[usma1992]

I have slain the dragon when it comes to college basketball. I have successfully tracked over 6000 games from the previous two seasons and created my model based on that. Is it data hedging? Yes, initially but you have to start somewhere...

I have spent 3 years on this project almost every day for 4-8 hours a day. I quit my job, waited tables at night, but I finally there. I am now averaging north of 60% -110 over the course of the last 400 games. Since Dec 11 2012.

My final demon... is to remove myself from the execution equation. I was screwing it up by having too many beers etc... and betting stupid rather than just stick with the program. I have agreed to pay a buddy of mine 10% just to place the bets for me.

Anyway, picks from yesterday... use far right column...

11:00	Syracuse	Villanova	137	N	N
12:00	Georgia State	Drexel	122	O	O
12:00	Ohio State	Penn State	128.5	N	N
12:00	Notre Dame	USF	119.5	O	O
12:00	Louisville	Georgetown	120	O	O
13:00	West Virginia	Oklahoma State	127	N	N
13:00	Boston College	Virginia	117	O	O
13:00	Maryland	Duke	139	U	U
13:00	Rhode Island	Fordham	136.5	N	N
13:00	Northern Iowa	Indiana State	126	N	N
13:45	Arkansas	South Carolina	152	U	N
13:45	Kansas State	Iowa State	133	U	U
14:00	Minnesota	Wisconsin	125	N	N
14:00	Charlotte	George Washington	124	N	N
14:00	North Carolina-Wilmington	Hofstra	128.5	N	N
14:00	Rice	Tulane	124	N	N
14:00	Alabama	Tennessee	122.5	N	N
14:00	Cleveland State	Youngstown State	137	N	N
14:00	Dartmouth	Harvard	127	N	N
14:00	Providence	Marquette	133.5	N	N
14:00	Brown	Yale	118.5	N	N
14:00	Marshall	Memphis	138	N	N
14:00	Northern Illinois	Eastern Michigan	107.5	N	N
14:00	Elon	Citadel	136	U	U
14:00	Georgia Southern	Western Carolina	125.5	N	N
14:00	Davidson	Appalachian State	141	N	N
15:00	Northwestern	Nebraska	116	O	O
15:00	Wake Forest	Georgia Tech	127	O	O
15:00	Ball State	Miami (OH)	128	N	N
15:00	North Dakota State	South Dakota State	127	N	N
16:00	New Mexico	San Diego State	130	N	N
16:00	Detroit	Loyola (IL)	139.5	N	N
16:00	Southern Methodist	UCF	129	U	U
16:00	LSU	Kentucky	141	N	N
16:00	Boise State	Nevada	142	N	N
16:00	Duquesne	Dayton	149.5	O	N
16:00	Baylor	TCU	120	O	O
16:00	Oklahoma	Kansas	134	N	N
16:00	Saint Louis	St. Bonaventure	132.5	N	N
16:00	Old Dominion	James Madison	126	N	N
16:00	Depaul	Pittsburgh	139	N	N
16:00	UCLA	Arizona State	142	N	O
16:00	Southern Miss	Tulsa	129	N	N
16:00	Santa Clara	San Diego	137	N	N
16:00	Western Kentucky	Middle Tennessee	124	N	N
16:00	North Dakota	Northern Arizona	141.5	N	N
17:00	Troy	Louisiana-Monroe	122	N	O
17:00	Vanderbilt	Missouri	126.5	N	N
17:00	Washington State	Oregon State	133.5	N	N
17:00	Western Illinois	Oakland	123.5	U	U
17:30	Murray State	Jacksonville State	126	N	N
18:00	Georgia	Texas A&M	113	N	N
18:00	Ohio	Kent State	142	U	U
18:00	Xavier	Saint Joseph's	126	N	N
18:00	Temple	Butler	130	N	N
18:00	UAB	Houston	161	U	N
18:00	Pepperdine	Saint Marys Ca	128	O	O
18:15	Nebraska Omaha	UMKC	151.5	N	N
19:00	UTEP	East Carolina	131	N	N
19:00	Bowling Green	Toledo	127	N	N
19:00	Western Michigan	Central Michigan	135	U	U
19:00	Buffalo	Akron	132	N	N
19:00	Cornell	Columbia	128.5	O	O
19:00	Illinois-Chicago	Wright State	114	O	O
19:00	Washington	Oregon	138	N	N
19:00	USC	Arizona	138	N	N
19:00	Towson	William & Mary	135	N	N
19:00	UC Irvine	Long Beach State	141	N	N
19:00	North Carolina	North Carolina State	157	U	U
19:00	Hawaii	UC Santa Barbara	138	N	N
19:00	Charleston	Wofford	116	O	O
19:00	Southeast Missouri State	Eastern Illinois	131.5	N	N
19:00	IUPUI	IPFW	135	N	N
19:00	Belmont	Eastern Kentucky	142	N	N
19:30	Tennessee State	Morehead State	134.5	N	N
20:00	San Francisco	Gonzaga	147	U	U
20:00	Texas Tech	Texas	129	N	N
20:00	La Salle	Virginia Commonwealth	139.5	N	N
20:00	Florida	Mississippi State	123	N	N
20:00	Bradley	Wichita State	129	N	N
20:00	Evansville	Illinois State	141	N	N
20:00	Arkansas-Little Rock	North Texas	131	N	N
20:00	Mississippi	Auburn	140	N	N
20:00	Tennessee-Martin	SIU-Edwardsville	136.5	N	N
20:30	Florida Atlantic	Arkansas State	123.5	N	N
20:30	Austin Peay	Tennessee Tech	141	N	N
21:00	Louisiana Tech	Utah State	135	N	N
21:00	Eastern Washington	Southern Utah	135	N	N
21:00	Weber State	Montana	133.5	N	N
21:00	Idaho State	Montana State	122	N	N
22:00	Air Force	Wyoming	119	U	U
22:00	Texas State	Seattle	157	N	N
22:00	Texas-Arlington	San Jose State	121	N	N
22:00	Texas-San Antonio	Idaho	142.5	N	N
22:00	Colorado State	Fresno State	123	N	N
22:00	Cal State Northridge	Cal Poly	149.5	N	N
22:00	Cal State Fullerton	Pacific	151	N	N
22:00	UC Riverside	UC Davis	129	O	O
22:00	Northern Colorado	Sacramento State	130	O	O
22:30	Brigham Young	Portland	133.5	O	O

