A lot of people are calling for the upset here. I originally liked NC State in this spot but have since changed my mind. A huge part of NC State's offense is TJ Warren - he basically does it all for them. NC State is an undersized team and outside of Warren, they really struggle to generate some offense.
Saint Louis is one of the best defensive teams in the country. They dictate the pace of the game but don't give up easy buckets. Warren will look to drive to the painted area and pull up from about 10 feet but he will be cut off and won't be able to get to his spot on the floor. This will force other players to step up and I simply don't think that NC State has the guys who can deliver when Warren is forced to pass the ball out.
I know Saint Louis struggled down the stretch but I look for them to bounce back tonight and move on to the Round of 32.
Saint Louis -3 -105 (3x)