1. 01-09-13 04:29 PM #1
    Louisvillekid1
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    Louisville @ Seton Hall u 137

    This play is definitely worth a shot tonight. I got this play at 137.5 earlier, and the only reason this isn't a 2x play for me is because I missed the opener @ 139.

    Louisville's 3rd true road game as Rick Pitino takes his squad to north jersey (I should be at this game, BTW!) and face his former assistant Kevin Willard and his Seton Hall Pirates. Chane Behanan is out of this match-up while suffering a injury that should keep him out about 10 days. He was just getting going, the kid has turned on the switch and has been absolutely nothing short of a stud. His FG % is skyrocketing and giving the Cards the perfect balance they need w/ the already talented Back-court (Siva & Smith). I believe this loss will show in this game tonight. Also, worth pointing out is Gorgui Dieng does not have his defensive timing back yet, so he's not the outstanding shot blocker he will be after a few more games.

    Obviously these coaches both know each others' schemes well and both play a lot of match-up zone. I expect the Pirates to be very competitive in this big east conference battle on ESPN2. They just need to take care of the basketball and not let Louisville get a ton of easy baskets off steals (much easier said than done, as the Cardinal Defense turns their opponents over, more than 30% of their possessions!

    There are some trends that support the play as well

    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville's last 9 games on the road

    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 5 games when playing Louisville

    The line opened at 139 as previously stated and I rarely make 2x plays (pitt last night, 5 so far on the season) but I won't make a 2x play when I already missed the best number most of the time.

    So this is just a 1 unit play for me tonight, but I'd list it as my most confident play tonight.

    49-28-3 (63.6%) + $1588 (31.76 units)

    starting bankroll $1000
    current bankroll $2588

    (4-1 on 2x plays)

    Gl guys on you're plays...
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  2. 01-09-13 04:34 PM #2
    BIGDAY
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    On it.
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  3. 01-09-13 04:41 PM #3
    Vegas39
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    LK what's opinion on Louisville -10
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  4. 01-09-13 04:54 PM #4
    Louisvillekid1
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    I don't like a play on the side in this one,

    I think the # is very sharp...

    See and 8 point card win
    Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 01-09-13 at 04:58 PM.
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  5. 01-09-13 04:57 PM #5
    Vegas39
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    Thanks
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  6. 01-09-13 05:00 PM #6
    ebbearsfb1
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    nice on it at 137.5

    seeing it at 135 at 5 dimes now..

    good luck kid
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  7. 01-09-13 05:13 PM #7
    DennisT
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    Took Louisville and laid the nine. This is a double digit cover!
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  8. 01-09-13 05:36 PM #8
    broadway6
    on to the next one
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    Hey bro, what do u think about the st joes/butler game?
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  9. 01-09-13 05:42 PM #9
    ChalkyDog
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    Good luck, bud!

    Terrible number being offered now, but for sure it looks like you are on the right side.
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  10. 01-09-13 05:44 PM #10
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by broadway6 View Post
    Hey bro, what do u think about the st joes/butler game?
    Tough game, I lean to St Joes but staying far away from this one...
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  11. 01-09-13 05:48 PM #11
    shaunovery
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    Nice write up lk1

    Gl
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  12. 01-09-13 06:00 PM #12
    The Giant
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    LK, I'm not a big college basketball bettor, and not at all this year. I'm wondering, since when did the books remove basically all the totals? I see they're just listed for a select few. How long has this been going on?
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  13. 01-09-13 06:02 PM #13
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    LK, I'm not a big college basketball bettor, and not at all this year. I'm wondering, since when did the books remove basically all the totals? I see they're just listed for a select few. How long has this been going on?
    A few books (betonline , 5 dimes, and heritage) offers most all totals as well as my local. (i'm sure there's more but I only use those)

    All tv games are offered by the other books
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  14. 01-09-13 06:04 PM #14
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    A few books (betonline , 5 dimes, and heritage) offers most all totals as well as my local. (i'm sure there's more but I only use those)

    All tv games are offered by the other books
    I'm just shocked as hell to see pinnacle, Bookmaker, The Greek and a few others pulled them.

    Is this a fairly new practice?
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  15. 01-09-13 06:16 PM #15
    tto827
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    We might be in trouble... http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...40-5-play.html
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  16. 01-09-13 06:23 PM #16
    ThaTopMoron
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    grabbed under 140.5 live betting
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  17. 01-09-13 06:23 PM #17
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    We might be in trouble... http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...40-5-play.html
    penetrate you bitch I win! I didn't see this thread or know about it until after i made my bet

    Lkid knows how to bet, and I know how to use live wagering to my benefit
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  18. 01-09-13 06:24 PM #18
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    penetrate you bitch I win
    I hope so.
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  19. 01-09-13 06:28 PM #19
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    I hope so.


    its going to be ok
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  20. 01-09-13 06:40 PM #20
    Louisvillekid1
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    I got the tempo I wanted, well see what happens...
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  21. 01-09-13 06:45 PM #21
    Louisvillekid1
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    Loose whistles killing us, seton hall hasn't made a shot in over 7 minutes
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  22. 01-09-13 06:46 PM #22
    You mad bro
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    louisville would be insane with their center back... u can see they miss him a lot ... i know they are still very good but imagine if they had him as well fully healthy .. oh boy
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  23. 01-09-13 06:49 PM #23
    alamo
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    26 free throws in the last 7mins ???? WTF
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  24. 01-09-13 06:50 PM #24
    qb1789
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    Not looking good for ya bud.
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  25. 01-09-13 06:54 PM #25
    ThaTopMoron
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    Louisville sucks
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  26. 01-09-13 06:56 PM #26
    Louisvillekid1
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    Not looking good at all for this one,

    Seton Hall scored 1 bucket in the last 9 minutes...

    FT's killed us,
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  27. 01-09-13 06:57 PM #27
    alamo
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    24 FOULS called in one half of basketball. Both teams are shooting rocks and yet the over is ahead of pace. Fcking disgusting refereeing here.
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  28. 01-09-13 06:57 PM #28
    Louisvillekid1
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    Yeah its a shame to get the pace you want and the struggles from outside shooting that you expect, but yet get crushed w/ all the FT's...
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  29. 01-09-13 06:58 PM #29
    Vegas39
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    unreal refs
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  30. 01-09-13 07:02 PM #30
    ThaTopMoron
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    beaten by the refs

    oh well
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  31. 01-09-13 07:04 PM #31
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    beaten by the refs

    oh well

    Still a chance IMO
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  32. 01-09-13 07:05 PM #32
    alamo
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    Mutha fckas are ruining it as a spectacle too. Let them fcking play. A whistle every 40seconds. WTF
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  33. 01-09-13 07:06 PM #33
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    Mutha fckas are ruining it as a spectacle too. Let them fcking play. A whistle every 40seconds. WTF
    yep, I had it on but I didn't watch it at all... stop, stop stop stop stop stop

    if I wanted to watch that kind of BS i would watch the NBA
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  34. 01-09-13 07:15 PM #34
    ThaTopMoron
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    no score first 2 minutes
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  35. 01-09-13 07:17 PM #35
    TheSituation87
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    Nothing worse than picking the under and looking like its going to stay until the damn whistles start blowing. Free throws are the unders worst nightmare. Recently lost by 1 damn pt in the last 4 seconds of the Washington vs Washington St game cause of damn free throws
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