i know its late in the season but im starting a thread to track my picks.
im playing based on line movement alone. betting NCAA and also NBA here and there. the system is basically this: i play teams that have < 35% public on them about 6 hours or less before tipoff. the only games i play though are the ones in which the line has not moved at all or moved in the WRONG direction. for example, the public was all over wizards last night, and the line moved like a point in the wrong direction, so you take the pistons and it covered, its done alright (10-5) in the last few days if u wanna check my spreadsheet.. but im gonna see whats good with this. once again no reason for this just tail or fade.
these are my leans for the day im not lockin anything in until later.
with less than 25% the line's gone from -7 to -8 in some books.... fits the prototype.
the only other game i can see for the day to look at also would be the providence/brown game. i would go with providence -19 and heres why..... opened at 19.5 but it has moved in the right direction. but not NEARLY as much as it should be for 80% of the public riding brown. take providence -19 but they dont fit the system technically so im not pickin em. but it would be a solid play for 1 unit
glad i did not bet providence... and auburn's line went back the right direction.they need to step it up and so do the thunder but both these guys look to bounce back big in the 2nd half. watch.
i've already locked in the bobcats for (1.5x) for tomorrow. but it fits the system because the line is going against the cats as we speak and they have less than 30% concensus... (i know its more than 6 hrs before tipoff)... bobcats have the best D in the NBA and i like them +3 against the nuggets tomorrow. more plays when i get up and after my lame ass exams
alrght pimps gonna have to lock my picks in earlier than i would like as i have a presentation to leave for in about an hour... right now im leaning towards