[jeffchitown]

Oakland vs Milwaukee should be a good game to watch. Oakland has one of the best players in NCAAB whose 4th in ncaab in points per game, 6th in free throws made, 1st in assist per game, 16th in three points per game, 33rd in three point percentage at 43.8%. Milwaukee is 238 in the country at defending the 3. I think kahlil walks all over milwaukee. I like oakland +3.5 but don't bet huge its a toughy Milwaukee is still a good team and has a great players in Jordan Johnson and matt tiby.

[ToPHeR]

Chi town here too!

Thoughts on xavier tomorrow? Thinking about pounding..

[jeffchitown]

Chi town here too!

Thoughts on xavier tomorrow? Thinking about pounding..

I'll check it out

[jeffchitown]

Xavier +1 & Under 148 (Semi-risky for both)
Xavier vs Providence BPI Ranking 16 (BPI 85.2) to 43 (BPI 77.4)


Strength of Schedule Rank
Xavier– 64 Providence - 45

Notable Recent Wins at home for Providence (10-2 at home)
Jan 19- 71 to 68 against Butler (Opponent BPI 78.8 game bpi 89.2)
Jan 2 – 83 to 65 against St Johns(Opponent BPI 42.6 game bpi 82)

Xavier notable away wins: (4-1 away and 7-1 includes neutral locations)
Jan 16 – 74 to 66 against Marquette (Opponent BPI 64.9 game bpi 91.5)
Jan 6 – 74 to 66 against st Johns (Opponent BPI 42.6 game bpi 72.1)
Dec 22 – 78 to 70 against Wake Forest (Opponent BPI 63.1 game bpi 90.1)


Xavier wins against teams close to Providence BPI of 77.4
Jan 23 – 84 to 76 at home against Seton Hall (Opponent BPI 75.8 game bpi 92.8)
Jan 2 – 88 to 69 at home against Butler (Opponent BPI 78.8 game bpi 99)
Dec 12 – 65 to 55 at home against Cincinnati (Opponent BPI 79.1 game bpi 96.9)
Nov 29 – 90 to 61 at neutral location against Dayton( Opponent BPI 79.2 game bpi 99.6)
Nov 27 – 87 to 77 at neutral location against USC (Opponent BPI 81 game bpi 97.6)
Nov 20 – 86 to 70 at Michigan (Opponent BPI 76.5 game bpi 99)
Providence wins against team close to Xavier BPI of 85.2
Jan 24 – 82 to 76 (OT) at Villanova (Opponent BPI 87.9 game bpi 97.7)
Jan 19 – 71 to 68 home against Butler (Opponent BPI 78.8 game bpi 89.2)
Dec 31 – 81 to 73 at butler (Opponent BPI 78.8 game bpi 97.2)
Nov 27 – 69 to 65 at neutral location against Arizona( Opponent BPI 85.1 game bpi 94.9)

Stats between teams
Xavier
RPG: 41.39 (ranked 27)
Turnover margin: 1.3 (ranked 105)
Turnovers forced: 14.06 (ranked 99)
Turnovers per game: 12.8 (ranked 160)
Free Throw %: 74 (ranked 30)
Field Goal %: 44.6 (ranked 138)
3 Point Defense: 32 (ranked 75)
3 Point per Game: 7.2 (ranked 123)
3 Point %: 36.4 (ranked 95)
Total Assists: 285 (ranked 79)
Scoring Defense: 66.8 (ranked 74)
Scoring Margin: 12.8 (ranked 30)
Scoring Offense: 79.6 (ranked 49)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 19.6 (ranked 183)
Offensive RPG: 13.22 (ranked 42)
Assists Per Game: 15.8 (ranked 57)
Steals Per Game: 7.2 (ranked 80)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 371 (ranked 179)


