Hey guys,
I'm a recent engineering grad who started handicapping as a hobby now that I have the time to watch sports every day. Basketball has proven itself to be the best sport to actually handicap (i.e predict your own spreads), and NCAAB has proven itself to present more opportunity than the NBA.
What I do is I handicap what I think the spread should actually be, then I look for games where my spread disagrees with the spread offered by the bookie. If there is a 2+ point difference in the spreads I pick the side that gives more value to me. If there is an outrageous difference between the line I drew and the one the book drew, then I presume I missed something and don't touch the game.
As of today (Dec-03), I am 33-12 for a 73.33% win rate on the season. I KNOW THIS NUMBER WILL DROP, 73.3% WIN RATE IS NOT SUSTAINABLE!
None the less, I really believe I am on to something, and would like to share my picks with the community. I already track everything in an excel spreadsheet, but without posting my picks before the game starts, there is no way of knowing if I am for real or not!
Now that the serious crap is out of the way, I would like to say that this is a relaxed thread. I am an engineer, but I also smoke weed almost every night and drink on a regular basis. Spam hate and Spam love are always welcome, anything to keep the thread alive
Tail me, fade me, hate me, whatever...Here come the picks!