INDIANA STATE -6.5 over Evansville: Loser - 3.3 units The Sycamores are a team that has played very well at home over the years, so you can bet that they are not happy about their last home game, which was a 69-63 loss to Missouri State. Prior to that game ISU had won their first 6 home games of the year and they won all but 1 of them by 7 points or more. Evansville has been inconsistent this year as they have won at N. Iowa, but also lost at home to Tenn Tech and TCU and beat Alabama State by just 7 points earlier in the year. The Purple Aces have lost their last 2 by a combined 3 points and that is after taking down N. Iowa on the road, while ISU lost by 17 points there and that has to be the reason the line is so low here. Evansville gets an edge on offense, but the Sycamores have strong defensive edge, especially at home where they have allowed just 58.5 ppg on 39.5% shooting, while Evansville has allowed 78.2 ppg on 48.5% shooting on the road. The Purple Aces have played well above their heads in their last 3 games, but it will all come to an end tonight as Indiana State gets back to doing what they do well and that's Winning home games with ease, behind their tough defense. Northern Iowa/ Creighton Under 143.5:WINNER Four of the last five in this series has gone under, with not one of those games posting more than 137 points. Creighton's home games have averaged 155.9 ppg this year, but just 138.5 ppg in their two MVC home games. Creighton has a dynamic offense putting up 83.2 ppg overall and 87.1 ppg at home, but in their 4 games vs MVC defenses they have averaged just 72.3 ppg. tonight they get to face one of the better MVC defenses as the panthers come in ranked 40th in the nation in points allowed (60.2 ppg), while on the road this year they have allowed just 59.6 ppg. The panthers have also allowed just 64.5 ppg within the MVC and that isn't a bad number either. On offense the Panthers are not a running team as they hoist up just 51.4 shots per game (294th), while scoring while scoring a mediocre 67.7 ppg overall and and even worse 63.4 ppg on the road. Creighton has been average on defense this year, allowing 68.8 ppg at home, but within the MVc that have done slightly better at home allowing just 68 ppg. I know it's not a big difference but if they hold the Panthers to 68 points or less, then Creighton will have to come up with at lest 76 points for this to go over and I don't see that happening vs the Panthers tonight. 143.5 points is too high for this series and I see both defenses coming up big and keeping this one well below the number.
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