1. 01-05-12 10:37 AM #1
    No coincidences
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    +200 or higher ML upset pick thread

    It happens almost every night in college basketball -- a dog of +5 or higher wins straight up. With so many opportunities on a regular basis to cash on bets like these, I thought I'd start a thread where everyone can place their favorite ML dog bet.

    Not really interested in keeping track of records and such (if someone wants to, that'd be great); this is more just to help each other out if someone has an inside angle or even a gut feeling. I thought about this with Iowa yesterday, and realized how many times I've read an accurate upset pick on this board before it happens.

    Obviously there will be a lot more swings and misses than hits here, but at the very least, it may give other posters some good + numbers to consider laying side-wise.

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  2. 01-05-12 10:42 AM #2
    FR3SH like UgHH
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    i know it's crazy and it basically looks like it has no shot in hell especially after they just upset Harvard but maybe they keep up for the game...Fordham +650.
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  3. 01-05-12 10:49 AM #3
    Filmoz
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    I like the idea of this thread, I'm in
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  4. 01-05-12 10:59 AM #4
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    Looking at Southern Utah +289 and Troy +377 at the moment. We'll see.
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  5. 01-05-12 10:59 AM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Filmoz View Post
    I like the idea of this thread, I'm in


    So many huge ML dogs hit in college hoops -- way more than any other sport.
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  6. 01-05-12 11:00 AM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by FR3SH like UgHH View Post
    i know it's crazy and it basically looks like it has no shot in hell especially after they just upset Harvard but maybe they keep up for the game...Fordham +650.
    Definitely think they can cover at the very least.
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  7. 01-05-12 11:02 AM #7
    Skware
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    Loyola Chicago +320
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  8. 01-05-12 11:03 AM #8
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    I know Utah is atrocious, but +600 to a shitty Washington State team? Really?
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  9. 01-05-12 11:04 AM #9
    Skware
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Looking at Southern Utah +289 and Troy +377 at the moment. We'll see.
    Troy +377
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  10. 01-05-12 11:18 AM #10
    Filmoz
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post



    So many huge ML dogs hit in college hoops -- way more than any other sport.
    Yeah, like Evansville +14.5 at UNI the other night and end up winning by like 10, or when LBSU went into Pitt and drank their milkshake. Love it.
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  11. 01-05-12 11:19 AM #11
    Filmoz
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    Is DePaul +210 too square?
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  12. 01-05-12 11:21 AM #12
    Filmoz
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    USF +330 looks live too.
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  13. 01-05-12 11:21 AM #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Filmoz View Post
    Is DePaul +210 too square?
    Pitt's in a tailsplin, but I'm not sure DePaul is good enough to compete on that level just yet.

    It wouldn't be out of the realm of possibility, though.
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  14. 01-05-12 11:24 AM #14
    Filmoz
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    My upset pick of the night is Georgia Southern +270
    Points Awarded:

    ghislaine gave Filmoz 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  15. 01-05-12 11:36 AM #15
    JamesBrown
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    Troy might get it done tonight!
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  16. 01-05-12 11:38 AM #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by JamesBrown View Post
    Troy might get it done tonight!


    PM me if you like anything else JB.
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  17. 01-05-12 11:43 AM #17
    rcjiii
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    Fordham is my pick of the day. They could easily win. UMass is overrated. Fordham just beat Harvard. UMASS barely beat Quinnipiac by 5. So I think Fordham can easily cover 12 1/2. It is worth a look on the moneyline for sure. My site doesn't currently show a ML figure for the game and it is such a big spread, they may not publish one for me to bet. But it is worth a look.
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  18. 01-05-12 11:47 AM #18
    blankoblanco
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    Quote Originally Posted by Filmoz View Post
    USF +330 looks live too.
    what's your reasoning? i don't like this at all. USF is not a team that wins away from home. 0-4 this year in true road games, another 0-2 on neutral courts

