1. 03-19-13 01:04 PM #1
    mike skinyeart
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    Value bets for 3/19

    First of all i like alot of games today i have never bet this many in a day i usually bet 2 or 3 max but today im betting 8!!

    Northeastern +12 68% chance to cover
    Louisiana tech +3 66% chance to cover
    Kentucky -3.5 66% chance to cover
    norfolk +16 62% chance to cover
    charleston-3 chance to cover
    rider-1 67% chance to cover
    eastern kentucky-2 64% chance to cover
    north carolina at-3 67%chance to cover


    every other game has less then a 55% chance to cover so you have no edge just hoping it hits!!
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  2. 03-19-13 02:57 PM #2
    DHB
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    good luck mike.
    parlaying them aswell?
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  3. 03-19-13 03:34 PM #3
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by DHB View Post
    good luck mike.
    parlaying them aswell?
    Always do
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  4. 03-19-13 04:26 PM #4
    Bostongambler
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    Just curious where do you come up with your %'s?
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  5. 03-19-13 04:41 PM #5
    survivalinstinct
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    is today the first time you have so many plays that fit your system? or is today the first time your playing them all?
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  6. 03-19-13 04:54 PM #6
    koch & balls
    my nipples r so sensitive
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    thanks for a great post! don't forget the Denver nuggets tonight too (although I am hesitant because of the OT yesterday)!
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  7. 03-19-13 05:36 PM #7
    JSimon
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    Thanks mike!
    Pany nba plays?
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  8. 03-19-13 05:41 PM #8
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by survivalinstinct View Post
    is today the first time you have so many plays that fit your system? or is today the first time your playing them all?
    Its the first time that many games fit the numbers i usually bet 2 games max and if you guys want the Nuggets-thunder game I would bet nuggets +9.5 have 64% chance to cover even though i myself would not bet this game i can see Thunder covering at home if it were in denver i bet nuggets -4 but Im leaning to the nuggets but not betting it thunder win 113-107!!

    Bad night in the nba thunder+9.5 64% cover rate and
    kings+9 60% cover rate But i would not bet either personally GL everyone
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  9. 03-19-13 06:15 PM #9
    Tedpotter
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    Great stuff

    I'm really enjoying these plays mike! Can you please explain your system and how you derive the percentages? You mentioned it only works for spreads and not for sports like baseball...is this accurate?
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  10. 03-19-13 06:24 PM #10
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tedpotter View Post
    I'm really enjoying these plays mike! Can you please explain your system and how you derive the percentages? You mentioned it only works for spreads and not for sports like baseball...is this accurate?
    it works for all sports but baseball like like 50/50 not reliable
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  11. 03-19-13 06:27 PM #11
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    Just curious where do you come up with your %'s?

    its hard to explain just sit back and read what i post ill do the work for you just cash the checks and have fun!!
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  12. 03-19-13 06:47 PM #12
    lakecityransom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tedpotter View Post
    I'm really enjoying these plays mike! Can you please explain your system and how you derive the percentages? You mentioned it only works for spreads and not for sports like baseball...is this accurate?
    Quote Originally Posted by mike skinyeart View Post
    its hard to explain just sit back and read what i post ill do the work for you just cash the checks and have fun!!
    lol if he remains 90% hes gonna patent it not give out his secret. I am watching with anticipation...
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  13. 03-19-13 06:54 PM #13
    Tedpotter
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    I wish I could sit back but what happens if you do not continue to post I'm screwed lol
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  14. 03-19-13 10:19 PM #14
    hugh4310
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    4-4 looking foward to your picks tomorrow!
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  15. 03-19-13 10:28 PM #15
    mike skinyeart
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    Quote Originally Posted by hugh4310 View Post
    4-4 looking foward to your picks tomorrow!
    yeah just down the juice should of won that ncat game missed a few 1 and 1 foul shots to seal it and northeastern was a joke!
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