Originally Posted by
The Madcap
NCSU 2-3-1 ATS last 5 trips to Clemson. Probably even worse the further back you go. And State was much better last year than this year while Clemson wasn't nearly as tough, and again, the Pack needed a desperation 3 as time expired to win. NC State has five new starters compared to last year's team. PG Lo Brown/SG Purvis/SG Wood/SF CJ Leslie/PF Richard Howell are all gone. New teams, new year.
And I wouldn't put much stock in the recent trends this season either. Clemson's lines were all a reaction to their win against a totally funked Duke team. Public overreacted to it and the books had to adjust to favor Clemson more than they should have. Don't want to make the same mistake here and go big on State just because they played Cuse tough. Remember both Duke/UVA waxed these guys by 30.
Obviously you gotta make the decision to pull the trigger or not, I'm just telling you, it's not a SAFE bet. You could win. I sure as hell hope the Pack wins straight up tonight. I believe they can and I hope they will. But I've seen this movie far too many times over the years to sit back and let an innocent bystander throw their money down the drain thinking the Pack is better than they actually are. Just giving you a heads up man.