1. 12-28-20 06:06 PM #31221
    grounds250
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    Ayo is good, actually real good, history is there to verify... always easier to say when he wins one but I thought the same when I lost on Friday with MSU
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  2. 12-28-20 06:54 PM #31222
    Sharpes
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    Always sprinkle a bit on the ML when AYO lines up a dog <--
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  3. 12-29-20 07:33 AM #31223
    CantTouchAyo
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    Santa Clara +11 1x
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  4. 12-29-20 02:25 PM #31224
    matt711
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    I feel a big run coming........6-0.........good luck Ayo
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  5. 12-30-20 08:42 AM #31225
    CantTouchAyo
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    YTD: 40-31-1 +3.89x
    Nov: 11-7 +3.45x
    Dec: 29-24-1 +0.44x

    SMU -7.5 1x

    more...
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  6. 12-30-20 11:11 AM #31226
    CantTouchAyo
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    ​UMASS -5.5 1x
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  7. 12-30-20 03:06 PM #31227
    eaglesfan44
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    What a cover by SMU!! Crazy last minute thought we were going to get screwed with the no calls and missed FTs
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  8. 12-30-20 03:06 PM #31228
    joco
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    nice hit by half a pt
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  9. 12-30-20 03:12 PM #31229
    cmatth1326
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    Finally a college basketball player that can hit 2 free throws in a row.
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  10. 12-30-20 03:23 PM #31230
    grounds250
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    Great pick there Ayo
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  11. 12-30-20 04:48 PM #31231
    CantTouchAyo
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    Western Carolina +3.5 1x
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  12. 12-30-20 07:47 PM #31232
    Mackballs
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    Umass 3 collapses in one game lol

    Team is completely dreadful good God
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  13. 12-30-20 08:01 PM #31233
    eaglesfan44
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    Umass up 8 with over a minute to go. What a collapse
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  14. 12-30-20 08:04 PM #31234
    eaglesfan44
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    Western Carolina with a 2nd half collapse as well. Oh well we were on the right sides bad luck
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  15. 12-30-20 09:17 PM #31235
    illyTheKid
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    The last UMASS play was over before it started. This one at least had a chance. They’re just terrible and not sure what all the fuss about trey Mitchell is.
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  16. 12-30-20 10:38 PM #31236
    CantTouchAyo
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    I’ve seen a lot of dumb shit in my life but that UMASS home run pass with 1min left is up there for the dumbest
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  17. 12-30-20 10:40 PM #31237
    CantTouchAyo
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    thurs:

    Mich -1 1x
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  18. 12-31-20 09:42 PM #31238
    pappy
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    Nice thanks man
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  19. 01-01-21 09:53 AM #31239
    thekoreanmang
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    Killing it, Ayo. Thanks for being consistent and generous with your time. No matter your hits or non-hits you're still up at the end of the year. And, even if you're not in any given year (though rare), it's okay. It was our money and our decision to tail (or not tail). You don't need to hear it from me, but I hope you have a great new year and that you're safe, healthy, and happy. Cheers!
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  20. 01-01-21 10:09 AM #31240
    cmatth1326
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    Happy new year AYO. I got laid off 2 weeks before Christmas after 20 years of service. Your picks have made life tolerable for me. Winning tends to make life better, so thanks.
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  21. 01-01-21 10:27 AM #31241
    CantTouchAyo
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    Marshall pk EV 1x
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  22. 01-01-21 10:28 AM #31242
    CantTouchAyo
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    Quote Originally Posted by cmatth1326 View Post
    Happy new year AYO. I got laid off 2 weeks before Christmas after 20 years of service. Your picks have made life tolerable for me. Winning tends to make life better, so thanks.
    Sorry to hear , happy New Years. Please play responsibly
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  23. 01-01-21 10:29 AM #31243
    CantTouchAyo
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    Quote Originally Posted by thekoreanmang View Post
    Killing it, Ayo. Thanks for being consistent and generous with your time. No matter your hits or non-hits you're still up at the end of the year. And, even if you're not in any given year (though rare), it's okay. It was our money and our decision to tail (or not tail). You don't need to hear it from me, but I hope you have a great new year and that you're safe, healthy, and happy. Cheers!
    thanks, happy New Years
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  24. 01-01-21 01:12 PM #31244
    Beantownmatt
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    Happy New Years ayo and fellas and Good Luck in the New Year
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  25. 01-01-21 02:16 PM #31245
    joco
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    Nice I leaned Marshall but backed off. Might add now. Bol ayo and everyone tailing
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  26. 01-01-21 02:58 PM #31246
    AKAHUNSI
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    I'm sure we all have our models but my Model shows:

    marshall -3 144
    louisiana tech 3

    Started at PK and 154
    Now 1.5 Marshall and 152
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  27. 01-01-21 08:37 PM #31247
    2Shirts
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    Why you got to be an ass

    Quote Originally Posted by AKAHUNSI View Post
    I'm sure we all have our models but my Model shows:

    marshall -3 144
    louisiana tech 3

    Started at PK and 154
    Now 1.5 Marshall and 152
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  28. 01-02-21 08:36 AM #31248
    AKAHUNSI
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    If you don't understand betting models and closing numbers refrain from comment,

    Actually for this I apologize Ayo, but I'm always looking to educate and this by no means is taking away from anyone here.

