[usma1992]

From my computer program for the next couple of weeks. Feedback appreciated. O= Means Bet Over, U= Under and N means no bet... I am simply looking for feedback.

19:00	Columbia	Yale	126	O
19:00	Cornell	Brown	134.5	O
19:00	Penn	Dartmouth	121	O
19:00	Princeton	Harvard	118	U
19:00	Butler	Valparaiso	125.5	O
19:00	Loyola (MD)	Rider	138.5	N
19:00	Canisius	Manhattan	137	O
20:00	Niagara	St. Peter's	132	O
21:00	Idaho	Utah State	129	U
21:00	Marquette	West Virginia	143	U
21:00	Fairfield	Iona	140.5	N

[usma1992]

the NBA program is working well, but it is only in its first year.

NCAA has been tested for two years straight. Results this year have been great. However, be careful. The program could have an awful next three weeks and still have a great season.

We shall see I will post Saturday's picks also.

Good Luck
Dave

[jjgold]

Dave your ass on the line
I might play some games
Best of luck

[usma1992]

LOL... my ass is always on the line. I am actually not betting any of these games. I have been working non stop for almost two years on my programs and have gone through my nest egg. I am in the process of finding a real job... in order to relaunch my company in September. My results have been very good... I guess i truly will not know until year three.

Dave

[onacloud]

Why not run backtests say back to 05'? That would give you 6-7 seasons of +/- units.

Or are you a tout claiming to have a system?

[Inkwell77]

Dave your ass on the line
I might play some games
Best of luck

[usma1992]

to '05. I don't feel like I have a reasonable chance at doing that for several reasons. I have looked trying to find spreads from previous seasons/nights it is extremely difficult to find. If you have a good website for that I would love to know it. Especially in reference to college basketball and NBA.

Secondly, the statistics of the team change dramatically over the course of the season. So I would also have to find a website that had the statistics of that team on that specific day. I don't think it is fair by any means to use end of the year statisitics, because Vegas is establishing the lines based on how the teams are doing at that given moment.

If you can help me out to fix this problem, I'm all years. Regardless, it will be a ton of work,which I don't mind if I come out with a great product.

Dave

[usma1992]

I have put my tail out there with my games and my picks if you agree with one or don't agree just tell me and say why. It will allow to look at the game a potentially change or make my system better.

Dave

[usma1992]

12:00	Virginia Tech	Duke	137	N
12:00	Northeastern	Delaware	130.5	N
12:00	Vanderbilt	Kentucky	138.5	N
12:00	Notre Dame	St. John's	129	O
13:00	La Salle	Fordham	137.5	U
13:00	Boston College	Wake Forest	125.5	O
13:30	Drake	Wichita State	134.5	O
13:45	LSU	Mississippi	127	O
13:45	Oklahoma	Baylor	139	U
13:45	Iowa State	Kansas State	135.5	U
14:00	Texas A&M	Oklahoma State	123.5	U
14:00	Villanova	Georgetown	134.5	N
14:00	Providence	DePaul	156.5	U
14:00	Duquesne	George Washington	136	O
14:00	Georgia State	William & Mary	125	O
14:00	Illinois State	Bradley	132	O
14:00	Missouri State	Evansville	133	N
14:00	Saint Louis	Rhode Island	129	O
14:00	UCLA	Arizona	131	U
14:00	Wright State	Cleveland State	116	U
14:00	Green Bay	Illinois-Chicago	131	N
14:00	Detroit	Youngstown State	141	U
14:00	Appalachian State	Western Carolina	137	O
14:30	Maryland	Georgia Tech	126	O
14:30	North Carolina State	Clemson	133	U
15:00	Northern Iowa	Southern Illinois	125.5	U
15:00	Miami (OH)	Buffalo	127	O
15:00	Charleston	Citadel	130.5	O
16:00	Creighton	Indiana State	142	U
16:00	Milwaukee	Loyola (IL)	114.5	O
16:00	Memphis	Marshall	137	U
16:00	North Carolina-Wilmington	Hofstra	135.5	N
16:00	Towson	James Madison	127	O
16:00	Drexel	Old Dominion	116	U
16:00	Florida	Georgia	130	O
16:00	Arkansas	Auburn	134.5	N
16:00	Hawaii	Louisiana Tech	148	U
16:00	Boise State	Wyoming	118	O
16:00	Air Force	UNLV	130	N
16:00	North Carolina	Virginia	128	O
16:00	Texas	Texas Tech	129.5	O
16:00	Missouri	Kansas	144.5	O
16:30	Ball State	Eastern Michigan	108	O
17:00	UAB	East Carolina	122.5	U
17:00	Rutgers	Seton Hall	127	N
18:00	Kent State	Bowling Green	136.5	U
18:00	George Mason	Virginia Commonwealth	130	U
18:00	Massachusetts	Dayton	152	U
18:00	Purdue	Michigan	128.5	N
18:00	Portland	Brigham Young	149	U
18:00	Middle Tennessee	Western Kentucky	133	U
18:00	Mississippi State	Alabama	127.5	O
19:00	New Mexico	TCU	136.5	N
19:00	Gonzaga	San Diego	136	O
19:00	Western Michigan	Toledo	137	N
19:00	UC Riverside	Long Beach State	125.5	O
19:00	Temple	Saint Joseph's	140	N
19:00	St. Bonaventure	Charlotte	132	O
19:00	Troy	Florida Atlantic	138.5	O
19:00	Davidson	Georgia Southern	142.5	U
19:00	Furman	Wofford	122	O
19:00	UNC Greensboro	Elon	150	U
19:00	Eastern Illinois	Eastern Kentucky	122	O
19:30	South Alabama	Florida International	130	O
19:30	Samford	Chattanooga	133.5	O
19:30	SIU-Edwardsville	Morehead State	125.5	U
20:00	Tulsa	Tulane	124	U
20:00	Rice	Southern Miss	137	U
20:00	Arkansas State	Arkansas-Little Rock	124.5	O
20:00	USC	Arizona State	109	U
20:00	Washington	Washington State	146.5	U
20:00	Tennessee	South Carolina	124	O
20:00	Richmond	Xavier	137.5	U
20:00	Nebraska	Michigan State	125	N
20:00	UTEP	UCF	122.5	O
20:00	Southern Methodist	Houston	126.5	O
20:00	IPFW	UMKC	138.5	O
20:15	Louisiana-Monroe	Louisiana-Lafayette	134.5	O
20:30	Stanford	Utah	120	O
20:30	Southeast Missouri State	Austin Peay	144	O
20:30	IUPUI	South Dakota State	149.5	O
20:30	Western Illinois	North Dakota State	119	O
20:30	Oakland	South Dakota	163	U
20:45	Murray State	Tennessee Tech	144.5	U
20:45	Tennessee-Martin	Jacksonville State	130	O
21:00	San Jose State	New Mexico State	146.5	U
21:00	Northwestern	Penn State	129	O
21:00	Syracuse	Connecticut	131	N
21:00	Montana State	Montana	133	O
21:00	Sacramento State	Idaho State	133.5	O
21:30	Oral Roberts	Southern Utah	129	O
22:00	Cal State Fullerton	UC Davis	148	U
22:00	Colorado State	San Diego State	134	N
22:00	Nevada	Fresno State	127	O
22:00	Eastern Washington	Portland State	150.5	U
22:30	Cal State Northridge	UC Irvine	147.5	U
23:00	Cal Poly	UC Santa Barbara	129	N
23:00	Saint Marys Ca	San Francisco	147	N
23:00	Santa Clara	Loyola Marymount	140.5	O

