By the look of posts a game that did not receive attention today:Arkansas - TN Martin
I did not see anyone on this game in either side.
I lean towards Arkansas -23.5 @1.91 (youwin)
Another good home team 6-0 at home.
4 games bookies set a spread line they covered 3 of them. Last home game they could not cover the spread by 0.5 points. Arkansas had 1 game with over -20 hcp, namely -22.5 and won by 34
TN Martin matches poor with top 150 rank teams on road.
They played 4 games on road against top 150 and 0-4 on coveirng spread. Lines were 16.5, 23.5, 23,5, 18 respectively and covered none. They covered the spread against rank 154 Arkansas State by 6 points but they are horrible at covering spreads 1-5 this season. Not like Arkansas.
Also -23.5 has a luck with it, since 2012 12 college basketball games had -23.5 spread 9 games covered 3 games did not cover, apart from 2-3 sample size lines it is the highest percentage. And 2 of them are against TN Martin this season, 1 from Colorado the other from Florida State
TN Martin scores 69 points on average but most of the bulk comes from unranked teams. They scored 60-65 at road games against top 150 ranked teams. Arkansas average 85 points, they can score close to 90 to a poor road team.
I dont know if I am forcing myself to a play, but things look ok for Arkansas -23.5 if not great. Sure it is a big line, thats the only question mark.
I love when people write what they think. So feel free to write what you think about this game.