game: 13.1 (ranked 186)
Free Throw %: 68.6 (ranked 206)
Field Goal %: 44.8 (ranked 131)
3 Point Defense: 33.8 (ranked 155)
3 Point per Game: 6.9 (ranked 177)
3 Point %: 34.8 (ranked 157)
Total Assists: 285 (ranked 76)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 20.4 (ranked 243)
Offensive RPG: 13.11 (ranked 47)


Toledo
RPG 37 (ranked 160)
Turnover Margin: .8 (ranked 139)
Turnovers forced: 11.61 (ranked 291)
Turnovers per game: 10.8 (ranked 26)
Free Throw %: 72 (ranked 82)
Field Goal %: 47.3 (ranked 40)
3 Point Defense: 36.7 (ranked 284)
3 Point per game: 8.4 (ranked 62)
3 Point %: 37.5 (ranked 58)
Total Assists: 309 (ranked 38)


relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 17.2 (ranked 41)
Offensive RPG: 9.56 (ranked 272)


Final Notes:
This will be a tough game overall Northern Illinois will out rebound Toledo and on the offensive side as well. This will allow for some quick pick up points. I'd be worry though that NIU gets into foul trouble with Toledo shooting 72% at the line it could rack up some unnecessary points for them. Both teams don't really defend the 3 well and toledo may be trying to use that to their advantage in this game. Luckily NIU should out rebound them so toledo won't get as many opportunities to put it back up. If toledo shoots the 3 better than last time they met up with NIU this could spell trouble for NIU. I'd say with this being a home game you have to side with NIU especially since NIU has already beaten toledo at home.

[jeffchitown]

Fairfield -2
Marist vs Fairfield BPI Ranking 309 to 239

Injuries
Kristinn Palsson – marist - ?? Sickness
Jame Grifin – marist - ?? foot

Notable Recent Wins at home:
None really

Fairfield notable away wins:
Rider 69-64
Bucknell 101 – 91

Fairfield wins against teams close to marist BPI ranking of 29.5
Jan 15 – Win against Niagara(28.8) at home 73-68 (missing key player for a bit of the game)
Dec 22 – Win against Loyola(28.0) at home 94 -88 OT
Nov 24- Win against MD-E Shore(27.3) away 113-74


Stats between teams
Marist
RPG 31.56 (ranked 328)
Turnover margin: -.3 (ranked 208)
Turnovers forced: 12.44 (ranked 229)
Turnovers per game: 12.7 (ranked 149)
Free Throw %: 71.7 (ranked 94)
Field Goal %: 43.1 (ranked 224)
3 Point Defense: 35.9 (ranked 261)
3 Point per Game: 8.9 (ranked 37)
3 Point %: 37 (ranked 78)
Total Assists: 187 (ranked 330)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 21.1 (ranked 284)
Offensive RPG: 7.88 (ranked 332)
Assists Per Game: 11.7 (ranked 287)

Fairfield
RPG 35.11 (ranked 256)
Turnover Margin: .3 (ranked 169)
Turnovers forced: 13.44 (ranked 140)
Turnovers per game: 13.2 (ranked 199)
Free Throw %: 72.5 (ranked 68)
Field Goal %: 44.4 (ranked 158)
3 Point Defense: 34.5 (ranked 196)
3 Point per game: 9.6 (ranked 20)
3 Point %: 34.5% (ranked 92)
Total Assists: 284 (ranked 79)


relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 19.6 (ranked 182)
Offensive RPG: 9.06 (ranked 298)
Assists Per Game: 15.8 (ranked 59)


Final Notes:
Fairfield should take this game by 4 points or more. They will out rebound marist both offensively and defensively. Both teams should find themselves at the free throw line early in the halves. Fairfield will land more threes then Marist. Unless Fairfield has a cold day of shooting I don’t see Marist winning this game especially if Kristinn doesn’t play tonight who averages 8.7 ppg.

