Purely a spot play. Pittsburgh on the road after taking the last second L against Cuse. They have to be emotionally drained. UNC already favored by 3.5 points (and climbing). My model likes them as at least a five-point favorite on their home court. UNC has the best 3-point defense in the ACC while Pitt has gone completely cold recently (30%) from behind the arc. UNC hasn't played in over a week, so they have to be itching to play. UNC has the coaching advantage, the home court, and is 3-1 against ranked teams this year. Pitt's last two losses were by less than five points, so I'm more inclined to lay more on the money line than the spread.
Ryan Williams is a horrendous in game coach. See 2008 final four vs. Kansas. Ole Roy lets his ole boys go on a 20 point run or so on the heels and never calls a timeout (his trademark). He probably took his jacket off though!!! (Another daggum Roy trademark). Heels did make a run in this game to make it close in the end but all I'm saying is try not to point to Roy Williams led staff as an edge here.
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