5unit play
Washington -2.5 over COLORADO: (Added) LOSER The Huskies are starting to put it together as they have now won 3 in a row including BB Pac-12 wins by 15 and 16 points. Washington has also played well away from home vs better teams than this as they lost by just 6 vs Duke, by just 2 vs Marquette and by just 3 vs a good Nevada team. Washington relies heavily on the trio of Tony Wroten, C.J. Wilcox and Terrence Ross to carry the load offensively. Wroten is netting 16.8 ppg to go along with 3.4 apg and 21 steals, while Wilcox provides 15.3 ppg. As for Terrence Ross, he logs 14.4 ppg and 5.9 rpg for the Huskies, who are posting 80.6 ppg on 47.4% shooting. This is a team that can shoot the rock as their top 8 scorer have all hit at least 48% of their shots. Colorado has had a good year at 9-4 overall and they are off BB 40+ points wins. Colorado is 7-1 at home, but 4 of those wins were vs non-lined teams, another was vs a pathetic Utah squad and two other wins were by a combined 9 points over average Georgia and Fresno State squads, while their lone lose was vs Wyoming. Washington is a much better team than any Colorado has faced at home this year and they will win this one going away. Washington just has too much firepower for the buffs to handle here.
4 UNIT PLAY
Western Carolina/ Chattanooga Over 133: WINNER In the last 10 meetings between these teams just 1 game failed to reach tonight's total and that was in December of 2010 when 132 points were scored. Those last 10 in the series have averaged 144.5 ppg, while the last 5 here have averaged 143.2 ppg. Western Carolina has problems scoring this year at 63.2 ppg, but in their last 3 games they have picked it up a little, scoring 69.7 ppg. They have also picked it up from long range of late, hitting 37.5% of their threes in their last 5 games, compared to their season average of 34%. Despite their scoring woes the Catamounts are still a balanced team with 4 players averaging double digits in scoring. Chattanooga is led by guard Ricky Taylor and forward Omar Wattad, who are each averaging 13.1 ppg. Both players can really stretch opposing defenses, as they have combined to knock down 76 three-pointers and are both shooting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. For the year the Mocs are putting up 71.0 ppg on 42.5% shooting and they are 66th in the nation from beyond the arc, hitting 37.7% of their long range shots. Defense is a bit misleading for the Mocs as they have allowed just 64.9 ppg overall, but vs division 1 teams they have allowed 70.8 ppg, while in their lined games this year they have allowed 78.2 ppg. The Catamounts come in allowing 68.6 ppg (215th) on 46% shooting (294th) overall, while on the road this year they have allowed 73 ppg on 50.6% shooting. Each of the last 6 Mocs games have put up at least 133 points, while their 2 SoCon games have hit at least 160. on the other side each of Western Carolina's last 3 have hit at least 135, while their two SoCon games have hit at last 142 points. Both offenses are coming around and should have an easy time vs a couple of weak defenses.
Loyola-Chicago/ Cleveland State Over 125:WINNERThe over is 25-10 in Ill-Chic's last 35 on the road and 10-31 in the Vikings last 14 vs the Horizon League. The over is also 8-1 the last 9 in the series, with an average of 134.2 ppg being scored. The Flames have had problems scoring as they have averaged just 64.2 ppg on a mere 41 % shooting. The Vikings come in allowing just 58.8 ppg (32nd), but they are 218th in defensive FG% (47.7%) and in their last 4 lined games they have allowed 68.3 ppg. The Vikings on offense have struggled as they have put up just 64.2, but in their last 2 games they have put up 69.5 ppg. The Vikings should continue to play well offensively as they will be facing a Flames team that has allowed 67.8 ppg (198th) on 44.1% shooting (238th), plus the Flames have allowed 74.7 ppg on 49.7% shooting on the road this year. This one should go over easily. KEY TRENDS--- IL-CHICAGO is 15-4 OVER in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, while CLEVELAND ST is 15-6 OVER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Michigan/ Indiana Over 140: This is a Google News Play. WINNER The Hoosiers come ranked 6th in scoring (82.6 ppg), 5th in shooting (50.2%) and 2nd in three point shooting (44.75), plus they also hit their FT's as a 73.3% (48th) clip.Michigan has been good on offense as well as they have put up 70.9 ppg (131st), while Shooting 48.1% overall (34th) and 36.6% from long range (89th). Michigan hasn't been great from the charity stripe, but still a respectable 68.7%. Michigan has played great defense this year, but they haven't played many good offenses and when they did they allowed 81 ppg to Duke and Oakland, so this team can be scored on by good scoring teams and Indiana is a good scoring team. The hoosiers have played very good defense this year as well, but in their 2 Big 10 games so far they have allowed 75 ppg. Both of these offense will score on a couple of defenses that have some misleading numbers. Look for around 150 points in this one.
UL Lafayette/ Western Kentucky Over 133.5: WINNER (Added) The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings, with an average of 156.6 ppg being scored. The Hiltoppers have struggled to score this year (61.3 ppg), but they should find the scoring a bit easier vs a a UL Laff team that has allowed 68.1 ppg overall, while on the road they have allowed 74.7 ppg on 45.1% shooting. The Ragin Cajuns come in averaging as solid 67.9 ppg on 44.8% shooting. Tonight they get to face a Hilltoppers squad that has really struggled on defense of late as they have allowed 76.4 ppg on 45% shooting and teams have also hit 38.8% from long range vs them in their last 5 games. Neither team will not look to slow this game down, while both offenses should put up enough enoght points to get a solid Over here. KEY TREND--- W KENTUCKY is 15-3 OVER in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
Pittsburgh -5 over DEPAUL: LOSER Pittsburgh is too talented a team to have lost 3 in a row, but they have and two of those three losses were at home. Other than the talent edge, pitt has a couple thing going for them here. First is that this team is under a lot of pressure from the home crowd and most times it really helps a team to get out on the road and away from the home crowd. 2nd is the fact that Pittsburgh won the last 7 in this series, with the last 6 being by double digits. I lokk for Pitt to get back on track tonight vs a Depaul team that has overachieved this year.
1 UNIT PLAYS (No writeups on the 1 Unit plays today)
South Florida +8 over VILLANOVA (Added) WINNER
Washington State -11 Over UTAH (Added) LOSER
5-3 tonight +6.5 units......Overall Record 20-13 +13.7 units since joining SBR
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Ballsman college hoops plays with write up's for 1/5
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