[BIGBOY88]

Thanks

[jeffchitown]

Albany +9
Albany NY vs Stony Brook BPI Ranking 155 to 83

Injuries
Bryan Sekunda – stony brook – questionable

Notable Recent Wins at home for stony brook: (Stony brook is 7-0 at home)
Jan 9 - 86 to 59 against UMass Lowell (opponent BPI 28.5 game bpi 79.2)
Jan 2 - 69 to 60 against Columbia (opponent BPI 59.4 game bpi 85.3)

Albany NY notable away wins: (Albany is 6-5 away)
Jan 9 – 69 to 57 against Vermont (opponent BPI 49.5 game bpi 89.1)
Jan 2 – 75 to 70 against Cornell (opponent BPI 41.8 game bpi 62.7)

Albany NY wins against teams close to Stony Brook BPI of 68.1
Nov 29 – 88 to 54 against yale (66.9 BPI) at Albany


Stony Brook wins against team close to Albany NY BPI of 55.3
Jan 2 – 69 to 60 against Columbia(59.4) at home
Dec 20 – 71 to 68 against Hofstra(61.7) at home


Stats between teams
Stony Brook
RPG 40.22 (ranked 40)
Turnover margin: 1.6 (ranked 87)
Turnovers forced: 12.83 (ranked 193)
Turnovers per game: 11.2 (ranked 43)
Free Throw %: 68.7 (ranked 202)
Field Goal %: 47.7 (ranked 34)
3 Point Defense: 30.6 (ranked 29)
3 Point per Game: 7.1 (ranked 163)
3 Point %: 37.3 (ranked 65)
Total Assists: 309 (ranked 38)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 15 (ranked 4)
Offensive RPG: 12.56 (ranked 72)
Assists Per Game: 17.2 (ranked 21)
Scoring Defense: 62.1 (ranked 14)

Albany NY
RPG 37.4 (ranked 137)
Turnover Margin: 1 (ranked 117)
Turnovers forced: 13.85 (ranked 109)
Turnovers per game: 12.9 (ranked 170)
Free Throw %: 73.8 (ranked 34)
Field Goal %: 45.5 (ranked 97)
3 Point Defense: 32.4 (ranked 94)
3 Point per game: 5.4 (ranked 310)
3 Point %: 32.5% (ranked 253)
Total Assists: 247 (ranked 180)


relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 17.2 (ranked 39)
Offensive RPG: 12.05 (ranked 105)
Assists Per Game: 12.4 (ranked 255)
Scoring Defense: 65.2 (ranked 43)

Final Notes:
Stony Brook should win this game but it should be a defensive game. Both teams are good at crashing the boards for the rebounds. Stony brook should come up more often with the rebounds. Both teams are not known for shooting the 3 much during a game but I wouldn’t be surprised if either use it more during the game to force defenders to come more to the perimeter so they can get inside. The question is can stony brook in what should be a pretty low scoring game win by 9? I don’t think so. A tough game to call I would say Albany covers the spread. The final score 64 – 56 stony brook wins.

[spicollifcfd]

Good stuff bro thanks

[BIGBOY88]

Thanks from chi myself

[Snake24]

Forum needs more good guys like you. Thanks, boss.

[ipaulster]

Appreciate your work!

[jeffchitown]

No problem! I found researching and writting these articles help myself as well. I wish i had put as much work in my over 135 bet as i did these other bets. The hard work seems to pay off.

[incognitoh]

No problem! I found researching and writting these articles help myself as well. I wish i had put as much work in my over 135 bet as i did these other bets. The hard work seems to pay off.

Nice job today!

[Tony Williams]

good writeups, gl tomorrow

[BIGBOY88]

Jeff

What looks good on the board??

[jeffchitown]

First pick of the day a little more rushed I woke up late. I wanted to spend more time looking at the individual players but I also want to get a pick in.

