[RMStanley]

I made a post about this contest two weeks ago. I wasn't really expecting to be in the running for significant prize monies, but here I am in the Final 4 tied for 6th place (or 10th place as it reads on the standings).

Each correct Final 4 pick is worth 16 points for a round potential of 32.
The correct Champion pick is worth 32 points for a round potential of 32.

100,000.00 Prize Pool: 1st Place - $75,000.00 | 2nd Place - $12,500.00 | 3rd Place $7,500.00 | 4th Place $3,500.00 | 5th Place $1,500.00

I'm 99% sure that each remaining entry has Florida, Wisconsin, and Kentucky (except for one guy who only has Kentucky and either Wisconsin or Florida). You can't view anybody's brackets but your own (which sucks and kind of calls into question the legitimacy of the contest perhaps) but I've found this book to be honest and have never NOT gotten a payout.

I'd love to hear people's opinions on the likelihood of the entries ahead of me NOT having a Florida/Wisconsin final with Florida being the champ. I could win the $75000 grand price if some of the entries have Michigan State or Villanova going to the title game (or Kentucky, or Wisconsin winning the entire thing).

Unfortunately though, I'd guess that at least 4 of the 9 entries above me or tied with me has Florida over Wisconsin in the Final, meaning that my prize would be like $3500 or $1500 or a split of one of those figures.

Basically if I'm the only one of the 10 who has a Florida over Wisconsin Final, I'd win $75,000. What do you figure the odds of nobody else having that are? Remember these brackets were all filled out the week of the tournament before any games played.

[IWANTMONEY]

you can work it out from the odds.

[RMStanley]

I saw some stat that something like 55% of all brackets had Florida making the Final Four and something like 40% had them winning it.

So that doesn't exactly bode well. The only thing that might be in my favor is that if you wind up with UF, Wisky, and UK in your Final Four that's not exactly a "conservative" bracket. If you go that far you might have MSU over Florida and you might have Kentucky winning it all.

I like my more conservative picks of Florida and Wisky reaching the final (although I understand why UK is a favorite). My best hope is that like 4 of the 9 have MSU or Nova or Iowa State and then I'm in the top 5. And then maybe 2 of those other 4 maybe have Kentucky over Wisky. And then maybe of the last 2 contenders maybe only I have UF winning it, meaning that if it plays out in my favor I'd take home the bunce.

BOL to myself, mates. I truly deserve it.

[goduke]

Pretty sketchy that you're not able to see other play we'd brackets. Pretty much tells me you're not getting first because the book probably has shady entries entered on its on behalf