Providence
RPG: 37.47 (ranked 135)
Turnover Margin: 3.8 (ranked 14)
Turnovers forced: 14.74 (ranked 63)
Turnovers per game: 10.9 (ranked 30)
Free Throw %: 71.4 (ranked 102)
Field Goal %: 43.3 (ranked 213)
3 Point Defense: 31.5 (ranked 59)
3 Point per game: 6.3 (ranked 240)
3 Point %: 30.7 (ranked 307)
Total Assists: 293 (ranked 61)
Scoring Defense: 66.6 (ranked 65)
Scoring Margin: 7.5 (ranked 80)
Scoring Offense: 74.1 (ranked 168)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 16.6 (ranked 22)
Offensive RPG: 12.05 (ranked 104)
Assists Per Game: 15.4 (ranked 72)
Steals Per Game: 6.9 (ranked 105)
3-Pt Field Goal Attempts: 387 (ranked 137)

Final Notes:
Xavier should win this game if they can control Kris dun and ben bentil who are coming off a monster win against Villanova at Villanova. Ben bentil had 31 points and 13 rebounds last game but it was an OT game. Xavier has a scoring margin that ranks 30^th in the country at 12.8 whereas providence is 7.5. Xavier has only lost 1 road game this year. They just beat Seton Hall at home by 12 where providence lost to seton hill by 9. I think Xavier has a much more balanced team then Providence. I have to side Xavier- PCK and the Under 148

[jeffchitown]

Creighton +3.5 and over 146.5
I think Creighton can cover +3.5 maybe they don't win but the scoring margin between the two Creighton wins. 79 to 66 in their first matchup is a huge win home or away winning by 13. Yes there is a home advantage but is it going to cause a 17 point difference between the two games since? I don't know how a home advantage can cause that massive of a swing between two games. Creighton is a very high scoring team they should be able to cover. I think they usually though allow more then 66 points so we should see the game more around creighton 81 to 78. I think creighton wins the game.

[jeffchitown]

Indiana -2
I really feel like looking up stats Indiana should just destroy Wisconsin tonight. Indiana is #3 in the country for field goal percentage, #6 in scoring margin of 17.5, #3 in scoring offense, #3 in three point percentage, #23 in rebound margin and #19 in assists per game. Only thing wisconsin has going for it is its defense is slightly better than indiana's and its a home conference game. I can't think of any other reasons why to pick wisconsin. I've seen at least a couple people today going wisconsin. I have to go against that pick for the reasons I stated above. Oh and one last stat--- wisconsin is ranked #319 at defending the three pointer playing an amazing three point team... that spells trouble for wisconsin. It is going to take a great night of shooting by wisconsin and an off night by Indiana for Indiana to lose this game. I just think their such a fast team Wisconsin wont' keep up.

[Robah]

Indiana -2
I really feel like looking up stats Indiana should just destroy Wisconsin tonight. Indiana is #3 in the country for field goal percentage, #6 in scoring margin of 17.5, #3 in scoring offense, #3 in three point percentage, #23 in rebound margin and #19 in assists per game. Only thing wisconsin has going for it is its defense is slightly better than indiana's and its a home conference game. I can't think of any other reasons why to pick wisconsin. I've seen at least a couple people today going wisconsin. I have to go against that pick for the reasons I stated above. Oh and one last stat--- wisconsin is ranked #319 at defending the three pointer playing an amazing three point team... that spells trouble for wisconsin. It is going to take a great night of shooting by wisconsin and an off night by Indiana for Indiana to lose this game. I just think their such a fast team Wisconsin wont' keep up.

I love this play, Jchitown. I agree with this analysis completely and would like to add one thought, if I may. The only weakness this Indiana team has shown at times is an inability to maintain high level play on the road against a quality opponent. I think the Hoosiers are very aware of this fact heading into tonight's contest and will be pressed to make a statement and add a quality road win within their conference play. I have them winning in the 6-9 point range but a double digit victory would not surprise me. I was going to post this play in my thread but since you have I will look at some other games. You have a great thread going here. Keep up the great work.

