1. 02-29-12 06:27 AM #1
    seaborneq
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    Do you factor in "Senior Night" in picks this week

    Home team seems to cover a lot more on senior night. Anything to back this up or just perception?
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  2. 02-29-12 06:37 AM #2
    Living The Dream
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    I think against weaker opponents this works to their advantage, but against the same or superior opponents it can be a distraction.
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  3. 02-29-12 08:47 AM #3
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Living The Dream View Post
    I think against weaker opponents this works to their advantage, but against the same or superior opponents it can be a distraction.
    Good advice. I believe it is a little factor.
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  4. 02-29-12 08:49 AM #4
    Chi_archie
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    it is a factor, but also factored into the line

    you also have to look team's that have alot of bench warming seniors and coaches that traditionally start those guys for the first2-5+ mins on senior night...
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  5. 02-29-12 09:17 AM #5
    TheeArchBishop
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    Yeah I agree...I'm new to NCAA betting this season and have learned that this seems to be an advantage for home teams. I did however bet Arkansas ML last night and got effed as they lost outright after being 4 pt favorites and 17-3 record at home. But more often than not, I think Sr Night plays a factor. I won't be betting against home teams on sr night, like I did with Mich State last night again!
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  6. 02-29-12 09:33 AM #6
    smoke a bowl
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    I think if anything it hurts. Not sure how it can help actually but distractions can obviously be an issue. Another thing that hurts is a garbage can senior gets minutes in these games that a more qualified underclassmen would normally get. Can't help IMO.
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  7. 02-29-12 09:43 AM #7
    chunk
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    It's best to filter out the noise....like senior night.
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  8. 02-29-12 09:58 AM #8
    3PtShooter
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    i think vegas considers senior night nowadays when putting up the line, yrs back was a very good system
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  9. 02-29-12 10:24 AM #9
    Smoke
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    Pass
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  10. 02-29-12 10:28 AM #10
    legendmatt34
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    Nope. they havent pulled any upsets so far.
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  11. 02-29-12 10:37 AM #11
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by 3PtShooter View Post
    i think vegas considers senior night nowadays when putting up the line, yrs back was a very good system
    That's what I wanted to hear.
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  12. 02-29-12 04:49 PM #12
    seaborneq
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    Checking out these three teams tonight in their last home games with small lines to test the senior night theory. Uab and cincy -1.5, and bc +0.5.
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  13. 02-29-12 05:20 PM #13
    LuolBigDeng
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    Maybe when seniors were actually good players who stayed four years. Now, the seniors seem more like team managers.
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  14. 02-29-12 05:32 PM #14
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by LuolBigDeng View Post
    Maybe when seniors were actually good players who stayed four years. Now, the seniors seem more like team managers.
    Another great point. Theory is being tested tonight.
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  15. 02-29-12 08:12 PM #15
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Checking out these three teams tonight in their last home games with small lines to test the senior night theory. Uab and cincy -1.5, and bc +0.5.
    Cinncy and BC both cover, UAB up 8 at the half. There is a little something to the Senior night thing.
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  16. 02-29-12 09:15 PM #16
    seaborneq
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    It works. All three home teams covered on senior night 2012. Get ready for tomorrow. Richmond and Houston had similar small lines and raked also.
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  17. 03-01-12 12:11 PM #17
    seaborneq
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    Checking out the games tonight for Senior night. You could have been 5 for 5 last night. No low spreads tonight though. Will see what I can find.
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  18. 03-03-12 07:10 AM #18
    seaborneq
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    It worked wednesday and killed me Thursday. Let's see how it works today.
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