What are some thoughts on this game? I'm currently seeing Davidson +5. Tempted to pull the trigger on the dog as I think they match up well against New Mexico & have a big edge in the front court. What concerns me is the Lobos huge homecourt advantage in the Pitt. What's everybody thinking on this game?
I wouldn't say they have a huge edge in front court, they are just much, much deeper. Lobos can play big or small and if they do decide to play big, you're 100% right, Davidson will pound the inside leading to Lobos foul trouble and GG. Lobos coach I think can avoid that tarp and stay small, if he does they've got a real good shot of covering the number, IMO.
On a neutral court I might be all over Davidson straight up, but I'm not sure I can bet on them in this setting, even at +5. Davidson had trouble on the road last season, and I know they are a deep, experienced, and talented group, but I'll be laying off this one since its played in the Pit.
NM in the Pitt defensively is too much for davidson. This will come down to FTs in the last minute probably. It will be close but I do not see NM losing this game. Covering might be different. I teased them down to a pick em