1. 02-20-12 11:58 PM #1
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    Tuesday's leans

    Northwestern -1.5 vs. Michigan
    UMass -1 vs. Xavier
    UNC-Greensboro +1.5 vs. Wofford
    Seton Hall +1.5 vs. Georgetown
    Mississippi State +9 vs. Kentucky
    Colorado State +6 vs. New Mexico

    To be honest, I like the first two so much it's scary. Northwestern desperately needs this win to bolster their NCAA Tournament hopes. I'm going to sleep on it, but I might be making a play in the 10-20U range on the Wildcats.
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  2. 02-21-12 12:01 AM #2
    tdforte22
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    Seton hall

    REALLY?
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  3. 02-21-12 12:02 AM #3
    tdforte22
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    Just FYI--

    Northwestern is 0-3 straight up as a home favorite of 3 or less and 1-5 in their last 6 vs teams who allow 65 or less points. The Wildcats are just 2-6 vs teams ranked in the top RPI this season.

    (credit cappers blog)
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  4. 02-21-12 12:29 AM #4
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    Adding:

    Wisconsin-GB +1.5 vs. Cleveland State
    Miami (Ohio) +3 vs. Kent State
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  5. 02-21-12 12:30 AM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by tdforte22 View Post
    Seton hall

    REALLY?
    Like Northwestern, this is basically their season.
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  6. 02-21-12 12:46 AM #6
    RyDawgg10
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    Will be tailing on most of these...thanks
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  7. 02-21-12 12:58 AM #7
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    Definitely called you slobbing all over Northwestern!
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  8. 02-21-12 06:27 AM #8
    HoulihansTX
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    I got Evansville +12.
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  9. 02-21-12 06:51 AM #9
    HOT WINGS
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    Like Northwestern as well. Michigan coming off there biggest win of this season against Ohio State. Then go on the road against a team they have struggled with recently. Also I am sure Northwestern remembers choking away the game in Ann Arbor when they led for the entire game and lost in OT. Shurna will have a big game.
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  10. 02-21-12 06:56 AM #10
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by HOT WINGS View Post
    Like Northwestern as well. Michigan coming off there biggest win of this season against Ohio State. Then go on the road against a team they have struggled with recently. Also I am sure Northwestern remembers choking away the game in Ann Arbor when they led for the entire game and lost in OT. Shurna will have a big game.
    will be on NU, just trying to decide if i want to go 1H, game or ML.
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  11. 02-21-12 07:40 AM #11
    firehoyt
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    will be on NU, just trying to decide if i want to go 1H, game or ML.
    Northwestern last 10 home games they have been leading at the half 8/10 times averaging 35.7 points while holding opponents to 28.8 points..
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  12. 02-21-12 07:45 AM #12
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by firehoyt View Post
    Northwestern last 10 home games they have been leading at the half 8/10 times averaging 35.7 points while holding opponents to 28.8 points..
    yep, and UM off huge win over OSU while NU in must-win spot. NU will be intent on having a halftime lead, 1H may be my play. thanks for the details, i knew that they had been good at home this season (and UM bad on road) but didn't realize quite how good in 1H.
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  13. 02-21-12 07:54 AM #13
    firehoyt
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    Credit goes to chadnov59 on twitter for the stats.
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  14. 02-21-12 08:04 AM #14
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by firehoyt View Post
    Credit goes to chadnov59 on twitter for the stats.
    following him now, thanks pal.
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  15. 02-21-12 08:29 AM #15
    GoBlue23
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    I like NU 1H better than the game line as well. Michigan is notorious this year for starting sluggish on the road.
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  16. 02-21-12 09:14 AM #16
    HOT WINGS
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    will be on NU, just trying to decide if i want to go 1H, game or ML.
    1st half seems good to me also, but ill probably just go with game line at -2 to -3 range. I want to see if line stays steady before I make a play though. GL Biff
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  17. 02-21-12 09:32 AM #17
    zoo youk
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    really like NU today. BOL.
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  18. 02-21-12 09:35 AM #18
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by HOT WINGS View Post
    1st half seems good to me also, but ill probably just go with game line at -2 to -3 range. I want to see if line stays steady before I make a play though. GL Biff
    thanks, Hotwings. when the line dropped to -2, i went ahead and grabbed the 1H at -1. BOL to you tonight, pal.
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  19. 02-21-12 10:35 AM #19
    arnoldrothstein
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    Michigan and Xavier both win going away. Take it to the bank
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  20. 02-21-12 11:35 AM #20
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    Yeah... Michigan really looks like a public team that is going to win and piss off all the wannabe sharps. Been happening all year.
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  21. 02-21-12 11:41 AM #21
    chinoloco212
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    liking miami ohio and miss st bol brother
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  22. 02-21-12 11:49 AM #22
    jimminn
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    I have michigan at +2.5 and feel very confident they will win
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  23. 02-21-12 04:49 PM #23
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    Going to play Seton Hall and Northwestern for sure. Just trying to decide how big.
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  24. 02-21-12 05:03 PM #24
    naslax13
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    dammit why do u all u dudes have to be slobbing over nwestern.. its a 10x play for me stop jinxing it
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  25. 02-21-12 05:12 PM #25
    sushikillah
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    Miss St 1st Half +5
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  26. 02-21-12 05:16 PM #26
    JamesBrown
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    NC -