South Carolina - PCK
South Carolina vs Tennessee BPI Ranking 31 (BPI 79.5) to 72 (BPI 71.1)


Notable Recent Wins at home for Tennessee: (Tennessee is 8-2 at home)
Jan 6- 83 to 69 against Florida (Opponent BPI 81.3 game bpi 97.9)
Dec 29 – 74 to 69 against Tennessee St (Opponent BPI 50.2 game bpi 65.2)


South Carolina notable away wins: (SC is 3-1 away)
Jan 19 – 77 to 74 (OT) against Ole Miss (Opponent BPI 64.9 game bpi 81)
Jan 5 – 81 to 69 against Auburn (Opponent BPI 60.5 game bpi 93.6)
Dec 18 – 65 to 59 against Clemson (Opponent BPI 72.3 game bpi 94.1)
South Carolina wins against teams close to Tennessee BPI of 71.1
Jan 2 – 86 to 76 against Memphis (Opponent BPI 73.8 game bpi 92.8)
Dec 18 – 65 to 59 against Clemson (Opponent BPI 72.3 game bpi 94.1)
Nov 23 – 83 to 75 against Clemson (Opponent BPI 72.6 game bpi 93.6)
Tennessee wins against team close to South Carolina BPI of 79.5
Jan 6- 83 to 69 against Florida (Opponent BPI 81.3 game bpi 97.9)


Stats between teams
Tennessee
RPG 39 (ranked 70)
Turnover margin: 1.8 (ranked 82)
Turnovers forced: 12.83 (ranked 194)
Turnovers per game: 11.1 (ranked 31)
Free Throw %: 72.3 (ranked 76)
Field Goal %: 43.4 (ranked 205)
3 Point Defense: 34.7 (ranked 203)
3 Point per Game: 7.2 (ranked 151)
3 Point %: 33.8 (ranked 208)
Total Assists: 254 (ranked 161)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 19.7 (ranked 189)
Offensive RPG: 12.39 (ranked 86)
Assists Per Game: 14.1 (ranked 134)
Scoring Defense: 77 (ranked 284)
Scoring Offense: 79.3 (ranked 56)

South Carolina
RPG 42.28 (ranked 14)
Turnover Margin: 1.4 (ranked 102)
Turnovers forced: 15.61 (ranked 31)
Turnovers per game: 14.2 (ranked 280)
Free Throw %: 67.6 (ranked 232)
Field Goal %: 44.2 (ranked 170)
3 Point Defense: 34.2 (ranked 180)
3 Point per game: 6 (ranked 254)
3 Point %: 34.4% (ranked 175)
Total Assists: 248 (ranked 177)


relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 19.7 (ranked 189)
Offensive RPG: 14.11 (ranked 18)
Assists Per Game: 13.8 (ranked 156)
Scoring Defense: 67 (ranked 79)
Scoring Offense: 78.4 (ranked 72)

Final Notes:
South Carolina should come away with the win today. They’ve already proven to be pretty good on the road. Tennessee defense is almost non-existent at this point ranked 284 in the country. South Carolina should out rebound Tennessee and has an explosive offense that easily matches Tennessee. I do believe Tennessee will score more than South Carolina usually allows in a game but South Carolina should win this by 3 or more. I’d say things to worry about would be if South Carolina sends Tennessee to the line early in the game. Tennessee shoots 72.3% at the line so could really cause some damage. If all goes right for South Carolina on paper they should win this 85 to 79.

[jeffchitown]

West Virginia -3.5 and West Virginia Under 143
West Virginia vs Texas Tech BPI Ranking 6 (BPI 87.3) to 40 (BPI 77.9)


Recent Injuries
Norense Odiase (9.0 PPG and 4.4 RPG) – Texas Tech – injured on 1/22/2016

Notable Recent Wins at home for Texas Tech: (Texas Tech is 9-2 at home)
Jan 2- 82 to 74 against Texas (Opponent BPI 78.5 game bpi 94.5)
Dec 29 – 85 to 70 against Richmond (Opponent BPI 71.5 game bpi 96.6)
Dec 22 – 65 to 63 against AR-Little Rock (Opponent BPI 69.8 game bpi 94.9)