[usma1992]

5 out of 9 I think from Saturday night... Good Luck today...

[HoulihansTX]

I have no idea what to think about your picks until I see your results. I do not know how you formulate your results, so I can not be critical.

[jjgold]

Its like anything else sometimes it works and sometimes it loses

If you do not have access to Euro books and low juice you have no shot to win

[Jayvegas420]

I daont know much about your system but I do know a thing or two about re-joining the ranks of the employed every now & then.
It is a truly sad realization.
I can only hope whatever it is you are trying to do results in you NOT having to return to work.
This is why true pros are greatly respected in the industry. It' is truly the sickest way to try & earn a living.

Good Luck
Sincerely
Jay

[bigdonk]

Can you explain what the numbers mean next to the games?

Also, not that it really matters, but its saturday, feb 25th, not 24th

[hydrosmak]

Can you explain what the numbers mean next to the games?

Also, not that it really matters, but its saturday, feb 25th, not 24th

Yeah that would be the Over/Under number...

[bigdonk]

Appreciate the reply Hydro, but I still have no idea what they mean. Are they all saying to bet the overs?

[balls2wall]

Appreciate the reply Hydro, but I still have no idea what they mean. Are they all saying to bet the overs?

No bro, the ones that have an O to the right are overs. The ones with a U to the right are unders. N is a no play

[bigdonk]

My IPhone was cutting off the lettering system. Turn my phone sideways and I can see it now. Makes sense now, lol

I could only see the first 2 digits afterthe school names.. 11,12,16,13 etc.. Lol

[Small Timer]

Last night was profitable for him, but way too many games today to really try them all out, too much exposure for someone to tail blindly.

[balls2wall]

My IPhone was cutting off the lettering system. Turn my phone sideways and I can see it now. Makes sense now, lol

I could only see the first 2 digits afterthe school names.. 11,12,16,13 etc.. Lol

LOL, I am glad you explained


I was a little worried about you man

[usma1992]

after feedback for which games you see where obvious losers and I am not talking after the fact. I am talking before the game kicked off and why. My hope is to launch my system next year or the year after.

So far this year the result have been good and I am using the same parameters for last year. If any one has an idea of how to legitimately back test a few years I am all ears.

Dave
P.S. I say again I am not betting any of these games. I will post my NBA each night also once it starts back up. I have far less confidence in NBA since I don't even have a full season tested. Good Luck to all and safe betting.

[Cougar Bait]

I see you going 40-38-2

Good luck.

[Waterstpub87]

You should maybe look to change the tolerances on your model. Your most likely betting too many games. I don't believe that you could find that +ev opportunities in one day. You have bets on like 80% of the games. Way too much. If you increased the tolerance levels, you might improve the win % significantly.

[usma1992]

I agree that that is the consensus of many if not all professional sports bettors. I believe that I can create a system that is different from anything created before.

I want the numbers of games... I don't want just the games that have a high ev+, maybe I am wrong... but maybe just maybe...

I am Money Ball

[usma1992]

Got kicked from the board. I will be posting future picks on the NCAA Betting Board. If you want to follow great. Yesterday 51.9% with a coin flip differential.

Dave

[BMaddz]

My IPhone was cutting off the lettering system. Turn my phone sideways and I can see it now. Makes sense now, lol

I could only see the first 2 digits afterthe school names.. 11,12,16,13 etc.. Lol

i was having the same problem was so confused lol

[usma1992]

I posted them on the NCAA Betting Board... Good Luck to all.