I don't understand why is Murray State getting points here, I have this game close to a pick. First of all, they are in a good shape in the tournament posting 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS respectively. Second, they are 4-1 ATS last 5 games. Also, they are 2-0 ATS last two versus Belmont winning one and losing second only by 2 points.
Belmont in a good shape also but they are a terrible 1-6 ATS at home.
Some decent trends towards Murray State: They are 7-2 ATS against conference opponents, 7-2 ATS after a conference game, 5-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival.
Warning: Haven't won a game in ages