[usma1992]

I decided to hedge my 3 evening games because I was already 6-0... Looks like 6-1 on the day FIU doesn't seem to be a winner... enjoy...

12:00	Seton Hall	St. John's	129	N
12:00	Iona	Loyola (MD)	149	O
13:00	Michigan State	Indiana	135	O
13:00	Virginia Tech	Clemson	129	O
14:00	Richmond	Massachusetts	142.5	N
14:00	Rutgers	Connecticut	133	N
14:00	Siena	Marist	123.5	N
14:00	Chattanooga	UNC Greensboro	147	N
14:00	Fairfield	St. Peter's	111.5	N
15:00	Drake	Missouri State	130	O
15:30	California	Colorado	133.5	N
15:30	Iowa	Purdue	136.5	N
16:00	Manhattan	Rider	116.5	U
16:00	Niagara	Canisius	154.5	U
17:00	Florida International	South Alabama	143.5	O
18:00	Michigan	Illinois	137	N
18:00	Florida State	Miami (FL)	130	O
20:00	Creighton	Southern Illinois	138	N
20:00	George Mason	Northeastern	134.5	U
21:00	Stanford	Utah	124	O

[Untied]

Is this legit? You went 6-1 today?

I looked at the last two plays after you posted this.
Liked them, played them both, and both cashed

Keep posting Bro. Very interested to see where this goes.

[Fishscale]

I have no idea what I'm looking at.

[Untied]

I have no idea what I'm looking at.

It's not perfectly clear to me either. I'm assuming N= no play, U & O self-explanatory. 2nd from left column on 1st post is a bit confusing, last column is the play in 2nd post.

Apparently usma1992 showed up a couple weeks ago in the Handicapper's Think Tank asking for some feedback on a system he created that was hitting at 57-59% after 8,000 games. There was some controversy as to how those back tested data were concluded (data dredging?).

Not sure if he's on to something here, or not. But if he starts posting winners like yesterday (preferably earlier) I'll be watching.

[OhMyEli]

Can you explain what the letters mean and more on the system please. Also picks for tonight?

[playersonly69]

You guys realize that almost ALL of his plays from the last 2 days were past posted?

[onacloud]

You guys realize that almost ALL of his plays from the last 2 days were past posted?

Let them pay him some people never learn

If you have to tail/buy picks you should just quit now before its to late

[Untied]

His claimed numbers do seem unrealistic. Maybe his backtesting is flawed. But there's no harm in giving him the benefit of the doubt

All I know is; he's 2-0 on posted plays in this thread. And after reading his previous posts, he does seem genuine.

Win or lose, I hope he starts posting plays.

[Fishscale]

I'm not buying into this, was just curious how to read the chart. Looks pretty standard, can't see any back tested data in the model. I mean, this shit looks like it was copy pasted from a blogger site.

[allabout the $$$]

my bad lets see these plays before the games start

[Mitchell88]

my bad lets see these plays before the games start

as long as you keep posting with that avatar i will read

[allabout the $$$]

as long as you keep posting with that avatar i will read