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Going for my books jugular: Tourney destroyer edition
Its that time of the year fellas ... im not big on advising people on plays because i have guilt when a play loses but i love discussion and seeing different angles that i might miss.
Won't see write ups or a whole lot in depth from me but i make decisions mostly based on line and movement.
early lines that look good for Tuesday
st marys -3
lehigh +5
Kent state -6
northern Iowa -15.5
If anyone has info or wants to share... let it be heard!!!
I like st marys as well
Im really starting to over think the st marys play. looking at mid Tenn's schedule and sonera teams they have beaten as well as how dependant st marys is on delladova... if he's not on point the its going to be a long game.Originally Posted by Renegades
3/19/13
Locking in
La Tech +3.5
lines dropping and i don't want to jump in too late
dont usually play teasers but this might be a good one to add on a 3 team
I love St. Marys also...so if everyone loves it ...it should either skyrocket by gametime or I should stay away from it. St. Mary's guard Jordan Page is most likely not gonna play tonight. But I'll still take them with that other white boy guard that always looks hungover and likes he has all his teeth knocked out with that mouthpiece. Gooo St. Marys.
Just made it a play officially and locked it in
St Marys -3
forgot to post a few plays that i played but if it matters got eastern kentucky and NCAT ... wont count them in my record though since it already tipped off
have to say I like the elevation at Wyoming.....I'm gonna go against ya on that one. Good luck either way. At least you made me research that game.
Im actually only playing st marys from my early leans.
So far the card that i Have
St Marys
La Tech
Santa Clara Over
adding 2h over st johns 69
adding 2h college of charleston -4
adding 2h La tech +1
shooting only 26% but controlling the boards and forcing turnovers. I cant see snaer continuing to shoot from distance like he did in the first half. Look for a La Tech outright win here.
Great start to a long road ahead 3/19/13
La Tech +3.5
St marys -3
Santa Clara/Vermont Over 136
2h La tech +1
2h Charleston -4
2h St Jonhs/Stjoes over 69
Overall Record 5-1
3/20/13
nothing locked in yet but looking at
charleston southern
weber state
green bay over
fairfield
western Illinois
Played
Fairfield
Indiana state
Western Illinois
Should have sticked to my original plays but oh well
lost western Illinois lost Indiana state
won fairfield
record 6-3
still good day because a few unposted plays hit but back at it tomorrow
3/21/13
first plays of the day
Valpo +11
wichita state +4
waiting on a decision to play
Bucknell
Adding
Harvard
Harvard over
Montana
3-3 posted plays
9-6 total Record
killed it on totals today but didn't post most of them
I think every reverse line movement total hit today
3/22/13
playing
albany
creighton over
unc over
Miami
Good day
4-0
total record 13-6
Need to get better at posting plays. missed a few that hit for me.
still a good 2nd round
3/23/13
ready for a big day again... Surprisingly not a single person has any thoughts on my plays
Today Plays
Marquette
Gonzaga under
Michigan(max play)
Arizona
Oregon
Northern Iowa under (max play)
lot of favorites but i don't see these teams letting down today
total record 13-6
What kind of numbers are you getting, are playing the ml or ATS
Playing spreads unless specified. Most of the time i wait 5-10 minutes before game time to actually place my bet so i get whatever the closing line is.
As of now i have Michigan -4 locked in
Michigan looks like a great call!
Its hard to imagine Michigan not covering that spread when they are essentially playing a home game.
What is your insight over the Arizona game? Do you think they can stop Harvard three point game?
Watched plenty of Harvard this year and they are not as impressive as they seem. Have a tendency to break down 2h and rely too heavily on jump shots. If they hit long range they will have a outside shot of covering but otherwise i think they are overvalued. Should be a spread closer to 14 in my opinion.
Look for Arizona to control the boards and the pace of this game.
Adding play
Memphis/MSU under 131
Wow is she beautiful. Who is she ?
Any thoughts on Marquette and butler over?
Can't say i have a good read on the total for that game but if i had a gun to my head i would play the under. Seeing a lot of action on the over already probably because last matchup they scored 143.
Adding
Memphis/msu 2h under 70
Half unit play only. Shouldnt play it but its too tempting
Cash out on
Michigan
Memphis/msu under
Memphis/msu under 2h
good start. lets keep it rolling
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