[16johnnymac]

In the paint, the rebound battle will feature Louisville's No. 35-rated squad against Cincinnati's No. 6-rated roster. And in long-range shooting, Louisville rates No. 221 in the country with 5.7 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 100 nationally with 6.9 per match.

Defensively, Cincinnati features the nation's No. 34-rated defense on the road, allowing 62.4 points per game. Louisville, meanwhile, comes in at No. 65 nationally in scoring at home.

In their last action, Cincinnati was a 61-56 winner at home against Connecticut. They failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as favorites. Cincinnati earned a 61-56 victory over Connecticut on Saturday, getting 20 points from Sean Kilpatrick at Fifth Third Arena.

Louisville was a 58-53 winner in its last match on the road against Syracuse. They covered the 1.5-point spread as underdogs. The Cardinals got 18 points from Russ Smith as Louisville ran past Syracuse 58-53 on Saturday at Carrier Dome.

Cincinnati Bearcats Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing South Florida are 6-4
After playing Connecticut are 3-6
After a win are 5-5

Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing on Monday are 9-1
Before playing Notre Dame are 10-0
After playing Syracuse are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

A few Bearcats at Cardinals trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Cincinnati is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Louisville is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
I hope this helps

J Mac

[PaperTrail07]

[DennisT]

Still cappin.

[stevenash]

Nice write up.

The way I see it, Louisville is an elite Big East team, Cincy is barely better than a mediocre Big East team.
Louisville allows only 58 points a game #21 ranked in the nation, Cincy is a middle of the pack team in the nation in scoring offense.

Cincy has a good defense, Louisville better defense.
Dieng in the middle is a rebounding beast.

Louisville at home will crush Cincy.
Louisville scoring margin is 15.5, (fourth best in the nation) they score on the average almost 74 and give up a little more than 58.

I don't see them winning by less than that number, 15.5

Cards by 18

[mcduggly]

Nice write up.

The way I see it, Louisville is an elite Big East team, Cincy is barely better than a mediocre Big East team.
Louisville allows only 58 points a game #21 ranked in the nation, Cincy is a middle of the pack team in the nation in scoring offense.

Cincy has a good defense, Louisville better defense.
Dieng in the middle is a rebounding beast.

Louisville at home will crush Cincy.
Louisville scoring margin is 15.5, (fourth best in the nation) they score on the average almost 74 and give up a little more than 58.

I don't see them winning by less than that number, 15.5

Cards by 18

Be careful though, the Bearcats hold teams 11.5 points fewer than their season averages. This has low-scoring all over it, making double digits a scary spread to give.

[stevenash]

the Bearcats hold teams 11.5 points fewer than their season averages.

Good and square 'cappers know this, I think it's 68-52 type of game.
I really think Cincy can't hang with the Cards in Louisville's house.
If the game was at Cincy, I would give them a fighting chance though, just like Louisville tonight, but that's just me.

g/l

[DennisT]

Starting to lean Louisville.

[stevenash]

stevenash;17993210I think it's 68-52 type of game.

Just saying.

(final 67-51 Louisville)