Went 3-0-1 (Nebraska 1H, Virginia and Marquette, with Baylor push) last night and looking to keep the hot streak going.
Harvard -9.5 at Florida Atlantic Many people simply don't realize how good Harvard is (29th in KenPom) and are over-valuing the home-court advantage of a 6-12 FAU squad. Harvard's star Wesley Saunders is listed as questionable for the game and as a result the public is all over FAU (71% per Vegas Insider). The truth is Harvard is 1-1 ATS without Saunders, beating Dartmouth by 15 (who is better than FAU) to cover and missing by .5 pts against a very good UCONN team, losing by 5 on the road. Harvard is undefeated ATS this year and expect the trend to continue tonight. The line opened at -11 so there is some added value at -9.5. Harvard wins by double-digits with or without Saunders, though his return would be icing on the cake.
Texas A&M +14 at Kentucky Kentucky is over-valued again and again by the public and 14 points is simply too much to cover against a Texas A&M team that is starting to play better. A&M has covered 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 5 while Kentucky is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. Texas A&M has won three in a row straight up as underdogs, including at Tennessee as a 11.5 point dog. Look for A&M to keep it closer than most think.
Northwestern +2 vs. Purdue Again and again, the Psychic Sharp bets on home underdogs to cover in the first half (especially against the public), and again and again he wins. Northwestern opened as a 1 point dog for the whole game and now you're getting +2 for the first half? Jump on that! After getting blown out by Iowa, Northwestern is starting to play better: beating Illinois before playing Michigan State and Indiana tough. Northwestern only trailed MSU by 4 at half and led Indiana at halftime on the road! Northwestern is playing well now and should come out hot at home against a mediocre Purdue team.
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