1. 12-05-13 05:52 PM #1
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Time to start somewhere - My picks

    Hi everyone,

    been a silent reader in this forum for a while. I think it is time trying to contribute something to the community here.
    I want to keep record of my picks and discuss the development with the guys around here.
    So let's get started.

    Picks for 6.12.2013

    NFL houston over 42,5 1 unit 1,97
    NCAAB providence -7 1 unit 1,95
    NCAAB san diego state -6 1 unit 1,93

    Good luck everyone.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 12-05-13 05:55 PM #2
    Dirty Sanchez
    Two time SBR Academy Award winner
    Dirty Sanchez's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 16,031
    Betpoints: 26

    Never fukkin heard of ya pal
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 12-05-13 05:57 PM #3
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Dont mean shit to me without a write up. But some guys happy to drop cash without knowing why they like that team
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 12-05-13 05:57 PM #4
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Just more to add:
    NFL houston -3 1 unit 1,87
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 12-05-13 06:00 PM #5
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Ok i created a database with line movement and public opinion for the sat 10 years. Depending on trends in each sport you can see patterns. I use these patterns to fade or tail public opinion based on bookies reaction.
    For the NFL I recognized that when the Line is 43 or lower, the probability for over on the public trend increases.
    So if the public goes over and the line is below I tail it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 12-05-13 06:01 PM #6
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Even one sentence helps like my nuts are tingling gives me a better grip on the play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 12-05-13 06:01 PM #7
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Ex. Hstn -3. My nuts tingle.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 12-05-13 06:03 PM #8
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    The System for Overs (43 and below) created 468 winners and 355 losses in the NFL for the last 7 years
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 12-05-13 06:04 PM #9
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Quote Originally Posted by orhane View Post
    Ok i created a database with line movement and public opinion for the sat 10 years. Depending on trends in each sport you can see patterns. I use these patterns to fade or tail public opinion based on bookies reaction.
    For the NFL I recognized that when the Line is 43 or lower, the probability for over on the public trend increases.
    So if the public goes over and the line is below I tail it.
    not sure i follow that. Im listening
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 12-05-13 06:05 PM #10
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Just so u know ill never take a play of urs. But ill listen
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 12-05-13 06:07 PM #11
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    I Dont understand wat u said. Is the public on the ov 43 so u play that?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 12-05-13 06:11 PM #12
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Quote Originally Posted by orhane View Post
    The System for Overs (43 and below) created 468 winners and 355 losses in the NFL for the last 7 years
    then ur rich. Nice system then. Congrats
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 12-05-13 06:11 PM #13
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by vividjohn45 View Post
    Just so u know ill never take a play of urs. But ill listen
    my main goal is to keep record in public and try to optimize the selection criteria.
    i bet straight by the numbers. no expert in any sport at all.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 12-05-13 06:14 PM #14
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Initiaaly if u said systm plays id let u alone. Thats ur bad. Gl with ur system ill move on
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 12-05-13 06:14 PM #15
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by vividjohn45 View Post
    then ur rich. Nice system then. Congrats
    wish i would be by now. i started 1 year avon with building a program of record keeping and monitoring market movement.
    Now i rely on statistical analysis.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 12-05-13 06:16 PM #16
    vividjohn45
    vividjohn45's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 6,331
    Betpoints: 578

    Well gl. I prefer one play at a time.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 12-05-13 09:45 PM #17
    steel26
    steel26's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-12
    Posts: 53
    Betpoints: 2163

    So do you go with all sports or just nfl?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 12-06-13 06:10 AM #18
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    nba, nfl, ncaaf, ncaab, mlb
    nhl is to hard to predict for me.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 12-06-13 06:11 AM #19
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    1 win and 3 losses to start with.
    more will follow.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 12-06-13 06:24 AM #20
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    These threads are hilarious
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 12-06-13 06:53 AM #21
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Did I do something wrong?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 12-06-13 07:17 AM #22
    SEAHAWKHARRY
    Northern Lights
    SEAHAWKHARRY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-29-07
    Posts: 26,068
    Betpoints: 2385

    Yeah ....u lost
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 12-06-13 08:20 AM #23
    Russian Rocket
    Kleptoman
    Russian Rocket's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-02-12
    Posts: 43,910
    Betpoints: 533

    Quote Originally Posted by orhane View Post
    1 win and 3 losses to start with.
    more will follow.
    Quote Originally Posted by orhane View Post
    Did I do something wrong?
    don't worry about losing...keep on posting your plays.

    gl!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 12-06-13 10:00 AM #24
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Orhane no the threads are just funny

    we all lose but we talk like we are fukkin specialists in certain sports

    Orphy call me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 12-06-13 11:21 AM #25
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Orhane no the threads are just funny

    we all lose but we talk like we are fukkin specialists in certain sports

    Orphy call me
    Totally agree JJ. You are a funny guy sometimes!
    But true that most of us sound like we got it all "figered" out, yet most of us lose more than win.

    b.t.w. - never gonna tail ya again with a ML pick with -500 juice EVER AGAIN!!!
    But I tend to agree with a lot of your picks.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 12-06-13 05:24 PM #26
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Sorry a bit late, but here are key new selections for tonight.

    NBA 8 oklahoma city -5 1 unit 1,93
    NBA 9 la lakers +4 1 unit 1,97
    NBA 9 orlando +5,5 1 unit 1,93
    NCAAB 21 manhattan -9,5 1 unit 1,94
    NCAAB 20 arizona st.under 150 1 unit 1,91
    NCAAB 20 south carolina under 151,5 1 unit 2,00


    good luck everyone
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 12-06-13 05:58 PM #27
    Heandog
    Heandog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-09
    Posts: 1,634
    Betpoints: 956

    Good luck with the Plays don't listen to the other moron i dont see him posting plays.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 12-06-13 09:47 PM #28
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Orphy where are you from??
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 12-06-13 10:08 PM #29
    dnwjdl
    dnwjdl's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-26-11
    Posts: 569
    Betpoints: 632

    Good luck, pal! Just do your thing!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 12-06-13 10:20 PM #30
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    I am from Germany. Thanks for the nice wishes. I will try to keep it going. Maybe it will lead to something good. We will see.
    Main problem is the difference of Time Zones.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 12-07-13 06:21 AM #31
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    5 W - 1 L last night
    overall 6-4 and +1,72 units profit. hope there will be more
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 12-07-13 03:27 PM #32
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    07.12.13 NBA 8 la clippers -6 1 unit 2,02

    new pick for tonight. good luck everyone
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 12-07-13 03:37 PM #33
    AllOfYouLose
    AllOfYouLose's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-13
    Posts: 164
    Betpoints: 0

    Good shit keep it up orhane, ill tail along
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 12-07-13 06:04 PM #34
    Hakki77
    Hakki77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-12
    Posts: 84
    Betpoints: 894

    I am also from Germany,
    loosing a bet is part of our hobby

    Do your thing
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 12-07-13 11:00 PM #35
    orhane
    orhane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-12
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 0

    Clippers lost
    6 W - 5 L
    Tomorrow more with some nice NFL picks i hope.
    +0,72 units
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »