1. 02-19-13 03:09 PM #1
    BlitzTheBooks
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    Will the ATS trend reverse today? Interesting numbers yesterday.....

    Post is for entertainment purposes only, but road teams were 7-2 ATS yesterday while dogs were 8-1 (road dogs 7-1)
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  2. 02-20-13 05:06 PM #2
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    Trend seemed to reverse a little next day: favorites went 11-7 yesterday. Once again though, road teams were the play going 11-7.
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  3. 02-20-13 05:08 PM #3
    Da Beer Guy
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    so who is due today dogs ?
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  4. 02-20-13 05:10 PM #4
    BlitzTheBooks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Beer Guy View Post
    so who is due today dogs ?
    Not really sure if anyone is 'due', but I remember last season (can't remember what sport) where someone pointed out a trend of Vegas over doing lines the day after one side hit heavy. If anything, I would think home teams would do some damage if you blindly played what the trend SHOULD show.
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  5. 02-20-13 05:16 PM #5
    Da Beer Guy
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    oh ok so home teams were bad ATS yesterday?
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  6. 02-20-13 05:19 PM #6
    BlitzTheBooks
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    Yeah, went 7-11 ATS. Dogs hit 54.5% the last week, makes me think the favs are up for covering to even it out a bit.
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  7. 02-20-13 05:36 PM #7
    Da Beer Guy
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlitzTheBooks View Post
    Yeah, went 7-11 ATS. Dogs hit 54.5% the last week, makes me think the favs are up for covering to even it out a bit.
    good point. yeah dogs have been covering like crazy lately
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  8. 02-21-13 07:04 AM #8
    Da Beer Guy
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    Home favorites of 6 or more points did quite yesterday. Good call.

    So if the trend continues road underdogs of about 5 or more points
    should cover today right?

    So far i'm thinking
    Utah +13
    Georgia +10
    BYU +8
    California +5

    Maybe Duke -13. Lot of points to lay on the road but Duke gonna wax
    that ass tonight. Home court can only help VT so much.
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  9. 02-21-13 07:08 AM #9
    Da Beer Guy
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    maybe penn state +16?
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  10. 02-21-13 08:34 AM #10
    mtc44380
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    SAlabama +15 stands out to me
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  11. 02-21-13 09:29 AM #11
    Serbone
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlitzTheBooks View Post
    Post is for entertainment purposes only, but road teams were 7-2 ATS yesterday while dogs were 8-1 (road dogs 7-1)
    Not a wise idea to look at this random occurance and think of it as a "trend".
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  12. 02-21-13 10:58 AM #12
    Da Beer Guy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serbone View Post
    Not a wise idea to look at this random occurance and think of it as a "trend".
    dude the books keep adjusting and the public been getting
    worked harder than a kardashian sister
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  13. 02-21-13 02:30 PM #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serbone View Post
    Not a wise idea to look at this random occurance and think of it as a "trend".
    Not viewing it as a 'trend', hence the entertainment purposes only. It is worth tracking day-by-day long term though, if only to get a gauge for the line makers performance.
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  14. 02-21-13 03:52 PM #14
    Da Beer Guy
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlitzTheBooks View Post
    Not viewing it as a 'trend', hence the entertainment purposes only. It is worth tracking day-by-day long term though, if only to get a gauge for the line makers performance.
    aight man so am i right road dogs are the play today?
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  15. 02-21-13 04:28 PM #15
    DennisT
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    Va. Tech. +13
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  16. 02-22-13 10:48 AM #16
    Da Beer Guy
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    Road underdogs of 5 or more all covered

    Utah
    California
    georgia
    byu
    penn state

    what are we for on saturday? penetrate this bullshit card tonight!

    all home dogs cover?
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  17. 02-22-13 10:49 AM #17
    Da Beer Guy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Beer Guy View Post
    Home favorites of 6 or more points did quite yesterday. Good call.

    So if the trend continues road underdogs of about 5 or more points
    should cover today right?

    So far i'm thinking
    Utah +13
    Georgia +10
    BYU +8
    California +5

    Maybe Duke -13. Lot of points to lay on the road but Duke gonna wax
    that ass tonight. Home court can only help VT so much.
    who is penetrating sharp SBR???
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  18. 02-22-13 10:50 AM #18
    Da Beer Guy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serbone View Post
    Not a wise idea to look at this random occurance and think of it as a "trend".
    who is wise now biyatch
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  19. 02-22-13 06:40 PM #19
    BlitzTheBooks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Beer Guy View Post
    who is penetrating sharp SBR???
    Like I said, its worth looking at. Def not throwing a bank roll towards but Vegas is a machine just like any other business out there. If you're good, you CAN get a feel for what their next move will be. Hope you played those.
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  20. 02-22-13 11:43 PM #20
    Da Beer Guy
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    not as large as i should have.
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  21. 02-22-13 11:45 PM #21
    Da Beer Guy
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    Okay I just want to make sure i am on the same page with you and i'm not trying to put you on the spot here but accordingly to the way things have been going what type of games would you say are "due" to hit tomorrow?

    At first glance i like a lot of road teams on Saturday.
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  22. 02-23-13 07:49 AM #22
    Da Beer Guy
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    you there homie?
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