1. #1
    ferndog
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    Oregon St+1 at Oregon

    Oregon St+1 at Oregon

    Should be a good one on Fox sports. Oregon only 3-7 ats at home. I'm taking the road team.

  2. #2
    face
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    weird start, one point per minute, 3-2

  3. #3
    face
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    beavers suck ass what a bad game

  4. #4
    Djstucky
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    Oregan St is the wrong side to be on in the first half which of course is who I am backing...

  5. #5
    Jonah
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    OSU getting completely out coached.

  6. #6
    ferndog
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    Oregon St+1 at Oregon

  7. #7
    neverstoppers23
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    good luck, i won't touch it. i will leave my money for better games.

    miami ruined my parlay not hitting free throws. i had miami -4 and lakers +3. lakers are kicking ass,should of took lakers s.u in the parlay, a stupid mistake by me. however, to me this was one of the more 'easier' bets of the nba season if things hold up. lakers getting humiliated at milwaukee, this team still has a lot of stars on it, and kobe isn't going to let them get schooled at minny..

    as i type the minny scores 10 points in 2 mins to make it a 5 point game instead of 15.

    good luck with it guys, if it is a toss up game, i always go with the home team in college ball.

  8. #8
    jeffdane
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    haha, yeah good luck man.

    anyways, nice call, i should have known that line was off, its never that easy.

  9. #9
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    beavers suck ass what a bad game
    Quote Originally Posted by Jonah View Post
    OSU getting completely out coached.
    And they still beat Oregon's ass on Oregon's home floor.

  10. #10
    No coincidences
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    There's really no circumstance that I would bet a -1 to -2.5 home fave anymore in any sport. Long-term loser.

  11. #11
    convick
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    There's really no circumstance that I would bet a -1 to -2.5 home fave anymore in any sport. Long-term loser.
    Better to take a shot with the underdog ML, I guess.

  12. #12
    Inkwell77
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    There's really no circumstance that I would bet a -1 to -2.5 home fave anymore in any sport. Long-term loser.

  13. #13
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    There's really no circumstance that I would bet a -1 to -2.5 home fave anymore in any sport. Long-term loser.


    A few years ago I kept taking home teams that were -1. I kept thinking it was a coniflip game so the home team had to have the advantage. WRONG!

    If they're +2, then you're good to go. -1 or -2 should be like a giant stop sign. NC State, Seton Hall, and this game stick out off of the top of my head just recently.

    All losers within the past 24 hours that were -1 home favs.

  14. #14
    Jonah
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    And they still beat Oregon's ass on Oregon's home floor.
    Yeah, they are kind of loaded...Cunningham great competitor. Future top ten pick.

  15. #15
    neverstoppers23
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post


    A few years ago I kept taking home teams that were -1. I kept thinking it was a coniflip game so the home team had to have the advantage. WRONG!

    If they're +2, then you're good to go. -1 or -2 should be like a giant stop sign. NC State, Seton Hall, and this game stick out off of the top of my head just recently.

    All losers within the past 24 hours that were -1 home favs.
    i will still stick my original argument that betting on the home team is always the better option when everything is considered equal.

    the past 24 hours statement, really has no baring on it.

  16. #16
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    There's really no circumstance that I would bet a -1 to -2.5 home fave anymore in any sport. Long-term loser.
    is this statement based on opening number or closing number?

  17. #17
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    is this statement based on opening number or closing number?
    Either really.

    You may cash a single-possession home fave from time to time, but you can't convince me fading that number wouldn't produce a huge profit long-term in both football and basketball.

  18. #18
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Either really.

    You may cash a single-possession home fave from time to time, but you can't convince me fading that number wouldn't produce a huge profit long-term in both football and basketball.

  19. #19
    jeffdane
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    so first you say 1 to 2.5 pt favorite and now you say -0.5 to -3 at home. but you dont care whether the line opens or closes on theses numbers. if you want to teach us you need to figure out what you want to say first.

    so which is it?

  20. #20
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    so first you say 1 to 2.5 pt favorite and now you say -0.5 to -3 at home. but you dont care whether the line opens or closes on theses numbers. if you want to teach us you need to figure out what you want to say first.

    so which is it?
    A) I said home the entire time.
    B) When is a team ever -0.5?