West Virginia notable away wins: (West Virginia is 7-2 away includes neutral locations)
Jan 4 – 95 to 87 against TCU (opponent bpi 58.4 game bpi 86)
Jan 2 – 87 to 83 (2 OT) against Kansas State (opponent bpi 77 game bpi 91.5)
Dec 30 - 88 to 63 against Virginia Tech (opponent bpi 67.3 game bpi 98.6)
West Virginia wins against teams close to Texas Tech BPI of 77.9
Jan 12 – 74 to 63 at home against Kansas (opponent bpi 84.1 game bpi 97.5)
Jan 2 – 87 to 83 (2 OT) away against Kansas State (opponent bpi 77 game bpi 91.5)
Nov 26 – 67 to 59 neutral location against Richmond (opponent bpi 71.5 game bpi 94.3)
Texas Tech wins against team close to West Virginia BPI of 87.3
Jan 2- 82 to 74 against Texas (Opponent BPI 78.5 game bpi 94.5)



Stats between teams
Texas Tech
RPG 36.29 (ranked 194)
Turnover margin: 1.5 (ranked 90)
Turnovers forced: 13.53 (ranked 129)
Turnovers per game: 12 (ranked 86)
Free Throw %: 73.4 (ranked 40)
Field Goal %: 45.5 (ranked 99)
3 Point Defense: 32.8 (ranked 114)
3 Point per Game: 5.3 (ranked 316)
3 Point %: 31.8 (ranked 278)
Total Assists: 234 (ranked 231)
Scoring Defense: 67.2 (ranked 88)
Scoring Offense: 73.8 (ranked 175)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 18.4 (ranked 91)
Offensive RPG: 10.35 (ranked 221)
Assists Per Game: 13.8 (ranked 158)
Steals Per Game: 5.2 (ranked 281)


West Virginia
RPG 41.44 (ranked 23)
Turnover Margin: 5.8 (ranked 3)
Turnovers forced: 20 (ranked 1)
Turnovers per game: 14.2 (ranked 280)
Free Throw %: 64.7 (ranked 302)
Field Goal %: 46 (ranked 84)
3 Point Defense: 28.1 (ranked 5)
3 Point per game: 5.7 (ranked 282)
3 Point %: 30.2% (ranked 321)
Total Assists: 283 (ranked 80)
Scoring Defense: 63.3 (ranked 22)
Scoring Offense: 82.3 (ranked 24)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 24.1 (ranked 344)
Offensive RPG: 17.22 (ranked 2)
Assists Per Game: 15.7 (ranked 63)
Steals Per Game: 10.9 (ranked 1)

Final Notes:
West Virginia is ready to bounce back today. They’ve lost their last two games to Texas and Oklahoma. Their shooting percentage has been off the last two games but I think they will have the drive today to come back and redeem themselves. They will out rebound texas tech most the game and play really intense defense. They will go for steals and reach ins that may draw more fouls which is why they are ranked 344 in the country out of 346 teams. They seem to not worry about fouls but I would worry about them fouling too much this game with Texas Tech shooting the free throw 73.4%. I don’t expect texas tech to get many three pointers with west virigina being 5^th in the country in defending the three. Assuming West Virginia swings out of their funk they should easily win this game. 71 to 65 is my predicted score with both teams having pretty good defense.

[jeffchitown]

Wow can't believe how on fire Tennessee was today with the 3 pointer shooting 47.6%. They also shot the free throw 93.8% with 30 out 32 points compared to south Carolina 65.2% at the line with 15 out of 23. I was worried about sending them to the line creating a difference of 15 points in that game. Anyhow.. here is my next pick

Florida Atlantic - PCK
Florida Atlantic vs Texas San Antonio BPI Ranking 306 (BPI 30.1) to 341 (BPI 21.8)


Notable Recent Wins at home for Texas San Antonio: (UTSA is 3-5 at home)
Jan 16- 71 to 67 against UTEP (Opponent BPI 47.2 game bpi 56.7)
Jan 13 – 85 to 80 against Rice (Opponent BPI 33.8 game bpi 40.8)

