1. #1
    leetreaper
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    N.C. State +4.0

    Looks pretty good to me.

  2. #2
    leetreaper
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    Detroit -2.0

  3. #3
    The Madcap
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Looks pretty good to me.

    I'm an NC State alum and I would lay off that bet if I were you. Not saying they won't cover for certain, they could, but traditionally the Pack does not play well at Clemson and I would be hard pressed to believe this young team has recovered mentally/emotionally from the ass-raping they got from the zebras on Saturday @ Syracuse to be ready for Clemson's dog fight mentality. Last year with a junior/senior laden team State needed a last second miracle three from Scott Wood to win the game. Clemson's NCAA Tournament dreams are hanging on by a thread, they have to have to this game and are going to come out determined to clamp down on NCSU. I think that intensity knocks the Pack back and they never recover because they are too damned immature/inexperienced/mentally weak to do so. I could be wrong, but State loves to play up/down to the level of their competition. Wouldn't be shocked to see Clemson win this one 63-54 or something like that.

  4. #4
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Madcap View Post
    I'm an NC State alum and I would lay off that bet if I were you. Not saying they won't cover for certain, they could, but traditionally the Pack does not play well at Clemson and I would be hard pressed to believe this young team has recovered mentally/emotionally from the ass-raping they got from the zebras on Saturday @ Syracuse to be ready for Clemson's dog fight mentality. Last year with a junior/senior laden team State needed a last second miracle three from Scott Wood to win the game. Clemson's NCAA Tournament dreams are hanging on by a thread, they have to have to this game and are going to come out determined to clamp down on NCSU. I think that intensity knocks the Pack back and they never recover because they are too damned immature/inexperienced/mentally weak to do so. I could be wrong, but State loves to play up/down to the level of their competition. Wouldn't be shocked to see Clemson win this one 63-54 or something like that.
    huh?

    Last 2 games AT Clemson:

    NC State 58 / Clemson 57
    NC State 69 / Clemson 72

    Last game AT NC State:

    Clemson 62 / NC State 66

  5. #5
    leetreaper
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    NC State ATS Last 5: 4-1

    Clemson ATS Last 5: 1-4

  6. #6
    leetreaper
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    Prediction: NC State 67 / Clemson 57

  7. #7
    The Madcap
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    NCSU 2-3-1 ATS last 5 trips to Clemson. Probably even worse the further back you go. And State was much better last year than this year while Clemson wasn't nearly as tough, and again, the Pack needed a desperation 3 as time expired to win. NC State has five new starters compared to last year's team. PG Lo Brown/SG Purvis/SG Wood/SF CJ Leslie/PF Richard Howell are all gone. New teams, new year.




    And I wouldn't put much stock in the recent trends this season either. Clemson's lines were all a reaction to their win against a totally funked Duke team. Public overreacted to it and the books had to adjust to favor Clemson more than they should have. Don't want to make the same mistake here and go big on State just because they played Cuse tough. Remember both Duke/UVA waxed these guys by 30.




    Obviously you gotta make the decision to pull the trigger or not, I'm just telling you, it's not a SAFE bet. You could win. I sure as hell hope the Pack wins straight up tonight. I believe they can and I hope they will. But I've seen this movie far too many times over the years to sit back and let an innocent bystander throw their money down the drain thinking the Pack is better than they actually are. Just giving you a heads up man.

  8. #8
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Madcap View Post
    NCSU 2-3-1 ATS last 5 trips to Clemson. Probably even worse the further back you go. And State was much better last year than this year while Clemson wasn't nearly as tough, and again, the Pack needed a desperation 3 as time expired to win. NC State has five new starters compared to last year's team. PG Lo Brown/SG Purvis/SG Wood/SF CJ Leslie/PF Richard Howell are all gone. New teams, new year.




    And I wouldn't put much stock in the recent trends this season either. Clemson's lines were all a reaction to their win against a totally funked Duke team. Public overreacted to it and the books had to adjust to favor Clemson more than they should have. Don't want to make the same mistake here and go big on State just because they played Cuse tough. Remember both Duke/UVA waxed these guys by 30.




