1. 01-16-12 08:38 PM #36
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    steve nash: teach me "true odds" and does this give you ml winners? thanks
    Rider was 7:1 dogs to win this game.
    Books were giving you + 585

    What don't you get?
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  2. 01-16-12 08:40 PM #37
    jeffdane
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    7 to 1 to win the game, thats what i dont get, where does this come from?
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  3. 01-16-12 08:54 PM #38
    scottie2005
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    7 to 1 to win the game, thats what i dont get, where does this come from?
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-tool...-ml-converter/
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  4. 01-16-12 08:58 PM #39
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by cumatmebrah View Post
    put my whole roll on Rider ML
    yet this jabroni thought going all in was +EV
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  5. 01-16-12 09:01 PM #40
    jeffdane
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    explain please
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  6. 01-16-12 09:05 PM #41
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    explain please
    what do i put in the boxes?
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  7. 01-16-12 09:16 PM #42
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by scottie2005 View Post

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-tool...-ml-converter/
    can someone explain this to me and what numbers do i insert
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  8. 01-16-12 09:18 PM #43
    scottie2005
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    what do i put in the boxes?
    Convert From: Spread
    League: CBK
    Spread: 10.5
    Fave and Dog Odds: +100

    Gives dog odds of +926.7. So if you can find ML odds higher than this is "theoretically" +EV
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  9. 01-16-12 09:23 PM #44
    scottie2005
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    Quote Originally Posted by scottie2005 View Post
    Convert From: Spread League: CBK Spread: 10.5 Fave and Dog Odds: +100 Gives dog odds of +926.7. So if you can find ML odds higher than this is "theoretically" +EV
    Don't know how accurate that calculator is over 10 however. Numbers above that seem off.
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  10. 01-16-12 09:25 PM #45
    jeffdane
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    why would you put +100 for odds? where you getting +100 for both sides?
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  11. 01-16-12 09:30 PM #46
    scottie2005
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    That's the juice a sportsbook would use. Normally I'm guessing a book would use -110 in order to get a spread. However, we would use +100 so no spread is calculated and it just gives us the approximate odds of the event occurring.
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  12. 01-16-12 09:36 PM #47
    jeffdane
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    so with the spread being +11.5 how does the other guy get 7 to 1? mine says +1722
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  13. 01-16-12 10:50 PM #48
    dj_destroyer
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Surprised Rider even covered.

    At least you got that.
    +1

    Like I said before the game, the line was sharp. But I definitely thought Fairfield would cover; they played more of a defensive/controlled game.
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  14. 01-16-12 11:04 PM #49
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer View Post

    +1

    Like I said before the game, the line was sharp. But I definitely thought Fairfield would cover; they played more of a defensive/controlled game.
    stats to support your opinion or just a hunch?

    trying to learn more here. thakns
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  15. 01-17-12 12:27 AM #50
    dj_destroyer
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    You've been here for over 2 years and 4000 posts... There is a lot more pertinent information available. Personally, I like situational analysis.
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  16. 01-17-12 01:24 AM #51
    jeffdane
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer View Post
    You've been here for over 2 years and 4000 posts... There is a lot more pertinent information available. Personally, I like situational analysis.
    so you are saying, hunch?
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  17. 01-17-12 01:32 AM #52
    dj_destroyer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffdane View Post
    so you are saying, hunch?
    My analysis for this game would run pages deep and I didn't even make a play... I'm not going to write it all out for you. Everyone has their own style, I simply stated before the game that I was leaning the other way and that the line was sharp. No need to explain that.
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