[ApricotSinner32]

Have been tracking my picks since november 30th of 2010 on my sbr spreadsheet and am up roughly 58 units. (Thats risking 1 unitper play over a 383 game sample.)

$100 bettor would be up $5800 tailing me (same ammount risked per play of course)
$1000 bettor would be up $58,000

My strategy when it comes to my picks requires always risking the same ammount per play.

Instead of making a new thread for every single play I make like I have in the past I will just track all of my picks and the +/- units overall.(I have done this in the past did not stick with it. Not because I wasn't winning.)

I make picks in many sports...(NFL/NCAAF/NBA/NHL/MLB/Soccer and the occasion mma/boxing selection)

I am not a heavy volume capper. Somedays I will have 2-4 picks and some days I will have no picks. I follow a certain criteria to find value. I will post my picks usually 10-20 minutes from gametime but will not always be the case. I will not release my plays like most who already have their plays mapped out 10 hours in advance.(So if you see I only have 1 play picked that doesn't necessarily mean that will be my only play for that day.)

My style is a grinding style in which I expect to lose about 44-48% of the time. Hitting approximately 52-56% percent of your plays is profitable with the plays I make. Anyone who is looking for quick money/ a shortcut in gambling is more than likely to fail. Don't be mistaken I am not claiming to hit 80% here because it simply is not possible on the type of plays I make. Even for people who have a successful strategy it will always be a grind. So if you're looking for quick money here don't bother following me.

Tail me I will make you money.

[ApricotSinner32]

One play I like so far for today

Rutgers moneyline +103 (5dimes) 1u to win 1.03u

Let me make this clear I would not play this at anything worse than +100. There is a big difference in laying -110 on this and getting +100-+103.

[Deuce]

Hope those darts are sharp.

[jjgold]

Also put spreadsheet in here

[VegasInsider]

Approx 52-56%??

That's an awfully wide range in terms of gambling. It's the difference between squeaking out a profit and being one of the best sports bettors in the world.

I knew it was only a matter of time before you pulled a stunt like this.

[ApricotSinner32]

Approx 52-56%??

That's an awfully wide range in terms of gambling. It's the difference between squeaking out a profit and being one of the best sports bettors in the world.

I knew it was only a matter of time before you pulled a stunt like this.

I don't pick anything worse than +100. The breakeven on playing +100's is 50%. Lets also factor is that the worst price I will take is a +100. This does not mean you have to even hit 50% to profit on my picks. You can call it a stunt all you want I believe in my skills as a handicapper and will show the haters I am profitable.

I am not claiming to be the best in the world. You don't have to be the best in the world in order to know how to win.

[King Mayan]

Are these picks going to be 5 star plays??

Good luck Patty.

[ApricotSinner32]

King Mayan I do not consider one play better than the next. All plays should be treated the same. I have some live betting on my spreadsheet and wanted to mention that I will make sure all plays I post will be plays posted before games start.Will do no live betting. Here is the spreadsheet for you corbin.

[ApricotSinner32]

Let me also mention that I forgot that I had a few select plays on my spreadsheet that were higher than risking 1 unit which I forgot about as well as some buyback scalps. Also for the haters there are about 13 plays in total that were deleted/edited not because they lost but because of typos so if you really want to get technical and say my record is tained because of that I will just say that than count me down for +45 units instead of +58.

[FreeFall]

Good Luck patty! Keep on firing!

[Bcatswin]

BOL, come to chat pal

[RogueScholar]

Patty, if you're convinced these are your best plays and fixed staking is the optimal way to play them, then why all the all-in bets with real money over the past 13 months?

[Ace_of_Spades]

Will be watching with interest.

[SoV]

Patty, if you're convinced these are your best plays and fixed staking is the optimal way to play them, then why all the all-in bets with real money over the past 13 months?

[ApricotSinner32]

Patty, if you're convinced these are your best plays and fixed staking is the optimal way to play them, then why all the all-in bets with real money over the past 13 months?

Lack of money management/Need money to make money combination. My lack of bankroll management has no bearing on if I am a good handicapper.

[No coincidences]

Nice hit on Rutgers Patty.

You were right.

[ApricotSinner32]

Nice hit on Rutgers Patty.

You were right.

Sorry about your loss. If you makes you feel any better I had notre dame last night

[jjgold]

Patty threw a fukkin dart today and it it

I know guys like Patty they go to bars and love playing fukkin darts but Patty does not go to the bars but plays darts with the fukkin games

[No coincidences]

Sorry about your loss. If you makes you feel any better I had notre dame last night

I had Washington +10.

[ZetaPsi808]

patty good luck. i want all released plays forwarded to me on your text messaging service. will be tailing here 1 unit per play.

patty when taking an underdog do you recommend "sprinkling" the moneyline with 1/6th of a unit?

[ApricotSinner32]

patty good luck. i want all released plays forwarded to me on your text messaging service. will be tailing here 1 unit per play.

patty when taking an underdog do you recommend "sprinkling" the moneyline with 1/6th of a unit?

Zeta I recommend you perform some cunnilingus tonight.

[Mikail]

Glad to see you made a thread sinna. I'll check in as I know you have good strategy. Keep winning.

[Sam Odom]

Pat's spreadsheet > jjgold's

jj is a better 'spot' bettor

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

Good luck venditto!

[ApricotSinner32]

JJgold is on the other side of the counter.

[ApricotSinner32]

Glad to see you made a thread sinna. I'll check in as I know you have good strategy. Keep winning.

Will do

Good luck venditto!

Thanks bro

[ZetaPsi808]

Zeta I recommend you perform some cunnilingus tonight.

good luck ace

[ApricotSinner32]

1-0 +1.03 units

The dallas stars moneyline will almost certainly be a play for me. Game starts at 8pm eastern time. Still looking it over as well as looking to see if I like anything else. Will confirm whether it's a play or not by 7:30 pm eastern.

[opie1988]

Good luck, Patty.

As you know, I am a big fan of Patty's. Kid is like a young Bert Sugar.

[ApricotSinner32]

Comparing me to bert sugar the clown who thinks pacquiao can beat mayweather?

[crustyme]

another broke stiff trying desperately to jumpstart a tout career.

one problem... you suck at this.

[ApricotSinner32]

another broke stiff trying desperately to jumpstart a tout career.

one problem... you suck at this.

If I suck you should have no problem fading all my plays and returning a nice sum.Good luck

[crustyme]

i have been, made me a nice profit.

[Sdotbold]

Good luck patty. Like I told u the other day your angles are normally spot on. Just money management is lacking. Hope u do well !

[ApricotSinner32]

Dallas Stars moneyline +168 (5dimes) 1u to win 1.68u

I would play this at +150 or better.