[LT Profits]

The home/away splits for these two teams suggest that this game is a toss-up, so we will gladly take Rider as a home underdog in this spot.

Siena is averaging 73.9 points per game on the road while winning by an average of +2.9 points in those games. Rider is averaging a fraction less at home at 72.4 points, but it has a slightly higher average winning margin in those games of +3.4 points. One intangible advantage that Rider may have here is revenge, as it has lost the last four meetings with the Saints with one of those losses coming here at home.

We do like the fact that the underdog Broncs appear to have a defensive edge, limiting its home opponents to 42.0 percent shooting from the floor while Siena is allowing its road opponents to shoot 44.4 percent. Finally free throws could become crucial in what should be a close game throughout, and Rider holds a HUGE edge in that department, hitting an outstanding 80.7 percent of its free throws at home compared to a poor 63.8 percent for Siena on the road!

[bigboydan]

This game is going to be another run and gun affair today, and I feel that would be the best way to play it. However 151 is a few more points than I feel comfortable laying.