1. #176
    TheBetBuysDanK
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    thats a good angle. I have found it tough to fade the falcons at all this season.
    although, my numbers show that +3.5 points at home as been a good play in the nfl this year.

    BOL.

    Hope we both cash.

  2. #177
    HoulihansTX
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    NBA 12/9

    Thuggets +5

  3. #178
    TheBetBuysDanK
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    great call on the Panthers. Have a niners, seahawks, giants and Packers ML play to close the night out though, will more than make up for the earlier loss if the packers can win. 160 to win 280+.

  4. #179
    HoulihansTX
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    GL/

  5. #180
    TheBetBuysDanK
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    looking like I need a lot of it.

    hate betting against the lions, but I really liked the pack at home

  6. #181
    HoulihansTX
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    Lions doing what the Lions do, Ithink you look good here.

  7. #182
    TheBetBuysDanK
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Lions doing what the Lions do, Ithink you look good here.
    thanks for the moral support. Closing out the night with that ML parlay cemented a day in the black. Been in the red the last 2 sundays, and its always much sweeter ending the weekend in the plus column.

  8. #183
    TheBetBuysDanK
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    you liking anything on the slim ncaa hoops card tomorrow?

  9. #184
    HoulihansTX
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    NBA 12/10

    Craptors/Trailblazers UN196

    NCAAB 12/10

    Seattle +5

  10. #185
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    NBA 12/10

    Craptors/Trailblazers UN196 W

    NCAAB 12/10

    Seattle +5 W
    (39-31-3) +8.2Units

  11. #186
    ZachShalack420
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    nice night Hou!

  12. #187
    HoulihansTX
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    NCAAB 12/11

    NDSt +15 x2

  13. #188
    MasterP10
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    NCAAB 12/11

    NDSt +15 x2
    Did you get +15?

  14. #189
    HoulihansTX
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    Yes. @ Station casino in Vegas

    523 N DAKOTA ST @ 524 MINNESOTA U
    N DAKOTA ST MINNESOTA U
    Pointspread
    12/11 9:52:29a StnCas +14-110 -14-110
    12/11 9:22:23a
    StnCas +15-110 -15-110
    12/11 8:59:16a StnCas +14-110 -14-110
    12/11 8:57:24a
    StnCas +15-110 -15-110
    12/11 8:54:09a StnCas +14-110 -14-110
    12/11 8:53:40a StnCas +15-110 -15-110
    12/11 8:29:40a StnCas +14-110 -14-110

  15. #190
    tjohnstone3
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    What do you think of this play at +14?

  16. #191
    HoulihansTX
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    NO. I only bet b/c of the number i was able to snag. It was totally off market, and a must bet.
    Points Awarded:

    tjohnstone3 gave HoulihansTX 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  17. #192
    tjohnstone3
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    NO. I only bet b/c of the number i was able to snag. It was totally off market, and a must bet.
    Thank you for the quick reply!

  18. #193
    mbs4
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    You went 2 units just because of a 1 point line difference between 14 and 15?

  19. #194
    usfunca
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    NO. I only bet b/c of the number i was able to snag. It was totally off market, and a must bet.
    How does one point go from a totally off market must play, to no play at all? Unless you think they're going to lose by exactly 15, in which case you're going to get a push, I just don't get it.

  20. #195
    HoulihansTX
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    I would not have bet the game if there was not such a line discrepancy.

    Now how do I go from a must play, to a no play simply b/c of one point? Simple, I have attained an edge from the actual market price. @ the time I bet +15, Pinny was sitting @ -14(-110). By looking @ this chart you will see that getting +15, is the equivalent of laying -130 @ +14.

    I did not handicap this game, nor will I try. The Betting market provided me with a tremendous "value" bet.


  21. #196
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    I would not have bet the game if there was not such a line discrepancy.

    Now how do I go from a must play, to a no play simply b/c of one point? Simple, I have attained an edge from the actual market price. @ the time I bet +15, Pinny was sitting @ -14(-110). By looking @ this chart you will see that getting +15, is the equivalent of laying -130 @ +14.

    I did not handicap this game, nor will I try. The Betting market provided me with a tremendous "value" bet.

    Houli, want to get an even more accurate edge calculation? Go to Pinny, sign up, use their live odds and select the number you actually get. So in this case, since the line was -15 and you were getting -14, use pinny's alt line at -14 to plug into the half point calc and get the edge.

  22. #197
    DOM-Ganador
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    Good job getting a good line.Cash the Bitch.

  23. #198
    mbs4
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    I totally understand the logic, just seems like a regular 1 unit play to me. GL

  24. #199
    GiveMeaBJ
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    Houlis sharp

  25. #200
    MasterP10
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    The +15 bet is actually a -EV bet with the current number being +14.5. If your laying -110 this bet will lose long term guaranteed.

  26. #201
    Romanov
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    And houli, use pinny lines. not -110

  27. #202
    MasterP10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    And houli, use pinny lines. not -110
    If he bet in a las vegas casino like he says he did, its most likely -110

  28. #203
    MasterP10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    And houli, use pinny lines. not -110
    He posted his bet at -110 from stations

  29. #204
    ShivaBowl
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    Hey buddy I need a Houlihan's special. The last few days I have been taking it on the chin, so sharpen your pencil and let's go.
    thanks.

  30. #205
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    NCAAB 12/11

    NDSt +15 x2 W
    (40-31-3) +10.2Units

  31. #206
    HoulihansTX
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    NBA 12/12

    Jazz +4

    Mavs +6
    Points Awarded:

    ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 50 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 50 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  32. #207
    ShivaBowl
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    Thanks for Dallas TX:
    I went 3 units on them.
    Now I have Utah +4 1/2 for the game and San Antonio +3 1/2 in the second half, beautiful.
    Thanks again for Dallas Nice work!

  33. #208
    ShivaBowl
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    +750 .00 No way I'm sleeping tonight it's after hours for me
    I'm taking today off.
    I have a new blonde and an old blonde I prefer the slut I met at the gas station but let me know which one you want and I'll Fly her out to you!
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 12-13-12 at 07:21 AM.

  34. #209
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    NBA 12/12

    Jazz +4 W

    Mavs +6 W
    (42-31-3) +12.2Units


    ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 50 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 50 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Thanks for the points.

  35. #210
    HoulihansTX
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    NFL 12/13

    Eagles +4.5

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