1. #1
    curious
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    Sun, Feb 1 Plays

    South Florida +3 -110 2.2 to win 2 Lost
    South Florida +135 1 to win 1.35 Lost

    Virginia +22 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3 Lost

    Iowa +12 -110 3.3 to win 3 Win

    Missouri State +11 -110 3.3 to win 3
    Creighton -570 17.1 to win 3 Win


    Portland State -175 5.25 to win 3 Lost


    Adding Loyola MD +3 1/2 -110 2.2 to win 2 Lost

    Loyola MD +145 1 to win 1.45 Lost

    Experiment - I have been tracking taking the 1st Half and then doubling up in the 2nd Half if the 1st Half loses. The results were pretty astonishing. I'm going to start playing this for real and see what happens. These are very small plays.
    Portland State 1 Half money line Lost
    Creighton 1 Half money line Win
    South Florida 1 Half + the points Loss
    Virginia 1 Half + the points Loss
    Iowa 1 Half + the points Win

    Adding Loyola MD 1 Half + the points Loss
    Loyola MD 1 Half ML Loss

    If any of these lose I will take them double in the 2nd Half.
    2 Half
    South Florida +1/2 Loss
    Virginia +8 Win
    Loyola MD +1/2 Loss
    Portland State ML Push
    Last edited by curious; 02-02-09 at 10:34 AM.

  2. #2
    tblueeyes
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    South Florida +3 -110 2.2 to win 2
    South Florida +135 1 to win 1.35

    Virginia +22 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3

    Iowa +12 -110 3.3 to win 3

    Missouri State +11 -110 3.3 to win 3

    Portland State -175 5.25 to win 3
    I like a lot of dogs today as well!! GL

  3. #3
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by tblueeyes View Post
    I like a lot of dogs today as well!! GL
    I'd like to be your hound dog ruff ruff!!

  4. #4
    MicGan
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    South Florida +3 -110 2.2 to win 2
    South Florida +135 1 to win 1.35

    Virginia +22 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3

    Iowa +12 -110 3.3 to win 3

    Missouri State +11 -110 3.3 to win 3

    Portland State -175 5.25 to win 3

    Good Luck 2 days ..... like everything but Missouri St.

  5. #5
    clip51
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    like all ur picks except virginia... never bet against duke coming off a loss, esp at home against a shit opponest

  6. #6
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by clip51 View Post
    like all ur picks except virginia... never bet against duke coming off a loss, esp at home against a shit opponest
    Virginia is hardly a "shit" opponent. 23 points is a lot of points to be giving to Virginia. Did you even cap this game?

  7. #7
    tblueeyes
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I'd like to be your hound dog ruff ruff!!

    "ya aint nothing but a hound dog" lmao!

  8. #8
    curious
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    Replaced Missouri State + points with Creighton ML and added Loyola MD

    Updated the picks to replace Missouri State with Creighton and added Loyola MD.

  9. #9
    gmoney45
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    I agree. Duke is good at home, but 22 1/2 points??? Note, Virginia is 4-1 ATS on the road. My model shows this game as a good value. GL Curious!

  10. #10
    curious
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    I just don't get it....

    I've been tracking this "play the 1st half and if your pick loses double up on them in the 2nd half" for two weeks now. It hits at >85%. So, today I am trying it and getting FUKKING slaughtered.

    I just don't get it.

    I'm going to go kill myself now.

  11. #11
    tblueeyes
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I've been tracking this "play the 1st half and if your pick loses double up on them in the 2nd half" for two weeks now. It hits at >85%. So, today I am trying it and getting FUKKING slaughtered.

    I just don't get it.

    I'm going to go kill myself now.
    dont go killing yourself...it works best with the higher point spreads...when a team is favored by alot of points they either ball out 1h or 2h...so if they dont ball out 1h they tend to do so 2h!

    Hope your day gets better...who ya got for the Super Bowl?

  12. #12
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by tblueeyes View Post
    dont go killing yourself...it works best with the higher point spreads...when a team is favored by alot of points they either ball out 1h or 2h...so if they dont ball out 1h they tend to do so 2h!

    Hope your day gets better...who ya got for the Super Bowl?
    I can't cap the NFL worth a dog biscuit. I'm passing on the superbowl. (Hey that was a pun)

  13. #13
    Madball
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    Curious, Your switch to Creighton money line looks pretty solid right now.
    A LOT of 2nd half unders today up to this point

  14. #14
    sqvirrel
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I've been tracking this "play the 1st half and if your pick loses double up on them in the 2nd half" for two weeks now. It hits at >85%. So, today I am trying it and getting FUKKING slaughtered.

    I just don't get it.

    I'm going to go kill myself now.

    Curious,

    If you haven't read it, do a search for "Bobby's Halftime Cookbook". If you are betting these blindly you'll get killed.

  15. #15
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by sqvirrel View Post
    Curious,

    If you haven't read it, do a search for "Bobby's Halftime Cookbook". If you are betting these blindly you'll get killed.
    I don't do anything blindly. I find value or I pass.

  16. #16
    MicGan
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    Quote Originally Posted by MicGan View Post
    Good Luck 2 days ..... like everything but Missouri St.

    Good thing Creighton covered.... Tailed you few games.... bad lost. Better day tomorrow.

  17. #17
    sqvirrel
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I don't do anything blindly. I find value or I pass.
    I'm glad that's true. Your write-ups don't read that way. A lot of your plays indicate a 2H play regardless of the 1H dynamics.

  18. #18
    Ralphie1412
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  19. #19
    NBA Hero
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    i think he answered it before. he cant live life with his eyes glued to the monitor to check every game

  20. #20
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by sqvirrel View Post
    I'm glad that's true. Your write-ups don't read that way. A lot of your plays indicate a 2H play regardless of the 1H dynamics.
    Well, since I don't do write ups, I'm not sure what you are talking about.

    Correct, I don't look at the 1H dynamics. I have a life outside of SBR. I cap the game and I go with the team that I think will win. I tracked this for a month and it was always hitting at >90%. Then I actually do it for real and it doesn't perform. But it was only 5 games.

    Going to keep experimenting.

  21. #21
    Ralphie1412
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    who would bet against duke in the first half at home after a loss?

  22. #22
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by MicGan View Post
    Good thing Creighton covered.... Tailed you few games.... bad lost. Better day tomorrow.
    I don't know how you could have a bad loss on a few games. Unless you are overbetting your bank. Yes, today I had some losses. Yesterday was up > 20 units. Today down 8 units.

    Side plays went 2-4. That is nothing.

    Experimental halftime plays were very small plays, they went 3-8 if I count the double up plays as 2. These were 1/3 of 1 unit plays, so altogether the loss was 1 2/3 units on these.

    Tomorrow will be a new day.

  23. #23
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    who would bet against duke in the first half at home after a loss?
    I would.

  24. #24
    Ralphie1412
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    worked out well

  25. #25
    curious
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    worked out well
    Please stay out of my threads. You have nothing constructive to add, you aren't here to discuss handicapping. All you do is talk bullshit. Go somewhere else and play. This isn't nursery school.

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