[Jayvegas420]

Bob Huggins' team hasn't covered a spread vs Depaul in 4 years.
In fact his squad hasn't covered 3 spreads in their last 10 outings.
No surprise their last cover was over the lowly Panthers.
ND reminded us last week what it's like to watch this team get crushed but 20+ points to th elikes of Seton hall & Kent St.

• Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
• Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Mountaineers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Mountaineers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

WVU should win this game & I think quite easily, without a foul show at the end. Even if there is a 4 point difference with 1:30-1:15 left, I doubt the double bonus can get WVU over the 13 point mark.
Depaul starts this game with 13.5 points & they may even fall 3-4 points below the cover but when the games ends Brandon Young Keeps Depaul within the spread.




Both Weber St & Montana have had very weak strenght of schedule games lately but they both score a ton of points while they pump these insignificant schools. Since it's difficult to gauge how these teams may play each other in such a weak sample I think I give the slight edge to Webber St based on strength of schedule earlier in the season, when they happened to play some Tournament teams. Web lost to BYU, CAL & St Mary's. all tournament worthy at some point this season, but Montana was lucky to squeak out wins over Port St, E. Washington & Long Beach St.
When Montana finally faced some bigger conference teams They were grossly outmatched, & were never really in any of the games at any point. What's worse is that these teams were at large bids at best. SD, SF & Oregon St.

• Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Sky.
• Wildcats are 57-26 ATS in their last 83 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

• Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Finally you may be asking "If Jay wants to have a pretty good gauge of how these two teams may play each other, why doesn't he simply go by the game they played against each other last month?" Well, I am little concerned that I don't know if Stockton played that game.
Either way if Stockton & Cherry both play well you'll see why Montana is favoured by too much.

[Jayvegas420]

• Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
• Musketeers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
• Billikens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
• Billikens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5

St Louis Hasn't been able to cover lately. 8 points is a lot of points to cover & St. Luois hasn't been able to cover 8 points except vs. teams like DuQ & The Bonnies. They can't do it here either.


I believe it is about this time of year when Butler starts playing some basketball. I've lost my last two bets on Wright St. At 10.5 & I'm calling Raiders overvalued! I hope this isnt the one I get wrong but I saying The Raiders are overvalued.

[MJT1212]

does this mean your on depaul weber and butler?

[Jayvegas420]

Yes, all with the points.

Also:

Besides Illinois, Cleveland St is the only team to cover such a large spread against Loyola Chicago. The only other team to come close was Detroit who were -15.5 at open them beat Loyola by 15. This game was played in Detroit's gym & this match up is also in Detroit's gym, I guess Loyola Chi doesn't get a home game vs. Detroit this year? Loyola Chicago has 15 losses in their last 17 games but average a margin of loss of 7.5 points. Detroit is 9-19 ATS all season. I just like the the ATS play of Loyola Chicago lately

• Ramblers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Ramblers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Ramblers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Ramblers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

I think Detroit's recent ATS results are deplorable:

• Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Horizon League.
• Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Titans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.
• Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Titans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
• Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

• This is a Detroit that has been completely overvalued. Chicago's starters combined for only 26 points in their last game but I still think they keep this game within single digits. Maybe the under is a play.

[Frisco]

• Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
• Musketeers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
• Billikens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
• Billikens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5

St Louis Hasn't been able to cover lately. 8 points is a lot of points to cover & St. Luois hasn't been able to cover 8 points except vs. teams like DuQ & The Bonnies. They can't do it here either.


I believe it is about this time of year when Butler starts playing some basketball. I've lost my last two bets on Wright St. At 10.5 & I'm calling Raiders overvalued! I hope this isnt the one I get wrong but I saying The Raiders are overvalued.

I love the St. Louis pick. They have been playing some bad basketball lately and dont see them covering the 8 points unless that loss to the 5 win Rhode Island team fires them up for this game. Looks like a good play though

[Jayvegas420]

I am playing these parlays:

Loyola Chicago +16
Depaul +16
Weber St. +8
Xavier +8
$9 for $100

Depaul +8
Xavier +8
Weber St. +4.5
Loyola Chicago +8
Rockets -11
5x 4 game parlays @ $2.50 each
$12.50 for $293.15

Frisco convinced me that Xavier was worth an extra $40 bet @ +8

[JMUplayer]

Betting dogs is the way i like to roll a majority of the time... been making a killing with the mid pack ACC teams all year

[Jayvegas420]

I stayed away from Butler in case the fav blows all my bets

[JMUplayer]

Depaul is horrid...didn't help huggy bear left starters in until a min to go

[Jayvegas420]

I lost Weber St. & Xavier as well.