You know the deal. Last week I made a thread on Friday, guessed lines for Saturday games, we all previewed games and discussed lines as they finally came out. Saturday rolls around and our homework was already done, I went undefeated over here on standard plays, and I came one Kansas basket away from sweeping a 7-team ATS parlay.
UNC @ Miami
UNC is highly overrated IMO, they've lost to 8 top 50 RPI teams, and while Miami is not longer up there, they have beaten NC St, @Duke, and came close to beating Virginia, ND, Louisville. Miamis back is against the wall and anything +2.5 or higher is great value here.
Wichita State -4 vs UNI
Revenge spot at home for the shockers. Shouldn't be more than 5pt favs but I like them to win here.
CMU -10 @ N. Illinois
Central Michigan is hot, and their potent offense travels. They're playing their way into the big dance and I'll lay single digits in a heartbeat against a shitty northern Illinois team.
Arkansas +14 @ Kentucky
Bobby Portis just sounds like a big boy name, and he sure is a big body. Arkansas has been playing well on the road as of lately. They've beaten UK before, and they're the right mix to topple this giant: all offense and zero defense. If Qualls and Bell can hit the 3 they got a chance to win. Anything over 12 points and I'm taking the points.
BYU & Gonzaga
I'd lay single digits with the zags, but more importantly anything around 145 and I'll take the over. Two teams that like to score score score. And BYU plays zero defense.
Xavier +5 vs Villanova
I love this nova team and I think they can and will make a deep run in March. But they gotta hiccup sometime, and it might as well be against the best offense and best home court in the BEast; Xavier. I like X to play a close game and perhaps get the W.