Austin Peay has looked like two different teams home and away this year, so we will call for the mild upset by Tennessee Martin in this spot.

The Governors are 10-6 overall, but they are 7-1 at home and just 3-5 on the road. Moreover they are losing those road contests by a whopping average of -9.4 points per game. The problem has been the Austin Peay defense, which is allowing 73.6 points per game on the road while generously allowing those opponents to hit 49.9 percent from the field!

Tennessee Martin may be 5-14, but it has not been a pushover here at home where it has won the last two games outright by 24 and 8 points respectively. The Skyhawks are allowing 64.8 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting in this building, and they could even improve on those numbers here facing a Peay offense that is hitting a dreadful 40.4 percent from the floor on the road.