1. #1
    Night-Tripper
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    RLM System Plays

    Gonna do this at the request of several (not thousands) of users who sent me PM's overnight. These aren't going to be my plays, simply system plays using RLM/Static Line Movement versus Betting Percentages. What I would like everyone to understand, is that anyone here can do this on their own in a matter of minutes... all they need is confidence. I don't care for drama and I have no interest in becoming a tout. I'm not going to make anyone beg for the system plays, because they're not mine... simply what the system I use spits out. Play what you like and stay away from what you don't. While I practice money-management, I do tend to lose my discipline from time to time... but I don't believe in varying my bet size from $200 to 4,000. If anyone else wants to, that's cool... because I will make a larger wager if I like something... but that's just because I like it... not because it's a better play... as far as I'm concerned... all plays are equal. I don't intend to keep a running record, because (once again), I'm not going to become a tout... I know how I'm doing and how much money I'm making (or losing) and you'll be the same way.

    I'm a supervisor for a major oil company and work shift... so there may be times when I won't be able to post the system plays. However, I'm going to provide everyone with the tools and methods that I used so that you'll still be able to determine what I would have posted had I been able. Haters are welcome, because they don't bother me... mainly because (for the cheap seats) all I'm doing is basically spitting out data that you can come up with. Also, you can change your parameters to suit your taste. I tend to stick with a minimum of 3,000 bes on a game with 63% on one side and a static or reverse line movement. (You may want to tighten things up and only go with a reverse line movement.) I don't wait until the last minute to make a bet. If a line has basically been static or moved in the opposite direction that it should have given betting percentages, I consider it a play... ain't gonna wait until five minutes before tipoff.


    This is the free site that I use to determine plays... go ahead and bookmark it and get a feel for how the system works... ain't nothing to it. http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html

    Make comments... ask questions... throw rocks... I don't care. Anyone can say whatever's on their mind and anyone can damn sure provide an answer to any question that someone poses.

    Have fun... I hope you'll gain the confidence to do this on your own... and most of all... make money off your book... not another user!

    Plays will be posted whenever they appear and I'm available.

    Ciao
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  2. #2
    WULULO
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    Thank you for doing this. I'm looking forward to trying this out.

  3. #3
    therocket
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    Thank you for sharing your knowledge. Much appreciated

  4. #4
    Malloy2
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    Rutgers?

  5. #5
    Romanov
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    Night-tripper:

    The site you use uses data from their free sport bet website, not exactly sharp money coming in.

  6. #6
    Night-Tripper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Malloy2 View Post
    Rutgers?
    You got it...

    I have Rutgers and Wake Forest meeting criteria at this time.

    Possibly Purdue if the %'s on Michigan State will get up into range. RLM is alredy there.

    See... nothing to it!

  7. #7
    Night-Tripper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    Night-tripper:

    The site you use uses data from their free sport bet website, not exactly sharp money coming in.
    I know... but it doesn't really matter (to me). The trends and results have still shown to be the same. I checked different sites and they all pretty much showed the same movement... so I just started the one that I felt was most user-friendly for me.

  8. #8
    therocket
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    I found there are iphone apps for this too.

  9. #9
    Romanov
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    Sounds good.

    I am already on Purdue +8 because of the Lang Fade. After he posted his play of Mich St -8.5 the line shot down to 7

  10. #10
    Night-Tripper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    Sounds good.

    I am already on Purdue +8 because of the Lang Fade. After he posted his play of Mich St -8.5 the line shot down to 7
    I wanna play Purdue... BAD... and I will probably do it even if they don't meet the damn criteria and hope for the best. But, unless it meets the three requirements, I won't post it as a system play.

    Good news... it's gone from 60% -> 62% in the last few minutes... I like that... can make it official.

  11. #11
    Romanov
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    WAIT! Just learned that Purdue had travel issues and was on a bus from 5am to 9am this morning to get to the game

  12. #12
    crockje
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    Quote Originally Posted by therocket View Post
    I found there are iphone apps for this too.
    iodds is money for this

  13. #13
    robinhood
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    Thanks for the information Night-Tripper!

  14. #14
    rglopez
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    So when you say at least 63% you mean take the opposite team right, BC has 65% and Wake 35% but you are taking Wake so you mean Fade the 65% team, just trying to get a grasp, i understand everything else but that, thanks

  15. #15
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by rglopez View Post
    So when you say at least 63% you mean take the opposite team right, BC has 65% and Wake 35% but you are taking Wake so you mean Fade the 65% team, just trying to get a grasp, i understand everything else but that, thanks
    Yes. RLM is when the line moves the opposite (reverse) way it should (should because of the quantity of bets). This happens usually because of the large size of the bets on the team with the smaller # of bets.