Florida Atlantic notable away wins: (FAU is 7-2 away includes neutral locations)
Nov 21 – 75 to 69 against Miami of Ohio ( Opponent BPI 42.3 game bpi 68.9)
Florida Atlantic wins against teams close to Texas San Antonio BPI of 21.8
Jan 16 – 63 to 61 at home against LA Tech (opponent bpi 58.3 game bpi 66.8)
Jan 14 – 58 to 51 at home against Southern Miss(opponent bpi 31.3 game bpi 47.8)
Nov 21 – 75 to 69 against Miami of Ohio ( Opponent BPI 42.3 game bpi 68.9)
Texas San Antonio wins against team close to Florida Atlantic BPI of 30.1
Jan 16- 71 to 67 against UTEP (Opponent BPI 47.2 game bpi 56.7)
Jan 13 – 85 to 80 against Rice (Opponent BPI 33.8 game bpi 40.8)
Nov 21 – 82 to 69 away against southern Utah (Opponent BPI 26.8 game bpi 34)


Stats between teams
Texas San Antonio
RPG 34.58 (ranked 273)
Turnover margin: -3.2 (ranked 328)
Turnovers forced: 12.16 (ranked 251)
Turnovers per game: 15.3 (ranked 328)
Free Throw %: 69.7 (ranked 170)
Field Goal %: 42.3 (ranked 260)
3 Point Defense: 39.7 (ranked 335)
3 Point per Game: 6.7 (ranked 197)
3 Point %: 31.8 (ranked 280)
Total Assists: 205 (ranked 301)
Scoring Defense: 84 (ranked 340)
Scoring Offense: 71.4 (ranked 218)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 22.3 (ranked 323)
Offensive RPG: 9.63 (ranked 268)
Assists Per Game: 10.8 (ranked 325)
Steals Per Game: 6.2 (ranked 173)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 403 (ranked 109)


Florida Atlantic
RPG 32.89 (ranked 309)
Turnover Margin: -.2 (ranked 204)
Turnovers forced: 11.89 (ranked 173)
Turnovers per game: 12.1 (ranked 94)
Free Throw %: 71.9 (ranked 84 )
Field Goal %: 45.4 (ranked 279)
3 Point Defense: 31.8 (ranked 67)
3 Point per game: 5.9 (ranked 264)
3 Point %: 29.9% (ranked 325)
Total Assists: 215 (ranked 277)
Scoring Defense: 71.4 (ranked 173)
Scoring Offense: 62.5 (ranked 336)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 19.4 (ranked 175)
Offensive RPG: 8.16 (ranked 326)
Assists Per Game: 11.3 (ranked 301)
Steals Per Game: 5.2 (ranked 284)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 375 (ranked 169)

Final Notes:
The battle of the stink! Florida Atlantic walks away with its first away win since November. UTSA likes shooting the three ranked 109 in attempts in the country doesn’t matter if they don’t make a lot they live or die by it… mostly die. I believe with a team that is terrible at defense UTSA allows a terrible team like Florida Atlantic to score 70+ this game. Florida Atlantic doesn’t have that bad of defense in comparative to UTSA. I expect UTSA to foul Florida a lot and with Florida having a great free throw % we should see Florida Atlantic win this game. Get ready for a craptastic game!

[jeffchitown]

Omaha - PCK & Under 169.5
*medium to small size bet due to riskiness

Omaha Mavericks vs Oral Roberts BPI Ranking 129(BPI 59.2) to 179 (BPI 51.3)

Strength of Schedule Rank
Omaha – 202 Oral Roberts - 118

Notable Recent Wins at home for Oral Roberts (4-2 at home)
Jan 9- 66 to 65 against North Dakota State (Opponent BPI 53.9 game bpi 58.3)

Omaha notable away wins: (8-4 away includes neutral locations)
Jan 21– 69 to 55 against Denver ( Opponent BPI 43.9 game bpi 87.4)
Jan 9 – 79 to 73 against South Dakota (Opponent BPI 47.5 game bpi 73.1)
Jan 7 – 91 to 82 against North Dakota St (opponent BPI 53.9 game bpi 85.8)


