1. #1
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    BIG MWC game tomorrow, weird line. SDSU -1 against New Mexico.

    Aztecs at home. New Mexico playing stifling defense as of late. holding opponents to 47 ppg last 5 while scoring 70.

  2. #2
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    bump

  3. #3
    DerekMadden
    DerekMadden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-11
    Posts: 1,361
    Betpoints: 84

    SDSU has had weird lines all year

  4. #4
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Aztecs took it to the lobos in the pit. Take aztecs and laugh all the way to the bank.

  5. #5
    JAKEPEAVY21
    JAKEPEAVY21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-11-11
    Posts: 28,172
    Betpoints: 47642

    sdsu has beat N Mex 4 straight and sdsu hasn't lost back to back in the last 79 games...coming off a loss to UNLV

  6. #6
    ToPHeR
    ToPHeR's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-11
    Posts: 1,326
    Betpoints: 1917

    Vegas doesn't think SDSU is a quality team thats why. Theyve give them shitty lines all year

  7. #7
    firehoyt
    Are you serious, Clark?
    firehoyt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-10
    Posts: 3,569
    Betpoints: 31

    New Mexico -1 now.

  8. #8
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    Quote Originally Posted by firehoyt View Post
    New Mexico -1 now.
    WOW

  9. #9
    Owls
    Owls's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-12
    Posts: 240
    Betpoints: 809

    San Diego St has had a lot of close wins, against mediocre teams. New Mexico has been blowing out mediocre teams. New Mexico is very underrated, they are the ones that should be ranked in top 25.

  10. #10
    jimmyjohn
    jimmyjohn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-12
    Posts: 106
    Betpoints: 666

    Looks like the sharps are on NM.... gl everyone but my money is going NM -1 all the way to the bank!!!

  11. #11
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,098
    Betpoints: 90276

    Quote Originally Posted by Owls View Post
    San Diego St has had a lot of close wins, against mediocre teams. New Mexico has been blowing out mediocre teams. New Mexico is very underrated, they are the ones that should be ranked in top 25.
    Then where do u put New Mexico? Lol state beat them away.

  12. #12
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,533
    Betpoints: 1794

    What do you think the line should be?

  13. #13
    Owls
    Owls's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-12
    Posts: 240
    Betpoints: 809

    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    Then where do u put New Mexico? Lol state beat them away.
    Have to look at the body of work, not just one game. New Mexico has has many more impressive outings, and getting better as season goes on.

  14. #14
    BigDaddy
    BigDaddy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-06
    Posts: 8,378
    Betpoints: 729

    how are they ranked #13 and getting points at home to a non ranked team


    do the rankings mean anything?

  15. #15
    hustlehard617
    hustlehard617's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-12
    Posts: 574
    Betpoints: 10698

    This reminds of the Creighton Wichita st game from Saturday I see NM winning easily

  16. #16
    Owls
    Owls's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-12
    Posts: 240
    Betpoints: 809

    Exactly, that's what I was thinking when this line came out. Public puts too much value on the rankings. Vegas knows NM is much better than ranked SD State, just like Wichita St much better than ranked Creighton.

  17. #17
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,098
    Betpoints: 90276

    Quote Originally Posted by Owls View Post
    Exactly, that's what I was thinking when this line came out. Public puts too much value on the rankings. Vegas knows NM is much better than ranked SD State, just like Wichita St much better than ranked Creighton.
    LOL Vegas had SDSU +10 the other night had SDSU as a big dog against New Mexico. So that tells me Vegas has no clue what to do with SDSU. How many times have u been burned going against SDSU??

  18. #18
    GiveMeaBJ
    WIN WIN WIN
    GiveMeaBJ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-09
    Posts: 8,449
    Betpoints: 335

    Reminds me of UNLV @ SDSU earlier in the year. SDSU was +3.5 and won outright. Who knows though, this New Mexico team is not to be ****** with.

