[Louisvillekid1]

Mich St banged up big time and coming off very tough games. Minny starting to get their confidence back after two close wins.

I think the Gophers go wire to wire in this one and win by 8-10...

[Ralphie1412]

a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.

[Brock Landers]

LOVE Michigan St ML here

[No coincidences]

a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.

I lean Gophers here too (which is probably a bad thing for LK), but the revenge angle worries me. Plus I agree Minnesota isn't exactly playing its best ball right now. I watched the MSU/Minnesota game the first time around and I'm kind of thinking this is a pretty sharp number and either side is going to be sweating this bet out late.

[BigDeem5]

Lets go hit Lville

[No coincidences]

LOVE Michigan St ML here

ruh-roh

[Louisvillekid1]

a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.

And yet the line comes out this short...

Enticing the following ...

LOVE Michigan St ML here

:

[No coincidences]

I'm assuming Trice is out -- what about Gary Harris?

[Louisvillekid1]

I'm assuming Trice is out -- what about Gary Harris?

Prob going to play, but can't be 100%

I even going to predict some RLM here..

Closes at 3/3.5

[BigDeem5]

Minnesota better team, but on road. Figure minny will be public side... Agh.

I lean minny too.

And landers is on MSU...

Do the following

[Ralphie1412]

LOVE Michigan St ML here

well there ya go

[No coincidences]

Minnesota better team, but on road. Figure minny will be public side... Agh.

I lean minny too.

And landers is on MSU...

Do the following

They are?

[Louisvillekid1]

Minnesota better team, but on road. Figure minny will be public side... Agh.

I lean minny too.

And landers is on MSU...

Do the following

They will? I think MSU will be backed pretty hard here by public

[No coincidences]

Prob going to play, but can't be 100%

I even going to predict some RLM here..

Closes at 3/3.5

Probably will, especially because it technically opened at 2.5 @ BOL.

02/05 08:55 PM	+4½ -110	-4½ -110
02/05 06:19 PM	+4 -110	-4 -110
02/05 05:19 PM	+3½ -110	-3½ -110
02/05 02:22 PM	+2½ -110	-2½ -110

[BigDeem5]

My opinion, yes

However Izzo better coach with home court

[No coincidences]

They will? I think MSU will be backed pretty hard here by public

Yep. Public loves short home favorites.

[Louisvillekid1]

Probably will, especially because it technically opened at 2.5 @ BOL.

02/05 08:55 PM	+4½ -110	-4½ -110
02/05 06:19 PM	+4 -110	-4 -110
02/05 05:19 PM	+3½ -110	-3½ -110
02/05 02:22 PM	+2½ -110	-2½ -110

Wow I didn't see that thought it opened @ 4

[BigDeem5]

I'd love to get 4...

Minnesota +4 should cash. Minny ml give it 50-50

[No coincidences]

Wow I didn't see that thought it opened @ 4

BOL goes with the "pre market" Glantz-Culver numbers. You can look at that two ways: the "opening line" was soft and MSU got pounded, or the market -- led by Pinny of course -- was just correcting itself and now you're seeing a more true number.

[No coincidences]

I'd love to get 4...

Minnesota +4 should cash. Minny ml give it 50-50

What do you mean you'd "love to get 4"? It's 4 right now. Go get it.

[Brock Landers]

MSU ML WILL cash

They basically never lose big ten home games

[ClayMaker52]

I'm a Minnesota alum and watch nearly every game. You guys need to be careful here, the gophers haven't played well in weeks. Beating nebraska at home and then uglying it up for 40 minutes and squeaking by Iowa as a double digit favorite isn't a great indicator of how this team is doing right now. Tubby Smith is in hot water- our rotation is a mess and frankly he hasn't coached very well of late. I understand the angle, but just don't sell out on this one play- we definitely are not a lock.

[No coincidences]

MSU ML WILL cash

They basically never lose big ten home games

Is that your reasoning? Seriously?

[Ralphie1412]

MSU ML WILL cash

They basically never lose big ten home games

I love your analysis. Brock you are 40 years old and have been doing this for years and you still bet like a 16 year old girl

"they liiiiike never lose at home......Like....totally."

[Louisvillekid1]

I'm a Minnesota alum and watch nearly every game. You guys need to be careful here, the gophers haven't played well in weeks. Beating nebraska at home and then uglying it up for 40 minutes and squeaking by Iowa as a double digit favorite isn't a great indicator of how this team is doing right now. Tubby Smith is in hot water- our rotation is a mess and frankly he hasn't coached very well of late. I understand the angle, but just don't sell out on this one play- we definitely are not a lock.

This is why its a good to buy low in this spot...

I think they play big tomorrow...

[Ralphie1412]

The Big 10 tournament is going to be sick this year.

[No coincidences]

The Big 10 tournament is going to be sick this year.

Yes and no.

MSU, for instance, typically tanks unless they have something to play for. I've read that Izzo would rather be out and get ready for the real tournament.

Hopefully Minnesota or Illinois will catch a second wind. Wisconsin just isn't very good. Iowa's not quite there yet. Purdue, Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State are awful. That basically leaves the big three unless MSU is going for a higher seed in the NCAA Tournament.

[Louisvillekid1]

Yes and no.

MSU, for instance, typically tanks unless they have something to play for. I've read that Izzo would rather be out and get ready for the real tournament.

Hopefully Minnesota or Illinois will catch a second wind. Wisconsin just isn't very good. Iowa's not quite there yet. Purdue, Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State are awful. That basically leaves the big three unless MSU is going for a higher seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Minny will and I don't think anyone wants to play Illinois in early round of that tourny

[Emily_Haines]

I love your analysis. Brock you are 40 years old and have been doing this for years and you still bet like a 16 year old girl

"they liiiiike never lose at home......Like....totally."

Brock is 50 and has no bankroll left

[No coincidences]

Minny will and I don't think anyone wants to play Illinois in early round of that tourny

Illini are dangerous if they get hot from deep, and I still think their coaching situation is significantly better than it was a year ago.

[no1here]

very confident minnesota doesn't have a chance here at win or spread

[Big Bear]

a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.

same here. minnesota playing like bums lately. They are a below average team on the road.

hope minnesota wins though i am not much of a fan of michigan state

[Big Bear]

Yep. Public loves short home favorites.

not that it matters but public on minnesota for some reason..

[Ron29301]

not that it matters but public on minnesota for some reason..

My shop has it at +4.5. For what reason if the public is on MIN?

[Big Bear]

My shop has it at +4.5. For what reason if the public is on MIN?

my bad last night minnesota got pounded. guess that was sharp money.

now vegasinsider showing 96% of bets on michigan state.