I made a mistake playing Miami when duke went on the road as I had this game circled where Duke gets its 1st real road test.
Duke has been hot recently but are still a very young team.
Pitt is dominant on the boards, and more importantly excellent in guarding the perimeter.
I believe duke is going to have a hard time keeping Pitt off the boards.
Pitt should be looking to make duke's D work and not get out in transition which I believe will lead to long possession's (keeping the score down making duke work for everything)
Pitt 68 - 61
small lean on pitt
Strong lean on under 139
Good luck on what you guys decide and input is always appreciated
I got this at 76-71 Pitt. I think its going to be higher scoring for the following reasons:
-Pitt's offense matches up quite well against Duke's defense. Duke gives up a lot of 2 point buckets, and Pitt likes 2 pointers. They pass extremely well and as you mentioned they rebound the ball well. They should get lots of good looks and a good amount of offensive rebounds.
-Duke has an elite offense that has been going well lately. Yes, they are playing on the road in a tough environment against a very good defense, but they are too good at this point to just lay an egg.
-I've got this at a 66 possession game (each). That should be a good enough pace to hit the over.