  19. #19
    Owls
    Owls's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-12
    Posts: 240
    Betpoints: 809

    I don'T ever remembering going against SDSU, I just don't like them in this game. I also think Alford is a much better coach than Fisher.

  20. #20
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    nothing crazy about this line, if anything it should be new mexico -3

    new mexico is the better team by 6 points according to the UNBIASED computers

    san diego st average score 71-61
    new mexico average score 73-57

    sagarin predictor rating san diego st 81.30
    sagarin predictor rating new mexico 87.59

    so that's a 6.29 spread for new mexico on a neutral site, give sd st 3.34 for home court advantage and the spread should be new mexico-3

  21. #21
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    this line screams take new mexico

  22. #22
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    New Mexico may be better in the tournament, but tonight, the Aztecs roll.

  23. #23
    BigDaddy
    BigDaddy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-06
    Posts: 8,378
    Betpoints: 729

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    nothing crazy about this line, if anything it should be new mexico -3

    new mexico is the better team by 6 points according to the UNBIASED computers

    san diego st average score 71-61
    new mexico average score 73-57

    sagarin predictor rating san diego st 81.30
    sagarin predictor rating new mexico 87.59

    so that's a 6.29 spread for new mexico on a neutral site, give sd st 3.34 for home court advantage and the spread should be new mexico-3

    mike where can i find those rankings you talk about?

    thats some good info

  24. #24
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagar...terstitialskip

    always go with the "predictor" - it's what the point spreads are based on for the most part

  25. #25
    Mr. Teaser
    Go Terps/Nats/Skins
    Mr. Teaser's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-16-09
    Posts: 1,667
    Betpoints: 6149

    Quote Originally Posted by ToPHeR View Post
    Vegas doesn't think SDSU is a quality team thats why. Theyve give them shitty lines all year
    This is why.

  26. #26
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    "vegas" doesn't care whether they're a quality team.

    the sportsbook operators don't all sit in a room at 5am smoking cigars saying "you know i really don't think sdsu is a quality team, let's open the line a few points lower than where it should be"

    all this stuff is essentially computer generated

  27. #27
    DavieVegas
    DavieVegas's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-11
    Posts: 838
    Betpoints: 180

    SDSU beat New Mexico in the Pit this year by 5. Now they are at home. Hard to go against sdsu here.

  28. #28
    DerekMadden
    DerekMadden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-11
    Posts: 1,361
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    "vegas" doesn't care whether they're a quality team. the sportsbook operators don't all sit in a room at 5am smoking cigars saying "you know i really don't think sdsu is a quality team, let's open the line a few points lower than where it should be" all this stuff is essentially computer generated
    but isn't that what they do in the movies?

  29. #29
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    "vegas" doesn't care whether they're a quality team.

    the sportsbook operators don't all sit in a room at 5am smoking cigars saying "you know i really don't think sdsu is a quality team, let's open the line a few points lower than where it should be"

    all this stuff is essentially computer generated


    That was good.

  30. #30
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    Gonna be another good finish

  31. #31
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    Holy shit Shelton just blew a wide open layup that woulda cut it to 4

  32. #32
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    Thatll do it. NM gonna wrap it up.

  33. #33
    convick
    convick's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-03-11
    Posts: 3,805
    Betpoints: 3683

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    New Mexico may be better in the tournament, but tonight, the Aztecs roll.


    Hope you only bet points or monopoly money on this team tonight bud.

  34. #34
    jimmyjohn
    jimmyjohn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-12
    Posts: 106
    Betpoints: 666

    Go lobos!!!!! Easiest win i've had in a while!! Follow the line movement and its easy!!!!!

  35. #35
    hustlehard617
    hustlehard617's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-12
    Posts: 574
    Betpoints: 10698

    It's not that easy RLM has sucked this year. New Mexico is just the better team. I told everyone this game reminded me of Wichita Creighton game from Saturday

12 Last
Top