1. 03-20-13 07:59 AM #1
    mike skinyeart
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    Value picks for 3/20

    record to date (17-5-1) 100 per bet +1150

    The games im betting tonight i went 4-4 in the game i bet yesterday ended up down 40 betting 100 on each game threw a 100 bet in a sf austin +7 as i went to bed woke up +60 still not what i like or where i want to be at we need to get it today....

    bosie state-1.5 has a 67%chance to cover
    stony brook4.5 has a 61.5% chance to cover
    charleston southern+14 has a 71%chance to cover
    wright state-5 has a 62%chance to cover
    North dakota+15 has a 66%chance to cover
    Weber state-6 has a 62%chance to cover
    western illinios +12 76% chance to cover


    Nba
    Thunder over 189 62% chance to cover
    Spurs over 203 74% chance to cover

    (parlay i like north dakota, boise state, Charleston southern, and stoney brook)
    took liu off parlay probly not betting game at all now
    Last edited by mike skinyeart; 03-20-13 at 02:59 PM.
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  2. 03-20-13 08:22 AM #2
    PorkChop
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    Umass blows out Stony Brook. UMass is extremely undervalued here at -4. Should be -7/-8
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  3. 03-20-13 09:25 AM #3
    Ratpack
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    i agree porkchop umass blows out stonybrook plus i see kent state blowing out fairfield
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  4. 03-20-13 10:49 AM #4
    hugh4310
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    Any NBA
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  5. 03-20-13 12:11 PM #5
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by hugh4310 View Post
    Any NBA
    not yet looking at numbers now went 2-0 in nba last night but didnt bet them
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  6. 03-20-13 12:12 PM #6
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Umass blows out Stony Brook. UMass is extremely undervalued here at -4. Should be -7/-8
    umass wins 71-70 or loses 70-69 gonna be close
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  7. 03-20-13 12:33 PM #7
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by hugh4310 View Post
    Any NBA
    only thing i see that has value

    Thunder over 189 62%
    spurs over 202 74% not touching any other games small lean on cavs+12 but other then that all games are coin flips
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  8. 03-20-13 01:55 PM #8
    koch & balls
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    hey mike, u know why they have james Madison now covering at 59.5% after having LIU to cover before? Something is fishy
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  9. 03-20-13 01:59 PM #9
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by koch & balls View Post
    hey mike, u know why they have james Madison now covering at 59.5% after having LIU to cover before? Something is fishy

    Not sure what up with it seems fishy maybe some inside information not out yet maybe there center will play first have now something is sketchy
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  10. 03-20-13 02:07 PM #10
    koch & balls
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    damn wish I had held off before betting LIU just hope they win now.
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  11. 03-20-13 02:13 PM #11
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by koch & balls View Post
    damn wish I had held off before betting LIU just hope they win now.
    Yeah i always get these games i like write them down and watch the numbers and see what happens with the line i never bet untill a hour from tip you might get a extra .5 or full point and if it goes the other way i lay off

    even though i put a early bet in for 100 on liu first half
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  12. 03-20-13 02:50 PM #12
    abzflabz
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    Hey mike do you use the same system for other sports or just bball?
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  13. 03-20-13 02:52 PM #13
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by abzflabz View Post
    Hey mike do you use the same system for other sports or just bball?
    i use it for all but not good in baseball lol but my best sports are college football and the nfl
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  14. 03-20-13 03:10 PM #14
    Tedpotter
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    How does this system work? Do you compare your percent of win to the numbers fire percent likelihood to cover? Where do you come up with your personal percent?
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  15. 03-20-13 03:17 PM #15
    DHB
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    good luck with ur plays mike.
    i only like weber and north dakota..

    uc irvine-8 looks good aswell.
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  16. 03-20-13 03:37 PM #16
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by DHB View Post
    good luck with ur plays mike.
    i only like weber and north dakota..

    uc irvine-8 looks good aswell.

    I got uc irvine at -8.5 they only have a 40% chance to cover i would bet high point with the points
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  17. 03-20-13 05:44 PM #17
    survivalinstinct
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    You playing all of those plays today? what do you think about the total on fairfield?
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  18. 03-20-13 05:59 PM #18
    RavensFan2k3
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    Alot of people are on Charleston Southern...anyone here thing they can beat Southern Miss straight up?
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  19. 03-20-13 06:01 PM #19
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by survivalinstinct View Post
    You playing all of those plays today? what do you think about the total on fairfield?
    i usually play a 4 team parlay i posted it up top the 4 teams im playing!! and fairfield over under at 127.5 i wont touch it but the under has a very slight edge
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  20. 03-20-13 06:04 PM #20
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Alot of people are on Charleston Southern...anyone here thing they can beat Southern Miss straight up?
    small have a 22% shot at a outright win i think they lose by 7 or 8
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  21. 03-20-13 06:13 PM #21
    survivalinstinct
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    Scared of the stony brook play so i passed it up but i think im with you on most of the others. Played fairfield and indiana state just based on line movement.
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  22. 03-20-13 09:57 PM #22
    jimmcc01
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    any early thoughts tomorrow?
    my leans.
    Valparaiso +10.5
    Southern +22
    UNLV -3
    Harvard +11
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  23. 03-20-13 10:07 PM #23
    koch & balls
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    great picks jimmcc01 I would add Montana +13.5, Oklahoma st -2.5, and south Dakota st +11 as well
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  24. 03-20-13 10:08 PM #24
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmcc01 View Post
    any early thoughts tomorrow?
    my leans.
    Valparaiso +10.5
    Southern +22
    UNLV
    Harvard +11
    nothing yet threw a late bet on zona post about 11 tomorrow
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  25. 03-20-13 11:19 PM #25
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike skinyeart View Post
    small have a 22% shot at a outright win i think they lose by 7 or 8
    Spot on with this call another so so night 5-4 nba killed me +60 on the day better tomorrow with some real game some teams didn't even give effort today
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  26. 03-20-13 11:58 PM #26
    survivalinstinct
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike skinyeart View Post
    Spot on with this call another so so night 5-4 nba killed me +60 on the day better tomorrow with some real game some teams didn't even give effort today
    You have a lot of good plays but i think maybe also watching line movement will help you in the long run. both nba games had reverse movement on the totals.
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  27. 03-21-13 12:00 AM #27
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by survivalinstinct View Post
    You have a lot of good plays but i think maybe also watching line movement will help you in the long run. both nba games had reverse movement on the totals.
    Yeah I tell my picks early and always wait till 30 mins before tip to throw it in I just tell you guys who I'm on
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