Omaha wins against teams close to Oral Roberts BPI of 51.3
Jan 9 – 79 to 73 against South Dakota (Opponent BPI 47.5 game bpi 73.1)
Jan 7 – 91 to 82 against North Dakota St (opponent BPI 53.9 game bpi 85.8)
Dec 13- 108 to 104 (OT) against Grand Canyon (Opponent BPI 67.8 game bpi 84)


Oral Roberts wins against team close to Omaha BPI of 59.2
Jan 9- 66 to 65 against North Dakota State (Opponent BPI 53.9 game bpi 58.3)
Dec 5 – 70 to 68 away against Tulsa (Opponent BPI 72.6 game bpi 85.5)
Nov 21- 74 to 64 away against JMU (Opponent BPI 66.9 game BPI 95.2)


Stats between teams
Oral Roberts
RPG 36.24 (ranked 197)
Turnover margin: -1.3 (ranked 267)
Turnovers forced: 11.19 (ranked 310)
Turnovers per game: 12.5 (ranked 122)
Free Throw %: 72.5 (ranked 70)
Field Goal %: 46.2 (ranked 79)
3 Point Defense: 36.6 (ranked 283)
3 Point per Game: 7 (ranked 171)
3 Point %: 39.5 (ranked 23)
Total Assists: 261 (ranked 138)
Scoring Defense: 78.3 (ranked 304)
Scoring Offense: 77.5 (ranked 88)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 17.8 (ranked 66)
Offensive RPG: 9.52 (ranked 279)
Assists Per Game: 12.4 (ranked 249)
Steals Per Game: 5.1 (ranked 292)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 372 (ranked 177)


Omaha Mavericks
RPG: 37.9 (ranked 111 )
Turnover Margin: 2.7 (ranked 39)
Turnovers forced: 16.40 (ranked 17)
Turnovers per game: 13.7 (ranked 245)
Free Throw %: 74.9 (ranked 23)
Field Goal %: 46.8 (ranked 55)
3 Point Defense: 34.8 (ranked 213)
3 Point per game: 5.6 (ranked 295)
3 Point %: 30.4% (ranked 317)
Total Assists: 291 (ranked 70)
Scoring Defense: 78.7 (ranked 307)
Scoring Offense: 85.1 (ranked 7)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 20 (ranked 213)
Offensive RPG: 11.5 (ranked 140)
Assists Per Game: 14.6 (ranked 111)
Steals Per Game: 9.8 (ranked 5)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 369 (ranked 183)

Final Notes:
Oral Roberts has about one bigger guy that starts then Omaha but overall Omaha should outsize them. Omaha doesn’t have the most impressive schedule which may inflate their stats in the rankings. Omaha has though had some pretty good road wins lately that should match comparatively to Oral Roberts. Omaha could get itself into foul trouble and with Oral Roberts shooting 72.5% once again another game that could result in the team kicking its own ass. On the flipside Omaha is great at causing turnovers and stealing with hopeful quick pick up points. I do worry about Oral Roberts ability to drill the three ball down Omaha’s throat. The over under in this game right now is 169.5 I do think that is too high. I believe Omaha wins this game 85 to 82. Oral Roberts has no impressive at home games yet. I have to side with the team who seems to be a little more hot right now even if it is away.

[jeffchitown]

Woooohoo! Omaha wins and gets the under damn i was close in score prediction!

[Snake24]

Yes sir!

