1. #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 CBB Play Wednesday

    Buffalo +9 -105 (5 Dimes)

    YTD: 123-82-1, 60.0%, +35.66

  2. #2
    19th Hole
    19th Hole's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-22-09
    Posts: 17,844
    Betpoints: 10288

    Good Luck Mr Profits!!

  3. #3
    antifoil
    Update your status
    antifoil's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-09
    Posts: 3,993
    Betpoints: 6611

    i have a theory about those unders you are playing in the NBA this early in the season. my theory is generally scoring will be higher this year than in previous years for two reasons.

    1. these players have been playing pick up games for 5 months which has no team defense. those games are all scoring. since there wasn't a preseason teams aren't playing good defense. of course over the course of the first month this will return back to normal.

    2. it is harder to play good defense than offense. it takes more energy. teams will take off on defense during this season to conserve energy.

    of course the books will adjust to this, but early in the season when your model gives you an under maybe you should take this into account because i am assuming the data you have isn't take this into consideration.

Top