I've had my eye on S. Ill and played them 3 times victoriously in the past two weeks. They are playing tougher defense (they force a shit ton on turnovers) and are hitting a lot more shots than they had been in the first two months of the season! I really really want to take the 16 points tomorrow against Creighton (who hasnt been playing well) and obviouly live by the 3 (which they havent been connecting recently as well as they have all year)
On to the big result...Creighton smashed S. ILL by 30 on the road, and connected over 60% from the field and hit 12 3s at a 60% clip. In the same game, Creighton commited 18 turnovers...which in my eyes is a recipie for disaster...but not when your opponent shoots 35% and you shoot 60% apparently!
My gut is to take the points and the team who has been more consistent over the past two weeks. Something also tells me that Creighton deserves to be favored by 16...oh yeah, THEY WON BY 30 ON THE ROAD...
S. Ill's ATS record is littered by streaks, a 4 game L streak and a 5 game L streak...also a 3 game W streak, and now currently a 4 game W streak...
As much as I want to take these points, I may have just talked myself out of even selecting it at all with all of this info!
Perspective?...