  16. #16
    ksnooksk
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    This doesn't work blindly though. You'll see.

  17. #17
    Night-Tripper
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    Quote Originally Posted by rglopez View Post
    So when you say at least 63% you mean take the opposite team right, BC has 65% and Wake 35% but you are taking Wake so you mean Fade the 65% team, just trying to get a grasp, i understand everything else but that, thanks

    Yep... fade the 65% team if the line is static or the line is going down.

    Purdue travel issues aren't bothering me... although maybe they should.

    Purdue +8
    Wake Forest +1
    Rutgers +9.5

  18. #18
    crockje
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    Tripper are adding Tenn as a play? line opened at -3 went down -2.5 62% on uconn 3,172 bets
    Last edited by crockje; 01-21-12 at 10:56 AM. Reason: meant tenn not uconn

  19. #19
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by ksnooksk View Post
    This doesn't work blindly though. You'll see.
    Of course it doesn't. Nothing does. Did he say it'd hit 100%?

  20. #20
    Night-Tripper
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    Quote Originally Posted by crockje View Post
    Tripper are adding Tenn as a play? line opened at -3 went down -2.5 62% on uconn 3,172 bets
    Will be... just as soon as I take care of some business.

    Thanks for posting the play... you got the idea. Feel free to post any other games that hit the mark.

  21. #21
    khaden
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    was alabama a play

  22. #22
    Bettowin23
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    Why was Alabama not a play? They seemed to fit your criteria for a play.


    Quote Originally Posted by Night-Tripper View Post
    Yep... fade the 65% team if the line is static or the line is going down.

    Purdue travel issues aren't bothering me... although maybe they should.

    Purdue +8
    Wake Forest +1
    Rutgers +9.5

  23. #23
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by khaden View Post
    was alabama a play
    i think not. i think we will have a play on texas +3.5 right? an added bonus is bw is on that play

    edit: the line went against bama

  24. #24
    CTOWNsCAPPIN
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    I like Missouri today and it seems to me this is falling right into your criteria.

  25. #25
    R19
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    From my understanding, I don't see Alabama as a play. Although there may have been adverse line movement from open to close, the line opened at Kentucky -10 and closed at -10.5. That doesn't fit the definition of adverse or static. However, this is where other approaches may be added.

  26. #26
    crockje
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    i think not. i think we will have a play on texas +3.5 right? an added bonus is bw is on that play edit: the line went against bama
    no play on texas line opened at Kansas -3 most of money (80%) on kansas and line went up to -3.5 no rlm there

  27. #27
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by crockje View Post
    no play on texas line opened at Kansas -3 most of money (80%) on kansas and line went up to -3.5 no rlm there
    opened at pinny at 3.5 (-105/-105)

  28. #28
    Bettowin23
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    I must be missing something. I see the Alabama line as static and closing at +10.


    (553) Alabama Crimson Tide(554) Kentucky WildcatsATS+10 (-110) [Open: +10 (-110)] -10 (-110) [Open: -10 (-110)]

    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    i think not. i think we will have a play on texas +3.5 right? an added bonus is bw is on that play

    edit: the line went against bama

  29. #29
    crockje
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    opened at pinny at 3.5 (-105/-105)
    gotcha I saw opening at -3

  30. #30
    CheckYaPulse
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bettowin23 View Post
    I must be missing something. I see the Alabama line as static and closing at +10.


    (553) Alabama Crimson Tide(554) Kentucky WildcatsATS+10 (-110) [Open: +10 (-110)] -10 (-110) [Open: -10 (-110)]
    The line opened at +10 and went up to +10.5 and even to +11 before going back down and closing at +10.

    EDIT: Some books even had it at +11.5 for a little over half an hour this morning.

  31. #31
    Bettowin23
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    Thanks

    Quote Originally Posted by CheckYaPulse View Post
    The line opened at +10 and went up to +10.5 and even to +11 before going back down and closing at +10.

  32. #32
    CheckYaPulse
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bettowin23 View Post
    Thanks
    Bama looking pretty good right now though haha

  33. #33
    Walulu
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    Does there have to be a certain number of bets to qualify? Say over 3,000 or 5,000 bets.

  34. #34
    Bettowin23
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    Night Tripper says to use 3,000 bets to qualify.

    Quote Originally Posted by Walulu View Post
    Does there have to be a certain number of bets to qualify? Say over 3,000 or 5,000 bets.

  35. #35
    robinhood
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    Quote Originally Posted by CTOWNsCAPPIN View Post
    I like Missouri today and it seems to me this is falling right into your criteria.

    No, it doesn't. That line opened at baylor -3.5 and has moved according to the bets. No Reverse Line Movement.

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