    Obviously you gotta make the decision to pull the trigger or not, I'm just telling you, it's not a SAFE bet. You could win. I sure as hell hope the Pack wins straight up tonight. I believe they can and I hope they will. But I've seen this movie far too many times over the years to sit back and let an innocent bystander throw their money down the drain thinking the Pack is better than they actually are. Just giving you a heads up man.
    Thanks for your analysis.

  9. #9
    Lincoln Scofield
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Madcap View Post
    The Madcap
    To tell you the truth, I value these types of opinions more than any other. Someone who's seen the program trends because they're a fan and can apply an unbiased opinion to gambling. It's the same way for me with LSU and the Saints. You know the little things that the average go-er does not.

  10. #10
    THam12
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    I put less into the recent trends and more into actually watching both teams play quite a bit this year. I think Clemson is a tough tough team that plays really well at home and plays good defense I see them covering this here against NC State

  11. #11
    leetreaper
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    Georgia 1H +5.5

  12. #12
    leetreaper
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    Fresno State 1H +3.5

  13. #13
    wufpakman21
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    Madcap is right. It's probably too risky. However, I will say this. So far under Coach Mark Gottfried, when NC State's backs were against the wall and they needed a win to help their post season chances, he's had the guys ready and they've performed well. I actually think they'll come out firing tonight and I won't be surprised if they win. Kyle Washington, freshman, had a great game against Syracuse and I think the game is really starting to slow down for him. I think State matches up well with Clemson and I'll be surprised if this game doesn't go down to the wire. I definitely don't see Clemson blowing us out. Not when they have one player averaging double figures.

  14. #14
    leetreaper
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    Iowa State 1H -2.5

  15. #15
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Iowa State 1H -2.5
    I couldn't decide which I liked better 1h or game...

    I surprisingly went with game 2x

    Looking back prob should of did 1 and 1

    GL

  16. #16
    SamDiamond
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    I am worried about State's mental health. I wanted them on the ML.... but just couldn't pull the trigger.

    They had Cuse beat-- and I'd be a little worried about them being flat.

    Good luck with the bet.

  17. #17
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Fresno State 1H +3.5
    I like this one

  18. #18
    THam12
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    I wanted to bet clemson... but after the day you had yesterday im scared to go against u

  19. #19
    THam12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    I like this one
    I got them at +4 1H

  20. #20
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by THam12 View Post
    I got them at +4 1H
    That's a good line.

  21. #21
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by THam12 View Post
    I wanted to bet clemson... but after the day you had yesterday im scared to go against u

  22. #22
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    I couldn't decide which I liked better 1h or game...

    I surprisingly went with game 2x

    Looking back prob should of did 1 and 1

    GL
    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    I like this one
    Let's get these Kiddo!

  23. #23
    THam12
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    good luck lee and louisville

  24. #24
    Louisvillekid1
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    You to buddy

  25. #25
    SamDiamond
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    Fuk you Lee.

    I keep seeing your thread--- so I made the jump.

    I pulled the Trigger.

    State on the ML +145.

    Let's get it.

  26. #26
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamDiamond View Post
    Fuk you Lee.

    I keep seeing your thread--- so I made the jump.

    I pulled the Trigger.

    State on the ML +145.

    Let's get it.

  27. #27
    leetreaper
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    Texas Tech 1H +4.0

    The card is complete, GOGOGO!!!

  28. #28
    leetreaper
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    Ok, one more: Northern Iowa -2.0

  29. #29
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Iowa State 1H -2.5
    Winner. Nice start.

  30. #30
    jimmy007oc
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Detroit -2.0
    This game looks like trap man

  31. #31
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmy007oc View Post
    This game looks like trap man
    Possibly but I still like it for some weird reason.

  32. #32
    thunderous
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    you better go 100%...tailed each n every one of ur picks + parlayed State ML with Raptors ML

  33. #33
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by thunderous View Post
    you better go 100%...tailed each n every one of ur picks + parlayed State ML with Raptors ML
    Looking good so far.

  34. #34
    KRIT
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    GL Today, hopefully the hotness stays hot.

  35. #35
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    GL Today, hopefully the hotness stays hot.
    Agreed.

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