1. 03-13-12 09:41 PM #1
    lite1up
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    Iona/BYU 2nd Half - Where is the value?

    Really wanted to hit the Iona ML before the game but got cold feet.

    Iona looking good but anyone who has followed them this season knows absolutely no lead is safe with this squad.

    BYU -4.5 2H looks very tempting. I think Iona wins but BYU makes this game close.

    Like the over 86.5 too. Don't think they can set the total high enough.

    Thoughts?
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  2. 03-13-12 09:48 PM #2
    comala57
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    Over 86.5 is tough because that means a score of at least 100-90. I actually see Iona to start to miss like the end of the 1h. My guess is a under reaching in the mid to high 70s. Iona 37 to BYU to 42 2 half kind of production. Under for .5 unit for me
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  3. 03-13-12 09:50 PM #3
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by comala57 View Post
    Over 86.5 is tough because that means a score of at least 100-90. I actually see Iona to start to miss like the end of the 1h. My guess is a under reaching in the mid to high 70s. Iona 37 to BYU to 42 2 half kind of production. Under for .5 unit for me
    Probably a sharp play, the total is now up to 88.5 at 5Dimes & rising, value in the over is completely gone.

    Definitely don't have the stomach to play an under on this....you'll definitely be sweating this one.

    About to make a play on BYU -4.5 though. Getting them +10.5 for the game seems like a good play...I think they have a run in them.
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  4. 03-13-12 09:52 PM #4
    The Silver Fox
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    Like the Under. Let it rise.
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  5. 03-13-12 09:55 PM #5
    RL75
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    If you think BYU makes it close I think the over is a good play. Mainly due to the foul factor. Anything less than 8 points and the free throws increase exponentially in the last minute or 2.

    I played over 87.5, neither of these teams seem to concerned about defense.
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  6. 03-13-12 09:56 PM #6
    SASH
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    under 87.5
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  7. 03-13-12 10:01 PM #7
    lite1up
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    BYU -4.5 (-110) locked in - $94.38 to win $85.80

    Didn't make a play on the total. Let's go!
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  8. 03-13-12 10:01 PM #8
    comala57
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    I locked it in at 87.5 for half unit. I am only down a quarter unit this week and making small bets on these 1st 4 games. Actually won a unit on MLS last night. silly fun
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  9. 03-13-12 10:01 PM #9
    Illusivecone
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    Just a gut feeling, but it 2H doesn't go above 70
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  10. 03-13-12 10:08 PM #10
    lite1up
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    Already get the feeling this bet is a loss. Going to try and hedge out live if I can.
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  11. 03-13-12 10:09 PM #11
    comala57
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    only 11 scored in 5 mins. lots of misses.
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  12. 03-13-12 10:11 PM #12
    jjesco425
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    if byu is still down dbl digits in next few mins they give up and under is safe
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  13. 03-13-12 10:17 PM #13
    lite1up
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    now that's more like what I expected. Glad I didn't find a way to hedge out....need to be more patient
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  14. 03-13-12 10:38 PM #14
    SASH
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    we got this
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  15. 03-13-12 10:41 PM #15
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by SASH View Post
    we got this

    BYU -4.5 and the under are both in good shape.
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  16. 03-13-12 10:53 PM #16
    RL75
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    Wow I had BYU -4.5 and the over. Figured if BYU could get in the game it would be a higher scoring affair. At least I only ate the vig but man what a pathetic display by Iona in the 2h. 15 points in the 2nd half. Nice job on the under...bad judgement on my part, these teams rarely put together back to back monster halves.
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  17. 03-13-12 11:00 PM #17
    lite1up
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    Absolutely unreal. Happy to cash my BYU -4.5 2H ticket, regretting not sprinkling a few bucks on the +2250 ML. I did think about it.
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