  21. #21
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    If you think it's funny, by all means, play them and see where it gets you.

  22. #22
    No coincidences
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    BTW, I'm not trying to "teach" anyone anything. Just my opinion.

  23. #23
    jeffdane
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    i wasnt talking about the home part.

    so is it pk -3 or is it 1-2.5

    and you dont care whether it opens or closes?

    so are fading these teams or are you just not touching the game?

    or do you handicap the games?

  24. #24
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    i wasnt talking about the home part.

    so is it pk -3 or is it 1-2.5

    and you dont care whether it opens or closes?

    so are fading these teams or are you just not touching the game?

    or do you handicap the games?
    Is a PK team favored?

    -2.5, but -3 is getting into push territory.

    I typically fade. Depends on the spot though. I still cap the game. Don't bet blindly.

    The only time I'd consider playing a home team of, say, -1 is if they opened as a dog.

  25. #25
    jeffdane
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    bottom line is you cap the game and if you like it you play it.

    your previous statement means nothing because you admit that you still cap the game. and you also admit that sometimes you will bet a 1pt favorite

  26. #26
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    bottom line is you cap the game and if you like it you play it.

    your previous statement means nothing because you admit that you still cap the game. and you also admit that sometimes you will bet a 1pt favorite
    I did? Where? Only if they open as a dog, which is different than what I posted because that's a different set of guidelines entirely.

  27. #27
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post

    Is a PK team favored?

    -2.5, but -3 is getting into push territory.

    I typically fade. Depends on the spot though. I still cap the game. Don't bet blindly.

    The only time I'd consider playing a home team of, say, -1 is if they opened as a dog.
    somebody else must have hacked your account for a minute

  28. #28
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    somebody else must have hacked your account for a minute
    You must be fun to have a beer with.


  29. #29
    jeffdane
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    i was thinking the opposite about you

  30. #30
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    i was thinking the opposite about you
    It's not my fault that you were an idiot and declared Oregon the best team in the Pac-12 before today's debacle. Now you're pissed off and trolling the boards because you need to vent. Good for you.

  31. #31
    jeffdane
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    i said after the game they are still the best. and i declared that weeks ago. got nothing to vent about dude. 1 game nothing to vent about. im not pissed dude, i just think you are annoying with your after the fact statements

  32. #32
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    i said after the game they are still the best. and i declared that weeks ago. got nothing to vent about dude. 1 game nothing to vent about. im not pissed dude, i just think you are annoying with your after the fact statements
    I bet on Oregon State today. I've said this about single-possession faves over and over again on this board.

    If you don't like it, ignore it. This isn't your thread.

  33. #33
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post
    i will still stick my original argument that betting on the home team is always the better option when everything is considered equal. the past 24 hours statement, really has no baring on it.
    OK man. Just because Oregon was -1, that doesn't mean all things were equal. Oregon State was the better team here. I think you may have been fooled by seeing Oregon -1 and thought it was a good play.

    A lot of people liked Oregon. They were at home, had the better record, etc. I even saw that they were the best team in the Pac-12. LMAO. So if people thought that, didn't they find it strange Oregon was only -1? It was a sucker bet.

    As for my examples in the past 24 hours, there are tons more. These are just games that happened recently.

    Seton Hall -1 LOSS
    Oregon -1 LOSS
    NC State -1 LOSS
    Ga. Sstate - 1 LOSS (Just remembered that one)

    All home teams. All teams people on this site liked. All losers.

    I would be willing to bet that if you looked into other results you would find that teams that are -1 or -2 tend to lose straight up the majority of the time.

  34. #34
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    i said after the game they are still the best. and i declared that weeks ago. got nothing to vent about dude. 1 game nothing to vent about. im not pissed dude, i just think you are annoying with your after the fact statements
    You must not actually have watched this game. Oregon has zero interior presence and relies too much on 3s. It was only a matter of time before Ore State's defensive pressure got to them.
    Points Awarded:

    BigDofBA gave tatddy 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  35. #35
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post

    You must not actually have watched this game. Oregon has zero interior presence and relies too much on 3s. It was only a matter of time before Ore State's defensive pressure got to them.
    ahhhh, thanks tat, i must not have watched it, thanks for letting me know

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