I predict that an unranked five-loss Pittsburgh team will be favored over Syracuse on Saturday and we will see the usual suspects yelling "How can Syracuse be getting points" and "trap line" and the such.
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02-01-13 05:41 AM #1
And the Next "Suspicious" CBB Line Will Be?
Last edited by LT Profits; 02-01-13 at 05:46 AM.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Dutch, and CarpeDime
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02-01-13 05:47 AM #2
Obviously meant "Suspicious"
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02-01-13 06:18 AM #3
nice thread...
last couple nights stanford and st louis have been easy money.
Can we trust Pitt???
Ive seen them have let downs at home over the past few years... i just hope they have the offense to hang with Cuse
but i am def leaning pitt
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02-01-13 06:38 AM #4
My guess is Pitt -2 or -3. It's doubtful I'll play this game.
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02-01-13 06:41 AM #5
yes Pitt -3 is my base line. Who I like depends on where the actual line falls.
Originally Posted by floridagolfer
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02-01-13 09:19 AM #6
you said the same thing about the notre dame/villanova game and how did that turn out for ya?!... Originally Posted by Big Bear
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02-01-13 10:37 AM #7
Hey LT,..been looking at this game since the Pitts/Louisville game. Granted...Louisville is REALLY slumping these last few games.. but Pitts did maintain with them. So,. with this and the fact both,..Pitts/Syracuse coming off road losses with Pitts coming home to step up and play this #6 squad.. I think they truly will. could be a good chance of moving ahead of Georgetown here..
Speaking of the Hoyas...Look who Syracuse faces the last few games of THEIR schedule..
Syracuse may be looking ahead at this point. Look at the last 5 games for syracuse..
Home/Georgetown..
Away/Marquette..
Home/Louisville..
Home/Depaul...
Away/Georgetown..
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02-01-13 11:11 AM #8
i said what about the notre dame game?? Originally Posted by Da Manster!
you said the same thing about the notre dame/villanova game and how did that turn out for ya?!...
i dont even know if im betting this
pitt/cuse game.
yeah i took notre dame but i never said notre dame was easy money.
I took ND b/c i was tailing T-Wizz bc i respect him as a capper and he said it was his play of the year.
BTW i bought points and luckily for me i bought down to ND -5 and i got a push.
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02-01-13 11:44 AM #9
Cuse is down to 7 scholarship players. This is not the same team that they had at the begining of the year. Their best spot up jump shooter Southerland is out indefinately for ncaa violation reasons and their big man freshman Coleman just hurt his knee and is out 4 weeks.
The loss of southerland is starting to show, they don't really have a spot up jump shooter which is allowing the defense to concentrate on stopping the inside game and guards from slashing. It is starting to catch up to them.
If Cuse was healthy, it would be different. Don't be surprised if Cuse loses 3-4 more down the stretch.
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02-01-13 12:07 PM #10
My prediction is no coins head is gonna explode when he sees you on pitt and kenpom has them winning by 4
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02-01-13 12:37 PM #11
Agree: Pitt -3 Also, Indiana 2.5 over Michigan.
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02-01-13 12:44 PM #12
With Syracuse missing so much, I don't see how or why anyone would be surprised if Pitt is favored.
They are a shell of the team they had in December.
It's the Big East (for at least this season), with two evenly matched teams who both shoot well (Pitt shooting 48%), and rebounding well (Syracuse 1-Pitt 2) in the Big East.
Pitt being favored just makes sense.
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02-01-13 12:45 PM #13
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02-01-13 01:26 PM #14
If Pitt is favored, Syracuse will be one of the easiest plays of the year so far. We're not losing that game and I'm no homer when it comes to betting, I said to take Providence and Nova in my last two posts about our games.
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02-01-13 01:27 PM #15
Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1
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02-01-13 01:36 PM #16
More like Indiana -4 or -4.5 Originally Posted by chunk
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02-01-13 01:59 PM #17
Posted this about an hour ago.I have Indiana at -4.5.
Recently OSU was -1.5 favourite over Michigan, and won by 3. I believe Indiana is a basket or so better then OSU.
I only focus on 4 conferences, but I feel like lately, I've been right there with LT. Also tonight I figured Princeton to be about -9.5. Was surprised to lock in at +13.5
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02-01-13 02:05 PM #18
Based on some criteria, I predict what I think the line will be, not necessarily what I think it should be.
If the line is 3 points or more off, I have been tracking these plays (only for Big 10, M-Valley, M-West and Ivy)
In the last 2 weeks over 67 games, there have been 18 plays, which have resulted in a 13-3-2 record.
My average line has been about 1.8 off from the actual closing line. Not too shabby.
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02-01-13 05:17 PM #19
No surprises with Pitt and Indiana openers
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02-01-13 05:24 PM #20
Originally Posted by LT Profits
Good call....tough spot for Michigan.
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02-02-13 12:28 AM #21
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02-02-13 03:36 AM #22
quantifying an edge based on such is "suspicious"......
realizing an edge is liberating......
how much does one have to lose before one realizes "it is what it is"......
I guess some enjoy being slapped in the face with a soggy trout
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02-02-13 04:11 AM #23
They didnt have southerland against louisville and they still beat them Originally Posted by isotopes
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02-02-13 05:16 AM #24
Line is not suspicious at all. Right where it should be.
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02-02-13 06:26 AM #25
Originally Posted by SpreadSniper
Right, hence the quotation marks. Originally Posted by Fishscale
The reality is that there is no such thing as a suspicious line, it will be set where it should be 99.9% of the time. And yet guys will yell TRAP 90% of those times.
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02-02-13 06:30 AM #26
there are other games to bet on too
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02-02-13 01:21 PM #27
#6 Syracuse +3 to +4 against Pitt didn't generate huge public sentiment as easy money with 75% Squarepants SBRers on them did it?
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02-02-13 05:35 PM #28
Originally Posted by LT Profits
I predict that an unranked five-loss Pittsburgh team will be favored over Syracuse on Saturday and we will see the usual suspects yelling "How can Syracuse be getting points" and "trap line" and the such.
Pretty sharp post LT
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02-02-13 05:51 PM #29
awesome post lt
there is no one's opinion i trust more than yours when it comes to suspocouis lines
seriously though great call and thanks for posting pal
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02-02-13 08:26 PM #30
Nice call today LT...I studied this game for a couple days.. no way 'Cuse was gonna be able to keep up...
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02-10-13 12:01 PM #31
Hey LT,..You don't want to play this game today huh?? My thoughts here are maybe two games..VERY SUSPICIOUS!!
Indiana/Ohio st. - Line seems to good to be true.. Kinda curious as to what the record is of #1 teams this year that lose,..how they play the following game?
Canisius/Niagara - Ok,..I get it.. Niagara is playing better within their conference...but aside from that..WHY are they favored here against a much TOUGHER,..TESTED...Can, team? Niagara -4.5,..really?
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02-17-13 11:34 AM #32
Surprised there's no talk about the Ohio St/Wisc -3.5 line
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02-17-13 11:35 AM #33
Not surprising with Wiscy at home Originally Posted by samgurt
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02-17-13 11:38 AM #34
im all over wiscy
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: samgurt
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02-17-13 12:52 PM #35
And there is nothing wrong with that, I am just saying the line isn't fishy. I forecasted Wiscy -3. Originally Posted by Mitchell88
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