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TPowell Season Thread
Going to post some plays in here but mostly do some rambling. First off, why the hell do I not have offshore accounts? I've watched probably a dozen plays go by because I STILL do not have bettable lines. Unreal. Anyways, I can only guarantee one play right now but will def. have more. That play is UC Santa Barbara. I capped the game at 10 so I would love a piece of 15.5 or more
FInally!
Cal Santa Barbara +15.5
BOL. Why so confident in UCSB vs Kansas
Santa Barbara has one of the better big men in the country in Alan Williams IMO. He's 6'8 around 260 pounds and averaged a double double the last seasons plus over 2 blocks per game. For a bigger guy, he averaged around 30 MPG the past 2 seasons (nearly 32 last year). One of the PG's is a senior who is amazing as well. He averaged well over 5 assists a game and right around 1 turnover per game last year. He isn't a great offensive threat but a great distributor. My only real concern is they lost a guy who was their 3 point marksmen last year.
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to expand on that, Kansas brings back a team with ANOTHER new PG. The guards and wings are older, but I don't see this team being much better than the team that they fielded last season.
Also, last year USCB won at UNLV early by 20+ points, defeated Cal by 7, and was actually tied at the half at UCLA before losing by double digits. They were also within a bucket of Colorado on the road at the half before losing by 8. This may not sound impressive, but this UCSB team has grown up a lot since last season. They get back their PG from 2 seasons ago who averaged over 4 APG as well.
Belmont PK
Cleveland State +6.5
Alexander vs williams is gonna be a damn good matchup in the paint
I agree, UCSB will be able to shuttle in 3 PG's who are great players which makes all the difference in these mid major-major games to me. The PG matchup should be a mismatch and the paint isn't that lopsided in Kansas' favor if it is at all. My only concern will be Perry Ellis and Selden, more so Ellis probablyOriginally Posted by survive
i was thinking ucsb myself
Minnesota +10 (-120)
not an awful day. 3-3 on posted plays with my bigger bet hitting (UCSB). All 6 games were 6 points either way. Have to remember the way Belmont panicked late and kept turning the ball over and fouling. Also have to remember that Louisville may be one of the better teams in the nation with the improvements from Harrell and the physical rebounding Onauku inside
Meant to add I did play Monmouth for like a third of a normal bet so that helped some. Not really worth noting though. Can't believe I didn't fade Missouri. They lost SU as 14 point chalk. UT Martin also would have covered, but the line dropped before the early games and I left my computer thinking there wouldn't be a rise. Sucks but thems the breaks
big play of the day
Louisiana Monroe +7
would have snatched up some San Diego -4.5 but it balooned to 8.5 quick. If Manhattan gets above 11, I'll def be interested. I capped this game at 7.5
Youngstown State +5 (-120)
shouldn't of pulled trigger so early on this one ... worried about my 2 bad lines
good luck today
I think the line will get to 5 but just wanted to make sure
Ouch, another middling day. Won my big play and lost the other 2. YSU should have been in that game. They lost by 10 and shot 2-18 from 3 and 23-62 from the field. KSU shot 23-44 and 7-15 from 3. Both teams barely shot 50% from the line in 56 attempts combined. Marcus Keene went ice cold (1-8 from 3 and 3-12 from the field). They've gotta find some shooting from the guards. The big guys scored 37 points and had 15 rebounds (7 offensive)
Utah State +9
Charlotte -4
Am I crazy or should Northeastern be a monster play
not real sure, they return everything though. No clue about Boston U. Ready to gamble today.
Mercer +12
Both teams lost a hell of a lot from last year so I'll take the better team from last year getting double digits
Buffalo +32.5
Unless I'm wrong about how good Buffalo is, Kentucky shouldn't be getting this line unless they are over 13 points better than their team last season
George Washington -4
yeah, wish I could help. I just decided this year I would stay away from the non lined conferences. Hurt me bad early last year
first posted winning record 3-1 with 1 game pending. Big game was a winner again
TCU -4
Western Illinois +4
Sacramento State +3.5
Another successful day. My play of the day hit in TCU and WIU also covered. I have SAC State for a little less than I had on WIU unfortunately, but hopeful for a perfect day. Will update record in a minute
10-6 total with 1 play pending today
4-0 on plays of the day (TCU, UCSB, ULM, and Charlotte)
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YoungGambler gave TPowell 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.