    Im on Seton Hall 1H. I really like this play tonight. BOL as always!
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  27. 02-21-12 05:21 PM #27
    Hangoverblack
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    I get it. 90 % on Kent St spread, like 95% on Kent St moneyline. Miami Ohio was the RLM play against Tennessee St last game, at -3, and failed to win/ or cover.

    Be very careful here. This team is awful. There is no precedent recently for Miami Ohio to win as an RLM play.
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  28. 02-21-12 05:21 PM #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by JamesBrown View Post
    NC -

    Im on Seton Hall 1H. I really like this play tonight. BOL as always!
    Yeah, I'm kind of thinking the same thing. Maybe Northwestern, Seton Hall and Mississippi State 1H and go from there -- either cash in or cut my losses.

    Good luck JB.
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  29. 02-21-12 05:30 PM #29
    jihadvillager
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    How many units on each nc?
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  30. 02-21-12 05:59 PM #30
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    Northwestern -140 (10U) (wish I'd locked it in when it dipped to -125)
    Seton Hall 1H +1.5 (3U)
    UMass -1 (3U)

    Might play Mississippi State and Colorado State later. We'll see.

    Good luck everyone.
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  31. 02-21-12 06:01 PM #31
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    Seton Hall +3 (3U)
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  32. 02-21-12 06:10 PM #32
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    Tempted to add Maryland, but can't figure out why they're +3. Should probably just lay off.
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  33. 02-21-12 06:20 PM #33
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    We'll see what happens with this Miami (Ohio) game, but this really caught my eye last night at Pinny when other books were moving to 2.5 or 3:

    02/21 12:39 AM -1½ -137 +1½ +124
    02/20 10:13 PM -1½ -132 +1½ +120
    02/20 10:12 PM -1½ -137 +1½ +124
    02/20 10:08 PM -1½ -126 +1½ +114
    02/20 10:02 PM -1½ -122 +1½ +111
    02/20 09:24 PM -1½ -126 +1½ +114
    02/20 09:14 PM -1½ -118 +1½ +107
    02/20 09:14 PM -1½ -111 +1½ +101
    02/20 07:55 PM -1½ -105 +1½ -105
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  34. 02-21-12 06:27 PM #34
    naslax13
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Seton Hall +3 (3U)

    i think gtown is too much for them to handle, line movement has re-enforced this
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  35. 02-21-12 06:48 PM #35
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    The Hall JB!

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