UNLV will blow game open early, then proceed to rest players for upcoming Cal game. A lot of people on Monroe in this spot looking for a backdoor cover, which is entirely possible for FULL GAME, hence why I love the first half.
UNLV has been one of the most pathetic 1H team for quite some time now. Living in Vegas, can't tell you how many times over the years I've seen this squad go into the half up 4 against some scrub team and end up winning by 20+... I'd never touch them for the first half, but BOL anyways.
I think you might have the UTEP (rank 170) game in the back of your head still. Yes UNLV was only up 3 1H to the miners, but UTEP is a much better team than the three listed above, maybe on par with Morgan St.
Also, the Rebs just took it to the Illini in their house. They were up by 11 1H in that one.
With all that said, Rebs probably go into the half tied with the 306th ranked team in the country.
That's why they call it gambling, as much as I like to think Gordon Gekko bets only on sure things.