[jeffchitown]

The last two day results 8 - 3

[jeffchitown]

Full disclosure for this pick I'm a Purdue Alum so maybe I have a biased view but I try not to be. Purdue lost to IOWA as most know at home on January 2nd. It was an upsetting loss for Purdue and surprised most. It sent Purdue on a tailspin for a bit with another loss to Illinois. Since then the team has regathered and shooting higher field goal percentage and the offense has really started to pickup. The defense has never really been a problem with Purdue. They play great defense out rebound almost any team in the nation. They are terrible though at turnovers which for some reason with this team is an issue each year maybe the coaching who knows. Both IOWA and Purdue defend the 3 Pointer very well but they also both like to shoot the 3 Pointer. This keeps these two from blowing up on each other. If Purdue comes with vengeance today and can get hot on their three while playing their usual good defense they should come away with a win today. Iowa is hot right now but so is Purdue. I like Purdue + 4

[jeffchitown]

**UPDATED LINE NOW +8.5
Fordham+7.5 (line may move to +8 may be worth waiting if it moves to +7 I'd lock in on that) *Don't bet large on this one due to riskiness.

I honestly don't get how this team is losing so many games. I looked over their stats compared to Dayton they are almost identical and better in most categories. These two matchup in assists, rebounds, steals, 3 pointers turnovers and personal fouls. In most cases fordham winning those categories. Dayton has better wins though then fordham and a tougher schedule. I still think fordham at home today can keep it close enough. Tough call.. According to oddshark right now Dayton is favored if this seems to be the trend I may wait to see if the line moves to +8.

[jeffchitown]

Southern Illinois -1 (* REALLY LIKE THIS BET)
Southern Illinois vs Missouri State BPI Ranking 104(BPI 63.6) to 213 (BPI 45.4)


Notable Injuries
Jeremy Postell – So Illinois – out for season academics (* not an impact player)
Camyn Boone –Missouri – Doubtful (11.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 1.2 APG)
Loomis Gerrin – Missouri – Suspension (2.7 PPG, 2.2 RPG, .1 APG)
Austin Ruder – Missouri – Out (3.6 PPG, 1.4 RPG, .2 APG)
Shawn Roundtree – Missouri – Out (3.0 PPG, .3 RPG, .3 APG)
Strength of Schedule Rank
Southern Illinois – 201 Missouri State - 124

Notable Recent Wins at home for Missouri State (4-5 at home)
Jan 6- 59 to 58 against Northern Iowa (Opponent BPI 56.3 game bpi 61.8)
Dec 16- 85 to 66 against Oral Roberts(Opponent BPI 50.6 game bpi 90)

Southern Illinois notable away wins: (7-0 away and 8-1 includes neutral locations)
Jan 17 – 81 to 76 against Drake (Opponent BPI 39.3 game bpi 60.8)
Jan 6 – 65 to 44 against Bradley (Opponent BPI 27.3 game bpi 75.8)
Dec 30- 72 to 62 against Loyola (CHI) (Opponent BPI 46.1 game bpi 83)
Dec 21 – 65 to 52 against Saint Louis (Opponent BPI 47.6 game bpi 88.8)
Dec 18 – 88 to 73 against Murray state (Opponent BPI 51.7 game bpi 88.8)


Missouri State wins against teams close to Southern Illinois BPI of 63.6
Jan 6- 59 to 58 against Northern Iowa (Opponent BPI 56.3 game bpi 61.8)
Dec 5- 64 to 63 away against Oklahoma State (Opponent BPI 67.9 game bpi 77.6)


Southern Illinois wins against team close to Missouri State BPI of 45.4
Jan 20 – 79 to 66 at home against Indiana State ( Opponent BPI 58.7 game bpi 89.1)
Jan 12 – 81 to 78 at home against Illinois State (Opponent BPI 51.5 game bpi 60.7)
Jan 2 – 75 to 73 at home against Northern Iowa (Opponent BPI 56.3 game bpi 64.5)
Dec 30- 72 to 62 against Loyola (CHI) (Opponent BPI 46.1 game bpi 83)
Dec 21 – 65 to 52 against Saint Louis (Opponent BPI 47.6 game bpi 88.8)
Dec 18 – 88 to 73 against Murray state (Opponent BPI 51.7 game bpi 88.8)