[sway]

Im riding all your bets tonight

[BIGBOY88]

Chitown great stuff..

[BIGBOY88]

Keep it coming..... From chitown myself....

[jeffchitown]

Hey we may get over in creighton game too lets just not lose while doing it lol

[jeffchitown]

Woooohooo 147 got it by .5 point

[sway]

Woooohooo 147 got it by .5 point

lets goooo

[chihawkeyes]

I can't believe Creighton lost that game!

[jeffchitown]

I have no idea how indiana bet is still in play. They are playing like total shit tonight

[jeffchitown]

Indiana making so many bad fouls, turnovers and bad shots im still baffled this game even made it to over time.

[inZane]

Creighton +3.5 and over 146.5
I think Creighton can cover +3.5 maybe they don't win but the scoring margin between the two Creighton wins. 79 to 66 in their first matchup is a huge win home or away winning by 13. Yes there is a home advantage but is it going to cause a 17 point difference between the two games since? I don't know how a home advantage can cause that massive of a swing between two games. Creighton is a very high scoring team they should be able to cover. I think they usually though allow more then 66 points so we should see the game more around creighton 81 to 78. I think creighton wins the game.

Nice hits!

[jeffchitown]

Uh oh james farr has 4 fouls for xavier we can't have him foul out

[jmottz30]

Where in Chicago you from? I'm in Lincoln Park

[jeffchitown]

Where in Chicago you from? I'm in Lincoln Park

Lakeview.. These fouls are killing xavier. Blew 17 point lead jeez

[jmottz30]

farr out kills

[jeffchitown]

farr out kills

two of their best players for xavier out ...... Ugh

[jmottz30]

looking good

[jeffchitown]

Yes!! Under and spread hit! 4-1 today

[jeffchitown]

14-6 total record so far in thread

[jmottz30]

Great start

[sway]

What we got for tonight, Jeff?

[BIGBOY88]

chitown pitt?????

[chihawkeyes]

Is jeff stuck in Chitown traffic??

[jeffchitown]

Probably no picks tonight .. Yup 1.5 hours of driving and then worked out the gym im exhausted. I did bet texas a&m but did no research so didnt post it. Only want to post picks in this thread i play that i research to give people best chance to win.

[ToPHeR]

Thats what you get for living on the northside

[jeffchitown]

The Citadel- PCK

I don't have time to write everything out but I will give a summary why I like this bet. The citadel is coming off 2 games on the road against teams that greensboro played on the road. ETSU vs citadel went OT and lost but Greensboro lost to them as well. The citadel just beat west carolina on the road greensboro lost to west carolina on the road in OT. My only concern is the samford game which citadel lost pretty bad to on the road and greensboro won at home until I realized that citadel was missing a key player that game. I have to say both these teams suck but Citadel should win at home. Here are some additional stats:
The Citadel scoring margin is -1.7 compared to UNCG scoring margin of -2.6.
Citadel is ranked #1 in the country for scoring offense but also ranked Last in the country for defense hahahaha (Crazy huh??) The citadel is 2nd in the country for 3 pointers, 4th in turnovers forced with a turnover margin of 3.4 ranking them 19th in the country.
UNCG doesn't compare in any of these categories except it does well in three points per game. I don't know this, I think this is going to be a super sloppy game look for both teams to be fouling left and right but I think the citadel is going to pile points on faster and you have to love the home advantage. I went pretty big on the Citadel but we will see. Use your own judgement this is just my 2 cents J

[jeffchitown]

Well looks like you can get now The Citadel +2. I wonder why the line jumped so much though

[jeffchitown]

There is a chance Clay Byrd for greensboro comes back after being out a ton of games. The guy is just another missing piece for that team scoring 8.3 ppg and has been a starter on the team for many different games in the past. He could give greensboro the edge tonight. We will see I still think citadel has this but as game time gets closer I get more worried One hour till game time!

[sway]

Good luck Jeff. I took them as well but not that much. lets get this $$$$$$