Originally Posted by
ChalkyDog
It's a tough call, because I don't know what you think is worthy of a money line play.
I will tell you my opinion is that Arizona CAN win this game, but probably wont. If Crabbe is really out or limited, then yes - Cal doesn't have anything to replace that kid, I doubt many teams in the country does.
I am not on the money line, but if you are the type of person that think throwing a half unit on a +290 chance of hitting - then by all means, because this is a winnable game for Arizona, and this is in the most inconsistent conference in the nation.
Just for more info, what was to be Arizona's best player Kevin Parrom, who was not 100% all season due to a gunshot wound, is out with a broken foot this game. He was finally turning the corner in the UW game so that is a big loss to Arizona talent wise, depth wise, and from a morale stand point.
Also, Arizona's starting point guard is a volatile Josiah Turner, who has as much raw talent as anyone in the nation, and probably could successfully be drafted right now, is returning "home" to the bay area for the first time in his collegiate career. Many times that has been a distraction in the past for collegiate athletes, other times it has fueled break out performances. If JT has a break out performance, this game is over before it started, if he is distracted - same.
Also, FWIW, this game last year was a double maybe triple OT thriller - with none of the current Arizona players scoring in double digits in that game.
BTW, I just threw another few bucks on Arizona +7.5 at bookmaker.