    If you are going to seriously wager, you must have a model, you must learn educate and improve. if you don't have a model, then follow but understand the intent of a forum is to help therefore the intent with my sharing my numbers was to help show you the potential cap. If you know the ceiling of said wager (this case being -3 Marshall by my numbers) you can truly understand the value and deviation for a wager to miss. If I said my number was -15 wouldn't you be more excited than the -3 ceiling when the current bet number was at -1.5 or -2 currently?
    Last edited by AKAHUNSI; 01-02-21 at 08:50 AM.
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  29. 01-02-21 09:26 AM #31249
    Snowden
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    Quote Originally Posted by AKAHUNSI View Post
    If you don't understand betting models and closing numbers refrain from comment,

    Actually for this I apologize Ayo, but I'm always looking to educate and this by no means is taking away from anyone here.

    If you are going to seriously wager, you must have a model, you must learn educate and improve. if you don't have a model, then follow but understand the intent of a forum is to help therefore the intent with my sharing my numbers was to help show you the potential cap. If you know the ceiling of said wager (this case being -3 Marshall by my numbers) you can truly understand the value and deviation for a wager to miss. If I said my number was -15 wouldn't you be more excited than the -3 ceiling when the current bet number was at -1.5 or -2 currently?
    Cool story. Best wishes.
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  30. 01-02-21 10:00 AM #31250
    CantTouchAyo
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    YTD: 42-34-1 +2.69x
    Nov: 11-7 +3.45x
    Dec: 31-26-1 +0.24x
    Jan: 0-1 -1.0x

    Army +7.5
    St. Bonnies +5

    1x each.
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  31. 01-02-21 11:11 AM #31251
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by AKAHUNSI View Post
    If you don't understand betting models and closing numbers refrain from comment,

    Actually for this I apologize Ayo, but I'm always looking to educate and this by no means is taking away from anyone here.

    If you are going to seriously wager, you must have a model, you must learn educate and improve. if you don't have a model, then follow but understand the intent of a forum is to help therefore the intent with my sharing my numbers was to help show you the potential cap. If you know the ceiling of said wager (this case being -3 Marshall by my numbers) you can truly understand the value and deviation for a wager to miss. If I said my number was -15 wouldn't you be more excited than the -3 ceiling when the current bet number was at -1.5 or -2 currently?
    Dude, no disrespect, and I have nothing against modelling, but you can't go into a thread that is 10 years old, with 5 million views and 893 pages of history (none of which includes any predictive mathematics to my knowledge), and start preaching about your model.

    I mean if you want to post, go for it; I don't think Ayo really cares. But there may be other threads where you'd enjoy modelling discussion more. Or by all means start your own, and track how well your model does. Best of luck.
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  32. 01-02-21 11:45 AM #31252
    theorudy
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    My model is to tail Ayo's picks. I heavily research what he says. Plug it into a formula in a top secret spreadsheet. Then copy it exactly.
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  33. 01-02-21 01:14 PM #31253
    Joe Sharp
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    Lol
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  34. 01-02-21 01:40 PM #31254
    RacDex
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    forum

    an exchange of ideas. a lot of people make statements that sometimes may be interpreted other than how they are intended when they are looking for an explanation of an opinion versus stating what is thought to be a difference of opinion. and...even if it's a differing opinion, everybody can learn something. ayo, is good, really good, but not perfect, so allow other people to ask questions or state opinions, without attacking them. who knows, someone may give ayo something to think about that might improve his already proven skill and ability. i think some of us are just wanting to know the logic behind the numbers and wanting to learn what their capping processes are versus just tailing them. btw, a couple years ago, i posted a differing opinion just wanting people to allow ayo to post his picks, but i realized i had no idea why he thought that or what was behind his or others opinions. just tailing somebody's picks didn't teach me anything.
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  35. 01-02-21 02:08 PM #31255
    Buena Onda
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    Quote Originally Posted by RacDex View Post
    an exchange of ideas. a lot of people make statements that sometimes may be interpreted other than how they are intended when they are looking for an explanation of an opinion versus stating what is thought to be a difference of opinion. and...even if it's a differing opinion, everybody can learn something. ayo, is good, really good, but not perfect, so allow other people to ask questions or state opinions, without attacking them. who knows, someone may give ayo something to think about that might improve his already proven skill and ability. i think some of us are just wanting to know the logic behind the numbers and wanting to learn what their capping processes are versus just tailing them. btw, a couple years ago, i posted a differing opinion just wanting people to allow ayo to post his picks, but i realized i had no idea why he thought that or what was behind his or others opinions. just tailing somebody's picks didn't teach me anything.
    He's not here to teach you anything. He makes it explicitly clear to use discretion when tailing his picks. Your point is valid and I agree with everything you said in principle, but if you've followed the thread for any length of time, then you know that there is rarely explanation for why a team/game is chosen. As long as discussion stays civil, I know Ayo has stated numerous times he welcomes any open exchange of ideas. I just think the hoity-toity, highbrow nature of the modeling post was asking to get made fun of. All in good fun though!
    I think Capy said it best, if you want to talk about straight up modeling, there is a sub-forum dedicated entirely to exactly that where it could pick up traction.
    Happy New Year everyone and keep up the grind Ayo. Appreciate the work you put in
    Last edited by Buena Onda; 01-02-21 at 02:12 PM.
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