Stats between teams
Southern Illinois
RPG: 34.15 (ranked 283)
Turnover margin: 2.8 (ranked 35)
Turnovers forced: 16.00 (ranked 24)
Turnovers per game: 13.2 (ranked 200)
Free Throw %: 69.2 (ranked 188)
Field Goal %: 47.6 (ranked 35)
3 Point Defense: 31.8 (ranked 68)
3 Point per Game: 6.9 (ranked 185)
3 Point %: 36.9 (ranked 80)
Total Assists: 239 (ranked 209)
Scoring Defense: 68.8 (ranked 124)
Scoring Offense: 77 (ranked 101)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 22.2 (ranked 317)
Offensive RPG: 9.7 (ranked 264)
Assists Per Game: 12 (ranked 271)
Steals Per Game: 7.5 (ranked 64)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 374 (ranked 173)


Missouri State
RPG: 36.11 (ranked 205 )
Turnover Margin: -.5 (ranked 222)
Turnovers forced: 12.21 (ranked 248)
Turnovers per game: 12.7 (ranked 154)
Free Throw %: 67.2 (ranked 247)
Field Goal %: 41.6 (ranked 287)
3 Point Defense: 37.1 (ranked 300)
3 Point per game: 4.8 (ranked 337)
3 Point %: 29.4% (ranked 329)
Total Assists: 232 (ranked 241)
Scoring Defense: 70.2 (ranked 153)
Scoring Offense: 66.4 (ranked 302)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 19.4 (ranked 169)
Offensive RPG: 10.37 (ranked 219)
Assists Per Game: 12.2 (ranked 258)
Steals Per Game: 6.4 (ranked 155)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 309 (ranked 298)

Final Notes:
This game shouldn’t even be close. Southern Illinois should win this by 8 or more. Missouri already ridden with injuries and suspension has Camyn looking very doubtful for the game. Assuming he doesn’t play I don’t see how this team can beat Southern Illinois that even with him seemed very doubtful. Unless there is something I’m missing Southern Illinois should destroy them. So. Illinois is 35^th in the country for field goal percentage they have a margin of 8.2 points per game whereas Missouri has a margin of -3.8. If Missouri wins this game it is due to a lot of lucky shooting and Southern Illinois just playing cold all game. Of all the games I’ve suggested last few days this one seems the most certain but sometimes it’s the game you like the most that surprise you the most so we will see.

[BIGBOY88]

Chitown great write up

[jeffchitown]

Chitown great write up

thanks hopefully it is a set of winners!

[chosen4th]

Southern Illinois -1 (* REALLY LIKE THIS BET)
Good call, easiest money ever... Books been putting out some easy money this week

[jeffchitown]

Southern Illinois -1 (* REALLY LIKE THIS BET)
Good call, easiest money ever... Books been putting out some easy money this week

Yup I went big on that I literally thought this had to be a rigged game with the line being so low. It seemed like the most obvious game ever. At least it covered and then some for the other two bad bets. I think syracuse +10 could happen I went small on it we will see. I like how they have matched up in recent games and point margin between the two is definitely not 10 points. I also like how Virginia usually beats teams of their caliber more around 8 points so 10 should be enough.

[BIGBOY88]

[Tony Williams]

Like the write ups and results so far...going to have to keep a closer eye on this thread

[TTA_President]

Good call

[BIGBOY88]

yup i went big on that i literally thought this had to be a rigged game with the line being so low. It seemed like the most obvious game ever. At least it covered and then some for the other two bad bets. I think syracuse +10 could happen i went small on it we will see. I like how they have matched up in recent games and point margin between the two is definitely not 10 points. I also like how virginia usually beats teams of their caliber more around 8 points so 10 should be enough.

any tonight!!!

[jeffchitown]

any tonight!!!

Long day at work checking to see if any worth researching

[jeffchitown]

Greenbay -4 ... Green bay is 1st in the country for steals and free throw attempts. They are 2nd in the country for turnover margin and 3rd in the country for forced turnovers. They are scoring margin of 5.5 compared to detroits 1.1 it being a home game and -4 right now I have to side with them. Plus they want a win after their last loss.

[BIGBOY88]

Thanks chitown