    if anything i'd bet villanova ML there. USF might cover but i don't see them winning more than 20% of the time
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  19. 01-05-12 11:48 AM #19
    CappinTerp
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    Have you noticed that a lot of dogs bwt +9 - 11 have done pretty well.( winning str. up)?
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  20. 01-05-12 11:51 AM #20
    d2bets
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    I would say Depaul over Pitt. These are not the same teams as pas years' reputation. Pitt is not that good, reeling bad on 3 losses. Depaul got beat up by Cuse, but so will a lot of teams. Pitt a 5.5 point road favorite? I don't see it at all. I don't think there's a big difference between these two teams and then with Dep at home. I honestly think Dep should probably be a very small favorite.
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  21. 01-05-12 11:51 AM #21
    aaron2406
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    Fullerton +9 at santa barbara. I am fan of both schools but fullerton can win straight up
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  22. 01-05-12 11:53 AM #22
    Madison
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    Shoulda started this a week ago Coin.
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  23. 01-05-12 12:05 PM #23
    Ralphie1412
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    how many threads could you possibly need?
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  24. 01-05-12 12:06 PM #24
    Luckotheirish
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    how many threads could you possibly need?
    Props on the Omar icon
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  25. 01-05-12 12:26 PM #25
    Lockitup1x
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    Depaul
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  26. 01-05-12 01:02 PM #26
    t-wizzle
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    Michigan at +300 is crazy value. Don't overthink it.
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  27. 01-05-12 01:59 PM #27
    troynewell47
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    No coencidences post a pick !!!!
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  28. 01-05-12 02:22 PM #28
    ebbearsfb1
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    Be careful with fordham. Umass 8 and 0 at home.. fordham 1 and 6 on the road.. if it fordham was home I would be on this like flies on shyt
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  29. 01-05-12 05:20 PM #29
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    DEPAUL +200 >5dimes..............
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  30. 01-05-12 05:24 PM #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by troynewell47 View Post
    No coencidences post a pick !!!!
    What do you mean?
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  31. 01-05-12 05:43 PM #31
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    Arizona St +450
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  32. 01-05-12 05:50 PM #32
    lite1up
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    Illinois-Chicago +1450 at Cleveland State

    Cleveland State isn't the type of team that blows you out, they bore you to death for 40 minutes and slip away with a 4-7 point victory.

    Illinois-Chicago matches up here with size & depth albeit inferior talent. However, they are the superior rebounding team and should be able to limit 2nd chance opportunities from Cleveland State while creating their own 2nd chances.

    In a slow-paced, half-court game, anything can happen. I think Cleveland State wins by 5 or 6 but there is definitely value here in a +1450 money line. Already on Illinois-Chicago +15.5
    Last edited by lite1up; 01-05-12 at 05:58 PM. Reason: Illinois-Chicago +15.5
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  33. 01-05-12 05:56 PM #33
    snoopaloop31
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    Quote Originally Posted by lite1up View Post
    Illinois-Chicago +1450 at Cleveland State

    Cleveland State isn't the type of team that blows you out, they bore you to death for 40 minutes and slip away with a 4-7 point victory.

    Illinois-Chicago matches up here with size & depth albeit inferior talent. However, they are the superior rebounding team and should be able to limit 2nd chance opportunities from Cleveland State while creating their own 2nd chances.

    In a slow-paced, half-court game, anything can happen. I think Cleveland State wins by 5 or 6 but there is definitely value here in a +1450 money line. Already on Cleveland State +15.5
    I think he means already on Illinois Chicago +15.5
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  34. 01-05-12 05:58 PM #34
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by snoopaloop31 View Post
    I think he means already on Illinois Chicago +15.5
    Yes, thank you
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  35. 01-05-12 05:58 PM #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Looking at Southern Utah +289 and Troy +377 at the moment. We'll see.
    Should have taken SU earlier. Now in the +210 range.
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