1. 12-03-11 01:08 AM #1
    No coincidences
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    Purdue +5 at Xavier

    This line is a joke. I know X is a very solid squad and tough at home, but no way Purdue should be getting this much here.

    Also love Marquette +7.5 at Wisconsin.

    Other leans:

    UCLA +1 vs. Texas
    USC +5.5 at Minnesota
    Brown +16 at Iowa
    Drake -3.5 vs. Air Force
    Missouri State +7 at New Mexico
    James Madison +3 at Hofstra
    Last edited by No coincidences; 12-03-11 at 01:11 AM.
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  2. 12-03-11 01:18 AM #2
    CollegeOverUnder
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    5 points isn't a lot of points at all thats nothing. What do you think it should be Purdue +1 lmao
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  3. 12-03-11 01:18 AM #3
    ThingsFallApart
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    No coin do you ever actually wager these or just see a line and post about what you think?

    I know previously ive been a dick to you but I really am wondering.
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  4. 12-03-11 01:19 AM #4
    RoadDog
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    TCU +5 @ Evansville
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  5. 12-03-11 01:20 AM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThingsFallApart View Post
    No coin do you ever actually wager these or just see a line and post about what you think?

    I know previously ive been a dick to you but I really am wondering.
    I have a thread with actual plays.

    Just post first-blush leans when there are big cards to spark up conversation. Doesn't work as well if you just stick them in an official plays thread -- interest isn't the same.
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  6. 12-03-11 01:22 AM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by CollegeOverUnder View Post
    5 points isn't a lot of points at all thats nothing. What do you think it should be Purdue +1 lmao
    I capped it at +3.5. I'd love for the public to drive it to 5.5.

    Getting 2 full points is a huge value in a line.
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  7. 12-03-11 01:24 AM #7
    RoadDog
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    TCU Evansville line is way off
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  8. 12-03-11 01:27 AM #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadDog View Post
    TCU Evansville line is way off
    Is it? I don't know much about either team.
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  9. 12-03-11 01:28 AM #9
    TPowell
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    take a look at the under, don't really bet totals but seems way too high
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  10. 12-03-11 01:30 AM #10
    somachino1
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    Im curious how you capped it to 3.5

    Care to explain?

    Part of me that anyone thinks they can cap anything to such a precise number and the other part of me is curious to see your methodology.
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  11. 12-03-11 01:51 AM #11
    testertips
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    from those picks i like the ucla play but went with the over instead and i've put in a play on minnesota...
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  12. 12-03-11 01:53 AM #12
    sportsguy04
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    I don't.see how x will stop hummel
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  13. 12-03-11 01:57 AM #13
    CollegeOverUnder
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    I don't.see how x will stop hummel
    but who stops Holloway
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  14. 12-03-11 02:02 AM #14
    sportsguy04
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    Quote Originally Posted by CollegeOverUnder View Post
    but who stops Holloway
    I'm from cincy, personally I think xu is overhyped. Good guard play but can be exposed down low.
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  15. 12-03-11 03:18 AM #15
    CollegeOverUnder
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    I'm from cincy, personally I think xu is overhyped. Good guard play but can be exposed down low.
    ahhh ok so your opinion means nothing that why
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  16. 12-03-11 03:38 AM #16
    Stack B's
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    My natural lean was actually towards Xavier when i saw this line.....

    Its not just Holloway they got to stop but Lyons as well.
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  17. 12-03-11 03:49 AM #17
    RED
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    I think Purdue is getting a lot as well. They slowed down Malcom Grant from Miami, and since their loss they have been really putting up some nice D. I think Purdue takes it SU. Really do not see them losing, and if they do it will not be by much. And the reverse line movement by the books was very smart. Nothing draws out the Favorite bettors more then by making the Fav a bigger Favorite. Take the +5 and cash.
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  18. 12-03-11 05:09 AM #18
    milkncereal
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    holloway has been stopped all year long, he has been a little banged up tho. I would have expected xu not to be as good, but that lyons guy is a quiet scorer.
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  19. 12-03-11 07:22 AM #19
    thebestthereis
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    4 to 5.5 seems strange, i like purdue as well. i actually predict the line not getting higher than 5.5. may settle down by gametime, doubt we see 6. better grab it now. good luck!
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  20. 12-03-11 07:25 AM #20
    suicidekings
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    Quote Originally Posted by somachino1 View Post
    Im curious how you capped it to 3.5

    Care to explain?

    Part of me that anyone thinks they can cap anything to such a precise number and the other part of me is curious to see your methodology.
    The precision is equivalent to that which the books use, so to question someone's ability to do work that conforms to the market standard seems odd to me...

    I would say that +3.5 might even be a little too generous. I make a fair line to be +2.5/+3.
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  21. 12-03-11 07:33 AM #21
    TheAntFather
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    I think it'll be a close game. But, Xavier still pulls it out.
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  22. 12-03-11 07:39 AM #22
    onacloud
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    5.5 -102 @ 5Dimes right now
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  23. 12-03-11 07:44 AM #23
    TheAntFather
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    -6 -110 @ bookmaker right now.
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  24. 12-03-11 08:06 AM #24
    pacocn
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    I like SC at Mimmy getting 5.5
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  25. 12-03-11 09:56 AM #25
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    Up to 6 at some shops. Guess I'm off on this one.
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  26. 12-03-11 10:03 AM #26
    BernardMadoff
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    5 points is nothing no coin, thats basically saying you think the game will be tight down the stretch because 5 points will probably come from fouling at the end.
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  27. 12-03-11 10:07 AM #27
    sportsguy04
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    Again who will stop Hummel? Do not say the down syndrome hunch back freese. Xu is a 2 man show and purdue has guards that can defend them.
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  28. 12-03-11 10:29 AM #28
    TheAntFather
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    Xavier wins by 8.
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  29. 12-03-11 10:36 AM #29
    Powderguy
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    Xavier is the real deal, Purdue eehhh
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  30. 12-03-11 10:42 AM #30
    HR Paperstacks
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    Again who will stop Hummel? Do not say the down syndrome hunch back freese. Xu is a 2 man show and purdue has guards that can defend them.
    LOL at the UC guy hating on X. Xavier covers here and may win by double digits. Muskies are really solid this year and love the way they are playing defense this year.
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  31. 12-03-11 10:43 AM #31
    Mr Handicapable
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    I think it goes Over 138.5 although I'm waiting closer to gametime for a better line. Purdue is running more than usual. 85-77 vs Temple earlier caught my attention. Purdue likes to shoot the 3s and X will run with the misses. I see X having trouble guarding inside and Purdue's guards getting beat on the drive. Something like 74-71?
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  32. 12-03-11 10:46 AM #32
    Mr Handicapable
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    Quote Originally Posted by Powderguy View Post
    Xavier is the real deal, Purdue eehhh
    Purdue is pretty good....how many teams hang 85 on Temple? The Boilers always wait til the B10 tourn. and Big Dance to fall apart.
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  33. 12-03-11 10:53 AM #33
    Mr Handicapable
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    The line is moving up elsewhere so I got 138.5 Over
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  34. 12-03-11 10:58 AM #34
    clevelandpride
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    I went to Xavier for 4 years...the Cintas is an incredibly tough environment to play in. Xavier -5.

    Tu and Lyons combine for 35 today and the Muskies win 78-63.
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  35. 12-03-11 11:16 AM #35
    ezmoney
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    X-Men top play for me today, at HOME.

    EZ
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