[frongi]

I've been using a statistical betting system that is now 34-22 after a 5-5 day yesterday.

The plays it is giving me today are Minny -9 and Bradley +3.5. I haven't seen anyone talk about the Bradley game today so if you want someone's opinion on it there you go. I booked Minny for 2x and Bradley for 1x because I thought line would go up to 4 but unfortunately it went down to 3 so no more on that.

The system has some leans but it has typically been only about 50% on those so I will leave those out for now. If the line moves enough to be a play then I will post. BOL all

[SteelRain]

what are you using to model your system? STATA?

[frongi]

NC state -1 made it as a play.

EDIT: Colorado +1.5 is a play as well. Not sure how they are dogs here.

[frongi]

what are you using to model your system? STATA?

R and excel. Excel is underrated

[frongi]

PLAYS:

Minny -9 2x, -8.5 1x
Bradley +3 1x (will put another 1x or .5x down if i can get 3.5)
NC St -1.5 1x
Colorado +1.5 1.5x

Looking at 1x plays on Drake if it gets to +9 and Duke if it gets to -10.5

[frongi]

bradley hits by .5 and nc st. misses by .5. the gambling gods giveth and the gambling gods taketh. shows the importance of getting a good line...

[frongi]

Minny lost, luckily I put another 1.5x on Colorado to end the day down only juice. 2-2. Upping my bet on Colorado was a chase (though the line was a half point better) and long term it's not good to chase so I guess I got a little lucky this time. Will keep bets to 2x next time.