Middle Tenn St +3.5 [5.5 units]
Middle Tennessee is a experienced that has +2.1 TO margin, +6.0 RPG margin on the glass and can both shoot 3s [37.8%] and defend the 3s [29.6%] 19th in nation.
The Gaels are also experienced & shoots 37.5% on 3s, out-rebound opponents by +8.7 RPG this season, the sixth-best margin in the nation however the team has a few glaring weaknesses, inability to both defend the 3pt shot [37.5%] allowed and inability to create turnovers [6.3 SPG], 225th in nation.
We get line value as my power ranking has this contest @ pk on neutral floor, better defence, a team getting to the FT line more, lopsided crowd support and scheduling dynamics. Make the bookies pay for odds-maker's error.